Quasievil Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The king is getting dethroned this year. Yay gfs! I'm trying to figure out what bias I can come up with to allow us to toss the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Wow...the snow drought lives on...the fat lady sings "Kumbaya" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Well that was fun. Let's focus on the cold! it is still probably 1/2" - 1" for us...That's good, right?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 it is still probably 1/2" - 1" for us...That's good, right?! And below freezing with no sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Are we out to any hours on the Euro that gives us more fantasy snow to track? Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 it is still probably 1/2" - 1" for us...That's good, right?! It's way drier than last night on the course maps at least. If we get 1/2" this will be a big success as far as failure goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The kicker just got worse every run. No time for the troff to dig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 This run won't make any friends unless they live in the catskills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 It's way drier than last night on the course maps at least. If we get 1/2" this will be a big success as far as failure goes. Could be our most successful failure yet. Wasn't there another storm to look forward to for failure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 It's way drier than last night on the course maps at least. If we get 1/2" this will be a big success as far as failure goes. it's prob like 0.15" for us...of course it is like 34 degrees when the snow starts...yay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 there's a tiny bit mainly west before this but comparo to last night's .. the low just never gets going till it's too far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Warm/wet and cold/dry will not be denied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 it's prob like 0.15" for us...of course it is like 34 degrees when the snow starts...yay! no sun angle though. that's huge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Could be our most successful failure yet. Wasn't there another storm to look forward to for failure? The 12z Euro superbomb yesterday followed by -20 weather. Though I think the Euro hung out with Rob Ford yesterday before the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 there's a tiny bit mainly west before this but comparo to last night's .. the low just never gets going till it's too far east. ecmwf_slp_precip_washdc_12.png ecmwf_slp_precip_washdc_14.png Had to know last night's was wrong as it had me in the max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Shoot, I had written a bearish article and tempered it a bit before sending it to Dan, now i wish I hadn't been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 FWIW THE CRAS MODEL....lol...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Shoot, I had written a bearish article and tempered it a bit before sending it to Dan, now i wish I hadn't been. maybe it is just a blip...and 0.20" is still a good target...hard to have confidence that is the case....up to 1" seems like a good forecast for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 FWIW THE CRAS MODEL....lol...... I guess there's still a microscopic smidge of weenie hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I guess there's still a microscopic smidge of weenie hope. lol yeah very microscopic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Just covering all the bases, that's what they do, no need for pessimism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I'm riding the CRAS....to where I'm not sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I'm riding the CRAS....to where I'm not sure. lol if the cras comes true, ill forever be a cras supporter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The CRAS is never right and is only talked of as a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 NAM is new king. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The CRAS is never right and is only talked of as a joke yep I posted it as a joke to lighten the mood a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The CRAS is never right and is only talked of as a jokeMy New Years resolution--only believe the CRAS and JMA. ;-)PS--TWC just showed the Hercules snow map. Rejoice! DC and most of MD in 3-5 inches. I'm riding that too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Warm/wet and cold/dry will not be denied. SSW will save us. Feb will rock with brutal cold and flizzards galore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 yep I posted it as a joke to lighten the mood a bit Last night's euro ens mean had obscene 850 temps....-25 or so, today's euro is not quite a cold but still is frigid for Tuesday/Wed. If I cant' get snow, I'll have to settle for the coldest in years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Last night's euro ens mean had obscene 850 temps....-25 or so, today's euro is not quite a cold but still is frigid for Tuesday/Wed. If I cant' get snow, I'll have to settle for the coldest in years.I think it will be quite cold but the euro has the cold bug. 2009ish cold is my benchmark for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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