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January 2/3 Event - Disco., Nowcasting, and Obs.


wxmeddler

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Yea, not bad. It's a mathematical mess in modeland. Where we are in 2 days could be bad but not tonight

If I can squeeze 1-2" out of this somehow, I don't really care how I got there...they are just models...the pattern and analogs screamed a small event or no event

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Thanks, according to Will this seems like the most likely solution in this fast flow anyway. So i guess i wil hope for 4" and be very happy with it especially if it gets really cold after and stays around for a few days.

 

I dont think there is any model that gives you 4"...not saying you cant get it..you are in a better spot than many...but no model gives you that

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I dont think there is any model that gives you 4"...not saying you cant get it..you are in a better spot than many...but no model gives you that

You said 2-4" for our area unless i am confused, but even 2 or 3" would be great and nice to see. If i nickle and dime my way to 24" this winter i would be thrilled.

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You said 2-4" for our area unless i am confused, but even 2 or 3" would be great and nice to see. If i nickle and dime my way to 24" this winter i would be thrilled.

actually the euro might be in the higher of the 2-4" range for you....Plus I can understand your threshold is higher...2" is a big event for me...I don't really care how I got there...modeled snow doesnt mean anything...of course this could still be a complete whiff...would like to see some flakes though

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actually the euro might be in the higher of the 2-4" range for you....Plus I can understand your threshold is higher...2" is a big event for me...I don't really care how I got there...modeled snow doesnt mean anything...of course this could still be a complete whiff...would like to see some flakes though

You really have to move up here for at least the winter. You would be so much happier. I think i average almost twice as much as you a winter. Plus you have the benefit of starting to root for the Ravens.

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Hard to say. Surface temp drops to upper 20's to 31'ish as best rates come through. 850s are -3 to -5. Maybe 12:1 best case. It's complicated in many ways.

Seriously as much as you and Matt do for this subforum, i really hope you guys get at least 2" from this. For all the hours you guys spend looking at models it would stil be less than .10" per hour.

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