DCAlexandria Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 37 minutes no post? Mass weenie suicide? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Probably an inch or 2 around DC...maybe 3 NE MD northern DE. Cut that by 50% and give it all to SNE. Rich--------------->more richer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I don't know when the energy can be "sampled" but it looks like our sw is made of two pieces that would both still have been over the pacific at 12z today. Have no idea if that matters. This sometimes seems like an idiotic hobby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Cut that by 50% and give it all to SNE. Rich--------------->more richer. Its climo, they get WAY more snow than us. In 09-10 I believe there were storms where Boston saw rain and DC saw at least 6 inches of snow. I agree with others that I will take 2 inches right now and lock it up. Better than a rainstorm. Better than a total miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 37 minutes no post? Mass weenie suicide? you should try it since you contribute nothing, your posts are useless and you are super annoying to boot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 37 minutes no post? Mass weenie suicide? you should try it since you contribute nothing, your posts are useless and you are super annoying to boot Geez move it to banter. I was simply looking for a gfs update. Lighten up Francis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 SREF depicts light precip in Balto/DC from 06Z Fri. until 18Z Fri. With boundary layer temperatures marginal at the start and with virga until the column moistens, favored areas could get an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Geez move it to banter. I was simply looking for a gfs update. Lighten up Francis. There was plenty of Gfs chatter. Try reading . As for the gap in posts, seems to me the board was following rules in terms of this thread, which you did not (nor I in responding to your dumbass post) Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Geez move it to banter. I was simply looking for a gfs update. Lighten up Francis. Update: no snow for you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 fwiw - WPC's latest - WHILE ITS SOLUTION ALOFT DOES NOT APPEAR TO STRAY FAR FROM THEOTHER GUIDANCE, THE 12Z NAM SURFACE LOW SOLUTION ACROSS THEEAST/NORTHWEST ATLANTIC LIES NORTH OF THE 00Z GLOBAL ENSEMBLEENVELOPE OF SOLUTIONS, AND WAS NOT CONSIDERED PLAUSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Geez move it to banter. I was simply looking for a gfs update. Lighten up Francis. We can't get receiving spoonfeed requests 72 hours before an event. It isn't fair to the membership. If you don't want to teach yourself any of it, just watch Marty Bass. He doesn't know much model analysis either so he gets it spoonfed. If you do the tutorials, you will not get it all, come back with good questions. To teach it to yourself, Start here: http://products.weather.gov/PDD/NCEP_PDD_MAG.pdf http://www.powershow.com/view/8d4b-YjE5O/Introduction_to_Numerical_Weather_Prediction_and_Ensemble_Weather_Forecasting_powerpoint_ppt_presentation weather.cod.edu/labs/NumericalModels.ppt http://en.cyclopaedia.net/wiki/Numerical-Weather-Prediction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Because I can: Almost all the members show some snow. Dryslot definitely on the decline. There is some support for a more organized low off of obx too. I don't care if I'm not supposed to use ens members inside of 72. They look better than 6z and I'd be happy with most of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 12z ensembles have a better look than they did at 6z. Wouldn't be totally shocked if the euro comes in a bit better. WAG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Can't see on my phone. Do the ensembles dig it a bit further south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 12z ensembles have a better look than they did at 6z. Wouldn't be totally shocked if the euro comes in a bit better. WAG euro should be rolling anytime now. we need a farther west track of at least 50-100 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Can't see on my phone. Do the ensembles dig it a bit further south? They all look like the op of varying degrees. A good number are a bit better but it doesn't matter much. The best part is they all pretty much drop some snow. My biggest fear is tracking a total dry whiff. Insult to injury. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 They all look like the op of varying degrees. A good number are a bit better but it doesn't matter much. The best part is they all pretty much drop some snow. My biggest fear is tracking a total dry whiff. Insult to injury. I think the fact that we know a whiff is possible no matter what the models say will soften the blow...a little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I think the fact that we know a whiff is possible no matter what the models say will soften the blow...a little yep, it will never be off the table until there is snow on the ground. Let's hope the euro holds or improves. Last nights run was good for us but not as good as the previous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Getting let out at 1 sucks. Euro or go home... Looks about the same thru 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Those liking cold should be happy, we'll get two really cold shots. The second might be the coldest in quite awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Getting let out at 1 sucks. Euro or go home... Looks about the same thru 24 You're out at 1? Nice. I'm loafing while waiting on euro updates. One thing I keep thinking about is that whenever we have this kind if disagreement with front running thief lows, we rarely get it all together in time for us... In model land and otherwise. I hope I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Of all the problems DC can have for "no snow" the too far east problem is a good one to have. Slight adjustment east on high pressure ne of lakes and minimal pushing effect from OV high and we are in business big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 gefs ensembles....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 You're out at 1? Nice. I'm loafing while waiting on euro updates. One thing I keep thinking about is that whenever we have this kind if disagreement with front running thief lows, we rarely get it all together in time for us... In model land and otherwise. I hope I'm wrong. Yeah, I'm not even sure why I'm here. No one else is really. Model employee! Thru 42 .. still pretty much the same as 0z. maybe a tad flatter tho not sure it matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 mmm, at 48 my guess is this is a step in the wrong direction but hopefully it's just usual model thread analysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 At 60 the low is going bye bye -- quicker and NE of last run. The backside is a bit smaller and drier but still there coming thru WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 lol...next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Oof this run is poo. Close the doors I'm out .. wait I was never in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Well that was fun. Let's focus on the cold! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The king is getting dethroned this year. Yay gfs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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