Logan11 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 GFS holding with its NE coastal plain track for Sun/Mon system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Even in a worst case this would be a much briefer thaw than the torch from hell last time. We'd better hope the GFS has an ounce of a clue or the mantle of white will be a mantle of green by Mon nite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Even in a worst case this would be a much briefer thaw than the torch from hell last time.Yeah but this stuff will be all fluff. If the euro verifies it's Likely even your fields at various elevations will be wiped clean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Looking at H5 I can easily envision the GFS caving to a cutter, but hopefully it's onto something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 It is precarious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Does this first storm have any bearing on what the 2nd one does? I. E. Since Euro and GFS are different on storm one dies that factor into how they are handling storm 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Euro's thoughts on Sunday night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Euro's thoughts on Sunday night? A little weaker but over BUF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 A little weaker but over BUF.Still hope after it's Phail on tomorrow's storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Does this first storm have any bearing on what the 2nd one does? I. E. Since Euro and GFS are different on storm one dies that factor into how they are handling storm 2? I'm wondering about this myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 A little weaker but over BUF. Thanks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Anyone have maps of temps for Friday and Saturday, seeing -6 here Sat morning, wondering if that verifies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 What is most disturbing esp to the emotional types Typhoon Tips of the board is we go from a bitter cold blizzard , temps -10 to -20 on Saturday morning and below zero again by Tuesday night next week. And sandwiched in between is a potential massive warm rainy cutter that will last just long enough to wipe out the pack region wide. You couldn't draw up a more emotionally trying scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 What is most disturbing esp to the emotional types Typhoon Tips of the board is we go from a bitter cold blizzard , temps -10 to -20 on Saturday morning and below zero again by Tuesday night next week. And sandwiched in between is a potential massive warm rainy cutter that will last just long enough to wipe out the pack region wide. You couldn't draw up a more emotionally trying scenario +NAO. It can be a b**ch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 What is most disturbing esp to the emotional types Typhoon Tips of the board is we go from a bitter cold blizzard , temps -10 to -20 on Saturday morning and below zero again by Tuesday night next week. And sandwiched in between is a potential massive warm rainy cutter that will last just long enough to wipe out the pack region wide. You couldn't draw up a more emotionally trying scenario Hopefully we don't lose all our snowpack for the cold on Tue/Wed. That's brutal stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Hopefully we don't lose all our snowpack for the cold on Tue/Wed. That's brutal stuff.I hate saying this but we have to pray the GFS/ Gefs are correct or it's bare ground to the NH border for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 What is most disturbing esp to the emotional types Typhoon Tips of the board is we go from a bitter cold blizzard , temps -10 to -20 on Saturday morning and below zero again by Tuesday night next week. And sandwiched in between is a potential massive warm rainy cutter that will last just long enough to wipe out the pack region wide. You couldn't draw up a more emotionally trying scenario Nice try, dome Don't transfer your personal failings on to me -- that's your bag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I hate saying this but we have to pray the GFS/ Gefs are correct or it's bare ground to the NH border for itNo lol. Most of C/N NH have 12+ OTG right now even before this next storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 No lol. Most of C/N NH have 12+ OTG right now even before this next storm.the Mass/ NH border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 the Mass/ NH borderOops lol missed that. Yeah you're probably right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Oops lol missed that. Yeah you're probably right. I thought NH was North Haven, CT !! It's meaning shifts depending on the context Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 GFS verbatim would be some light icing to begin even along the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 This is essentially a double whammy for this are with missing out on the big snows to the south for this system, only to be hit with a cutter and ptype problems next week. I have to hope there will be a big one at some point this season as the one a few weeks ago underperformed (before the ice storm). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 There's your ECMWF torch... about 24 hours of melting there. Looks worse in SNE than out here, partly because it takes longer to get the colder air back in there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 So a few inches of fluffy snow will be melted by 50F + rains 48 hours later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 ecens are a bit SE of the op, but 00z was too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Looking at the ecens individual meteograms there's some timing differences which wash out the warmth a bit on the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 ecens are a bit SE of the op, but 00z was too. Talk about threading a needle ...that's about 0 margin for error right there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Looking at the ecens individual meteograms there's some timing differences which wash out the warmth a bit on the mean.How do they look up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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