HM Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 There are signs of this back to even west of DC...latest GFS kind of matches the idea of the latest rap and is showing much more of a pivot and backbuild..than the models were showing yesterday 12zGFS now has DC in snow until around 3am, with probably around 0.35" QPF Yeah man, it's doing it at 6z in the omega fields for sure. I'll post more when I look more closely. Great trends today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 12z GFS is easily its wettest run yet 0.5" contour on the east shore of the Bay. Still a sharp gradient W-E. 0.3" for DCA and maybe 0.35-0.4" for BWI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 12z GFS is easily its wettest run yet Me and the Winchester boys are tugging on this thing as hard as we can...positive thoughts for DC and Wes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Temp is not budging here. Been stuck at 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 0.5" contour on the east shore of the Bay. Still a sharp gradient W-E. 0.3" for DCA and maybe 0.35-0.4" for BWI? more...probably more like 0.35 and 0.45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 GFS with a temp of around 10F or less for points north of a IAD-BWI at 12z tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 There are signs of this back to even west of DC...latest GFS kind of matches the idea of the latest rap and is showing much more of a pivot and backbuild..than the models were showing yesterday 12zGFS now has DC in snow until around 3am, with probably around 0.35" QPF Verbatim on the GFS, the snow would start sticking on grass *before* 10 pm for DC northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Phineas/Mapgirl are in a money spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Verbatim on the GFS, the snow would start sticking on grass *before* 10 pm for DC northward. yes..I'm curious if we hit 40 today, though with low pressure to our west we could always spike later this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Temp is not budging here. Been stuck at 30. Good obs, maybe that can help many of us out with ratios, totals, and less mixing perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 The low-level convergence extending west with almost a semblance of an inverted trough from the offshore low is an excellent feature for enhancing snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Temp in Columbia up to 34F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Phineas/Mapgirl are in a money spot oh yeah? I assumed Id be too far west to see the good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 The 12z GFS just sets up for disappointment... We are talking about shifts of 20 miles that would have huge ramifications. we could always be dryslotted/shift east...I don't think we are set up for disappointment....DCA now has 17 consecutive events of 0.1" - 1.4" with 15 below an inch....none of us would be surprised if we get a dusting or even less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 oh yeah? I assumed Id be too far west to see the good stuff. you might be...will be a gametime decision..Parkton has always been a good location Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Me and the Winchester boys are tugging on this thing as hard as we can...positive thoughts for DC and Wes We'd better tug harder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Here are the last 17 accumulating snow events for DCA (since 1/26/11),....I'm pretty sure we are properly conditioned to be let down...Sure..there will be some brief disappointment, but we know the drill 1/28/11 - 0.6" 2/9/11 - 0.1" 2/21-22/11 - 0.4" 3/27/11 - 0.2" 1/9/12 - 0.6" 1/20-21/12 - 1.1" 2/11-12/12 - 0.3" 12/26/12 - 0.2" 1/24/13 - 0.4" 1/25/13 - 0.4" 1/28/13 - 0.1" 2/1/13 - 0.2" 2/2/13 - 0.2" 3/6/13 - 0.2" 3/25/13 - 1.4" 12/8/13 - 0.6" 12/10/13 - 0.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 oh yeah? I assumed Id be too far west to see the good stuff. You've still got elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 We'd better tug harder. For them not us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 you might be...will be a gametime decision..Parkton has always been a good location cool, thanks. You've still got elevation. true. 31 at home (not my station). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Me and the Winchester boys are tugging on this thing as hard as we can...positive thoughts for DC and Wes We'd better tug harder. Yeah. We are in some trouble with this one I think. At this point I just wanna see the streak end at DCA. I will say temps are going to bust low for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I am at 32.1 now, i think as long as i stay below 34 today it will stick relatively quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 The freezing line currently runs roughly from NW baltimore burbs through IAD...DC proper is 34-35..who knows about DCA...they could be up to 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Here are the last 17 accumulating snow events for DCA (since 1/26/11),....I'm pretty sure we are properly conditioned to be let down...Sure..there will be some brief disappointment, but we know the drill 1/28/11 - 0.6" 2/9/11 - 0.1" 2/21-22/11 - 0.4" 3/27/11 - 0.2" 1/9/12 - 0.6" 1/20-21/12 - 1.1" 2/11-12/12 - 0.3" 12/26/12 - 0.2" 1/24/13 - 0.4" 1/25/13 - 0.4" 1/28/13 - 0.1" 2/1/13 - 0.2" 2/2/13 - 0.2" 3/6/13 - 0.2" 3/25/13 - 1.4" 12/8/13 - 0.6" 12/10/13 - 0.9" MInd boggling that there are only 2 storms with a 1 in front of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 The synoptic and QPF trends, if they can be called that, are certainly happening at the right time for more snow. For IAD and nearby, I could see equal odds of sprinkles/dusting or 2-4 inches, maybe a bit more with well placed banding (if it makes it this far west). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 On the way back from Buffalo... it was cold and snowy. Temp was 10 when I left... entering NW PA now. Hoping to come back to some snowfall. GFS looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Here are the last 17 accumulating snow events for DCA (since 1/26/11),....I'm pretty sure we are properly conditioned to be let down...Sure..there will be some brief disappointment, but we know the drill 1/28/11 - 0.6" 2/9/11 - 0.1" 2/21-22/11 - 0.4" 3/27/11 - 0.2" 1/9/12 - 0.6" 1/20-21/12 - 1.1" 2/11-12/12 - 0.3" 12/26/12 - 0.2" 1/24/13 - 0.4" 1/25/13 - 0.4" 1/28/13 - 0.1" 2/1/13 - 0.2" 2/2/13 - 0.2" 3/6/13 - 0.2" 3/25/13 - 1.4" 12/8/13 - 0.6" 12/10/13 - 0.9" and an avg of .46" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Here are the last 17 accumulating snow events for DCA (since 1/26/11),....I'm pretty sure we are properly conditioned to be let down...Sure..there will be some brief disappointment, but we know the drill 1/28/11 - 0.6" 2/9/11 - 0.1" 2/21-22/11 - 0.4" 3/27/11 - 0.2" 1/9/12 - 0.6" 1/20-21/12 - 1.1" 2/11-12/12 - 0.3" 12/26/12 - 0.2" 1/24/13 - 0.4" 1/25/13 - 0.4" 1/28/13 - 0.1" 2/1/13 - 0.2" 2/2/13 - 0.2" 3/6/13 - 0.2" 3/25/13 - 1.4" 12/8/13 - 0.6" 12/10/13 - 0.9" Interesting list, anyone have one for BWI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Hanging out at 30-31 depending on station...warmest is jyo at 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 The freezing line currently runs roughly from NW baltimore burbs through IAD...DC proper is 34-35..who knows about DCA...they could be up to 37 That is about where I am sitting ~10 miles south of the District. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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