Geos Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 My forecast Sunday - Wednesday currently. Sunday A chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 14. Sunday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around -6. Monday Partly sunny and cold, with a high near -4. Blustery. Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around -17. Tuesday Mostly sunny and cold, with a high near -1. Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around -12. Wednesday A slight chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 14. GFS Monday morning. Tuesday Morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 00z MEX has a high of -8 here on Monday. If it verifies it would be the 3rd coldest high to occur in Lafayette. Edit: -10 at IND! Edit 2: Hopefully we don't end up with a cheap midnight high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TruePatriot Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Forecast for Eastern Minnesota for Monday: Partly sunny and cold, with a high near -16. West northwest wind around 15 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 00z MEX has a high of -8 here on Monday. If it verifies it would be the 3rd coldest high to occur in Lafayette. Edit: -10 at IND! Edit 2: Hopefully we don't end up with a cheap midnight high The 12z MEX today had a low Tuesday morning of -23 at RFD and -20 at ORD. Wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 One of the most epic progs you'll see. That huge whitish area is temps of -30F or lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 TT_TT_PN_156_0000.gif One of the most epic progs you'll see. That huge whitish area is temps of -30F or lower. That's to much. To dangerous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 that is scary cold. Considering our deep snowpack by then region wide I don't think it's that unrealistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I cannot even imagine this verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 TT_TT_PN_156_0000.gif One of the most epic progs you'll see. That huge whitish area is temps of -30F or lower. Read literally, that would smash the Feb. 1899 record in Dayton (-28) by 7 degrees. I'm willing to say at this point that this is just GEM getting loopy with a multiple sigma fringe event, but that it's going to be something more like 20-year cold, not 100-year cold. That Illinois-Indiana-Ohio corridor has not experienced that kind of extreme cold event in anyone's lifetimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 I cannot even imagine this verifying. Almost half the state would break the preexisting Indiana record of -36F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I cannot even imagine this verifying. Approaching -20 would be pretty amazing being that widespread, if that verified though, it would be historic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Almost half the state would break the preexisting Indiana record of -36F. Maybe it is a good idea to look up the state records for the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Its a shame that we wont have an ideal raditional cooling night to make this even more intresting but hopefully the CAA is enough to at least threaten some records. Also think MEX guidance may be on the warm side since I'm skeptical of the overcast skies its showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 Read literally, that would smash the Feb. 1899 record in Dayton (-28) by 7 degrees. I'm willing to say at this point that this is just GEM getting loopy with a multiple sigma fringe event, but that it's going to be something more like 20-year cold, not 100-year cold. That Illinois-Indiana-Ohio corridor has not experienced that kind of extreme cold event in anyone's lifetimes. That's the smart play at this point but if ideal radiating conditions come into play over what will probably be a massive, deep snowpack, all bets are off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Friday Preview... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 That's the smart play at this point but if ideal radiating conditions come into play over what will probably be a massive, deep snowpack, all bets are off. I have to think it might be overdoing CAA. Look at how "warm" we are up in Michigan during the event. We always get some moderation from the lakes but the amount of airmass moderation over the entire state makes me think it's overdoing advection at this point. Part of this is a little wishcasting because I was in Ohio during the Jan 1994 event and I can say that infrastructure, houses, etc. in that part of the country are simply not built to withstand that sort of cold. -35 would be fun to watch far away but over such a wide area in this part of the country would have some pretty serious consequences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Friday Preview... looks like a appetizer to the main show early next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Mid day Monday and temperatures still between -10 and -20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Friday Preview... looks like a appetizer to the main show early next week It might give us an idea on how accurate the Euro is with its temperature forecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I cannot even imagine this verifying. Crazy buckets. Friday Preview... lol LAF there. Nice island of warmth. I'll take the under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Maybe it is a good idea to look up the state records for the region. I consider the state record low for Illinois (-36F, Congerville, January 1999) to be vulnerable in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Friday Preview... That shows -11 here? I'll take the over for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 6Z GFS text data shows us dropping to -25F monday morning with wind chills approaching -50F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian Express Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Sunday Mostly sunny and cold, with a high near -3. West northwest wind around 10 mph. Sunday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around -20. West northwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Monday Partly sunny and cold, with a high near -15. West northwest wind around 15 mph. Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around -21. West northwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Tuesday Mostly sunny and cold, with a high near -4. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around -13. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming south southeast after midnight. My point forecast (50 miles SE of the Twin Cities). A high of -15 with wind will be brutal, schools will probably close. Coldest since Feb 1996. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Point high for Mon is down to -10 now. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I'm going to hibernate I rarely drive but will have to go sit in my car for 20 minutes while it idles just to keep the battery alive. Worst weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Sunday Mostly sunny and cold, with a high near -3. West northwest wind around 10 mph. Sunday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around -20. West northwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Monday Partly sunny and cold, with a high near -15. West northwest wind around 15 mph. Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around -21. West northwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Tuesday Mostly sunny and cold, with a high near -4. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around -13. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming south southeast after midnight. My point forecast (50 miles SE of the Twin Cities). A high of -15 with wind will be brutal, schools will probably close. Coldest since Feb 1996. The last double-digit below zero highs at MSP were Feb 1-3, 1996. GFS MOS is currently -14 for both Sunday and Monday (might be a midnight high on Sun keeping it a bit higher). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Interesting set-up with the winds and possible cloud cover hard to believe we could achieve 20-25 below on sunday night.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sokolow Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 That's to much. To dangerous.Yeah it'd be killing bad news for homeless, elderly, and stranded motorists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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