Chicago WX Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Through 60, I don't think the GGEM is joining hands with the NAM either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Dubuque to Geos/Chicago jackpot still looking golden. Nice to see good consistency from the GFS. NAM is just abysmal as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Rumor is "GEM goes boom" via RC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Rumor is "GEM goes boom" via RC looks like blizzard conditions for someone in the subforum next week too via the long range GFS.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Rumor is "GEM goes boom" via RC I don't know about boom, but it's good enough/nice for Chicago. Color maps are updated through 96 here: http://weather.gc.ca/model_forecast/global_e.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 According to the snow algorithm on AWIPS, the GFS has 8-10" north of I-80 over the LOT CWA and the Canadian has 8-10" roughly between a bit south of I-80 to I-90, I-80 corridor actually does best. Pretty decent agreement there though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 GEM looks pretty good for northern IL. Long duration event ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 The headline decisions will be interesting as others have mentioned. Event may technically come up a little short of warning criteria in many areas with the prolonged duration but it's gonna look kinda silly if advisories are out for 8-10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Definitely like where I sit with this one. Not sure if it will be a 10" dump, there is still some time to go. I think 6"-8" is a good call between I-80 and I-90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 GGEM panels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Here's the 00z GFS Cobb output for ORD: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/lot/bufkit/gfs3_kord.dat RFD: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/lot/bufkit/gfs3_krfd.dat MDW: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/lot/bufkit/gfs3_kmdw.dat DPA: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/lot/bufkit/gfs3_kdpa.dat Downtown CHI: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/lot/bufkit/gfs3_kcgx.dat MKE: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/lot/bufkit/gfs3_kmke.dat MLI: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/lot/bufkit/gfs3_kmli.dat DVN: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/lot/bufkit/gfs3_dvn.dat LAF: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/lot/bufkit/gfs3_klaf.dat CID: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/lot/bufkit/gfs3_kcid.dat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Here's the 00z GFS Cobb output for Downtown CHI: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/lot/bufkit/gfs3_kcgx.dat Congrats Alek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 ^ Definitely can see a lake influence with 12.3" at ORD and 14.2" in the loop. Entire GGEM run for snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Sref mean is 6 and 7 inches for DTW and ORD respectively but with a ton of spread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 EURO: 2nd wave starts impacting southern WI, northern IL by 5-6pm Tuesday. Axis of snow looks the same as before, so far. Out to 66 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 EURO: 2nd wave starts impacting southern WI, northern IL by 5-6pm Tuesday. Axis of snow looks the same as before, so far. Out to 60 hours. Through about 72 hours it shows light snows from Chicago through Detroit and Windsor. Track wise it looks fairly similar to the 0z thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 A tad north I think, but barely. Solid hit here. Detroit looks really good too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 A tad north I think, but barely. Solid hit here. Detroit looks really good too. A bit south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Surface low is still in Texas at 72 hours on the 00z ECMWF with no real hint of a surface reflection in our region. Not sure how that compares to previous run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Through 78hrs the Euro looks pretty similar to it's 12z to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Just compared the 12z Euro and 00z Euro. 00z definitely looks a bit slower especially by 96 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Through 78hrs the Euro looks pretty similar to it's 12z to me. Its slightly further south. QPF wise its about the same for most locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 By 84 the snow looks a bit more impressive from central IL through the northern 1/3 of Indiana. Looks to be a decent hit for the LAF bros. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 > 102 hours. ...Yeah it is slightly south. Definitely didn't buy the NAM's shenanigans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Lost a tenth, but we'll take it. Nice consistency at least. It's north...no, it's south. I got to start ponying up for the Euro again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 > 102 hours. 0zEURO_123013_snowfall.jpg With the exception of the asinine NAM, Chicago cannot be denied. Geos/Alek bullseye pretty much locked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 This run is wetter...About 1.00" QPF for Alek/Chicago. Subtract the Mon evening QPF for around 0.95"-ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Euro appears a bit less focused with the wave 3 precip across Iowa versus the previous runs. Cedar Rapids was down to 0.4" on the 12z and now 0.3" on the 00z. I've given up hope for anything big. Now I'll be happy with 3-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 what we looking for? a 990mb low over Columbus soon? We can only hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Close in for DTW and LOT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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