BowMeHunter Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Haha. The spread is 6-12" I guess for MKE. Depends on which model you want to believe. dunno what model to believe but the last time i looked at the models was 4 day ago and it seemed like a ho hum 1-4" event well south of here.... if i remember right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Well, the RGEM is not in the NAM camp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Well, the RGEM is not in the NAM camp. The Nam should be discontinued... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Well, the RGEM is not in the NAM camp. Yeah, looks like it would be further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 dunno what model to believe but the last time i looked at the models was 4 day ago and it seemed like a ho hum 1-4" event well south of here.... if i remember right? Typical clipper amounts I believe. Not hybrid frisbee type amounts. RGEM at 48 hours. Actually this might be more useful. GFS through 66 hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 0z GFS north through 69 hours. Still, will be good for Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chances14 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 NAMsnowfall_0z_010214.png BowMe, Wisc. Wx, & Brewers jackpot. I-69 corridor special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 00z GFS still looks great for northern IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 This is eerily similar to the last new moon hybrid frisbee low of Jan 1-2, 1965. A solid 8" in southern ON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Frisbee lows kinda suck. Anyways, nice run for IA, N IL, S WI, and MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Yeah, that looks nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 0z GFS is fairly similar to the previous run...Maybe a tick south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Feeling increasingly good about squeezing out something on the order of 1-3" here. It's not a lot but we'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 0z GFS a solid 6-8" from windsor to Niagara and north through the GTA/cobourg area. Ratios near 20:1 via instant weather maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 What a shock, no model is following the 12km NAM. I swear the 12km NAM is CRAS bad at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Another 11" run for here. That's 5 in a run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Thundersnow, Gilbert and whoever else lives around DuPage county is the jackpot on this run. Actually Cook as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Feeling increasingly good about squeezing out something on the order of 1-3" here. It's not a lot but we'll take it. It'd be great if the Euro remembered it's the King...and of course stuck with its 12z run depiction. But...1-3" would be pretty good all things considered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 lol....MASSIVE differences between nam and ukmet at 72 hours. Ukmet looks like the storm is just starting to gather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Name change alert -- new moon frisbee hybrid New Little Ice Age Onset storm. GFS has subzero near-blizzard conditions in all east to northeast wind lake enhancement zones, temps start near 10 F and end up close to -10 F. The main impact of this storm will be dangerous wind chill in moderate to heavy snow. Frisbee perhaps, but park bench minding your own business sudden frisbee to head type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Should cover about everything. The 6" + band seems to wider this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Amazing consistency continues with the GFS. 10-12" in northeast IL. The NAM will come around eventually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 lol....MASSIVE differences between nam and ukmet at 72 hours. Ukmet looks like the storm is just starting to gather.Lol at the low in Texas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 lol....MASSIVE differences between nam and ukmet at 72 hours. Ukmet looks like the storm is just starting to gather. At 60 hours, it's drastically different. Go Uncle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 What a shock, no model is following the 12km NAM. I swear the 12km NAM is CRAS bad at this point. LOL This. Everything about the run tonight is garbage. 50 kt low level jet that shunts the thermal gradient into WI on Wednesday morning. Global models should have a pretty decent handle on this system with this lead time. I expect there to be minor shifts still but nothing that takes northern IL and southern WI out of the overall sweet spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Alek bullseye of 0.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 It'd be great if the Euro remembered it's the King...and of course stuck with its 12z run depiction. But...1-3" would be pretty good all things considered. A few of the GFS ensembles have looked pretty interesting. If anything I think there's a higher chance I revise upward than downward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 A few of the GFS ensembles have looked pretty interesting. If anything I think there's a higher chance I revise upward than downward. Your optimism is comforting. But I have to ask, is it possible you raise your call into significant category? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Your optimism is comforting. But I have to ask, is it possible you raise your call into significant category? We'll see. Waiting patiently for Chad to chime in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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