stormtracker Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Canadian is super warm though When ISN'T it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bari Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Drum role please ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 euro is back to earth...around 0.25"...so in line with the other guidance...problem is warm,....so maybe an inch for DC...more north and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Euro won't make any friends in the ma tonight if you wanted it to hold serve. Looks mostly like everything else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 euro is back to earth...around 0.25"...so in line with the other guidance...problem is warm,....so maybe an inch for DC...more north and eastFigures. Do you have APG QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 euro is back to earth...around 0.25"...so in line with the other guidance...problem is warm,....so maybe an inch for DC...more north and east Night yall. Enjoy our mood flakes tomorrow night. followed by cold....then rain..then near record cold...followed by rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Euro won't make any friends in the ma tonight if you wanted it to hold serve. Looks mostly like everything elseThat's better than it suddenly drying up. .25-.40 west to east seems like a good bet now based on all major models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Night yall. Enjoy our mood flakes tomorrow night. followed by cold....then rain..then near record cold...followed by rain. Thanks Ian, have a great night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welbane Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 So Euro is NOT a rock, after all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Figures. Do you have APG QPF? ~0.35" Snow maps give you around 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bari Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 The deed has been done, thanks euro. Night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNAO Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 ~0.35" Snow maps give you around 3" How much for the philly area? You have a map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 ~0.35" Snow maps give you around 3" Thx. Right in line with basically everything now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 With temps and proximity of the .2 or less contour I'm not very enthused with the run. Philly and nyc weenies are pretty stoked unless they expected a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 so for DC, we have all 4 0z models (Canadian, GFS, NAM, Euro) all around 0.25" QPF....GFS is the coldest of the 4, and still only gives DCA around ~1.5".. I think a good forecast for DC is around 1".....I think the only way we do more than 1.5" or so is if the models are wrong with temps profiles/qpf and/or ratios are super duper high with the fluff at the end.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 How much for the philly area? You have a map 34" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 so for DC, we have all 4 0z models (Canadian, GFS, NAM, Euro) all around 0.25" QPF....GFS is the coldest of the 4, and still only gives DCA around ~1.5".. I think a good forecast for DC is around 1".....I think the only way we do more than 1.5" or so is if the models are wrong with temps profiles/qpf and/or ratios are super duper high with the fluff at the end.... Perfect nutshell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Perfect nutshell We must all be nuts chasing an inch of snow. Anybody going to produce the depressing WxBell snow map? MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 34" That's it i have 39" on my in house Ji map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeedaSnowday Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Winter Weather Advisory Alert: ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM EST FRIDAY. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BE HEAVIEST THIS EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE TONIGHT. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM SNOW THIS EVENING. Instructions: A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. Target Area: Carroll Frederick Harford Howard Northern Baltimore Southern Baltimore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 6Z RGEM even jucier http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/06_054_R1_north@america_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_024.jpg http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/06_054_R1_north@america_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_036.jpg so are the NAM and GFS http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=048ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F06%2Fnam_namer_048_precip_p48.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=precip_p48&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=048ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_048_precip_p48.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=precip_p48&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 6Z RGEM even jucier http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/06_054_R1_north@america_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_024.jpg http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/06_054_R1_north@america_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_036.jpg so are the NAM and GFS http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=048ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F06%2Fnam_namer_048_precip_p48.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=precip_p48&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=048ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_048_precip_p48.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=precip_p48&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M The suburbs of baltimore could pick up 3-4" if these models are close with QPF estimates. And in the grand scheme, everything looks on track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 The suburbs of baltimore could pick up 3-4" if these models are close with QPF estimates. And in the grand scheme, everything looks on track. I sure hope so b/c long range the JAN thaw is coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Morning peeps. From Justin Berk last night. Weenie hallucinations... For the Night Owls... The northern and southern branch jets just met in Arkansas. Notice the pivot and southern moisture appears to be pulled farther north. Other notes for the weather geeks: A baroclinic leaf is evident developing and pushing north through MD. This reminds me of the Jan 25, 2000 set up models pushed too out to sea. I see High Pressure trying to ridge down trough Maine and Nova Scotia, which will try to keep the new coastal from moving out to far east. I know I am going against the grain of American Models and NWS, but I can't ignore what I see here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Cobb output for Westminster 06z GFS: .257 qpf, rain/snow starting around 21z, snow lasts until 12z 06z NAM: .252 qpf, rain/snow starting around 12z, snow lasts until 10z good agreement -- I see no reason why Westminster can't pick up at least 2" from this, more as you go east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Buck up boys and girls. It ain't over yet. Hasn't even started. Never surrender. And, even if it doesn't snow, we've got plenty to be thankful for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Final Call: IAD: 1.5 DCA: .8 BWI: 2.5 OKV: 1.0 MGR: 1.3 HGR: 2.0 PHL: 6.4 NYC: 8.1 BOS: 15.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 12z NAM changeover is about 8pm for DC. Looks like about an inch of snow. QPF still around 0.3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Lol berk pulled out Jan 2005. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 12z NAM changeover is about 8pm for DC. Looks like about an inch of snow. QPF still around 0.3". precip amounts seemed to tick up slightly and move back west a tad from 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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