Gilbertfly Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 yeah, there's still a few key little features that I am watching for fun....a tad more amped solutions perhaps cuts ratios a bit...but could provide a little bit more pivot action and linger lighter QPF longer. And also the MKX GEOS LE action could prove to be an interesting factor in terms of saturation and some actual additional inches...although saturation doesn't look to be much of an issue. I'm liking the looks of the DGZ zone...some minor shattering seems plausible...but the nice thing is that the cold air is in place and has a decent foothold already due to the prior clippers... Fun event....obviously enhanced by it's potential impacts IMBY...but fun none-the-less .... some interesting micro/now casting looks probable as the event unfolds (but I guess it always is to an extent) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 The new and improved, yet still really crappy 12z NAVGEM is a solid hit for Indiana. True desperation move on my part. I won't post the map for fear of being banned, but I'm sorry to tell you that the JMA is in the NAM camp, so discount the NAVGEM. I'll wave at it as it passes to my north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Final GEM liquid totals out yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Final GEM liquid totals out yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Euro looks like it will have a bit less QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 EURO has it snowing here from just after 60 hour beyond 84 hours so far. Center of wave 3 over I-80/88 corridor. Definitely LEhS on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 EURO has it snowing here from just after 60 hour beyond 84 hours so far. Center of wave 3 over I-80 corridor. Definitely LEhS on this run. you guys are gonna get snow belt type snow. longest stretch I've had was 2 weeks last Winter. Have seen a week straight so far this Winter. you to Alek over to Detroit/Toledo gets a heavy dose of winter! congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Good run for the LAF brothers. Sfc low deepens nicely overnight weds into Thursday morning and gets them in on some good snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Good run for the LAF brothers. Sfc low deepens nicely overnight weds into Thursday morning and gets them in on some good snows. Time for Tim to put us in the contest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 In Euro we trust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 I'm in the bullseye Alek was in last night. 0.8" at UGN. Snows all the way to 108 hr. Looks really good for NE IL, all of southern MI, and northern IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Time for Tim to put us in the contest. Official snow measuring sites only. Want to keep it legit I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 In Euro we trust. DGEX agrees. Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Well the 12z Euro looks pretty good for much of the sub-forum. Has a decent amount of qpf in a wide spectrum. The cold supply across the north will help make way for some decent snow ratios (>10:1). It all depends how far south this digs and the PV placement. For now I would presume the heaviest qpf to lie between Chicago and Detroit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Geos/Alek bullseye FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 DGEX agrees. Lock it in. JMA/NAM vs DGEX/NAVGEM. What an epic battle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 My take on the lake enhancement for the western shore of LM is that many of the parameters look favorable with one exception being the inversion heights which don't look all that great, at least through midweek. That being said, delta Ts look sufficient and there is deep moisture through much of the column and I think this will be easily capable of adding a few if not several inches on top of the system snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Geos/Alek bullseye FTW Almost 24 hours worth of a ENE/NE flow on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Euro looks much wimpier with the Wed system for Iowa. Had been much more robust earlier on. Hope that trend stops now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Iowa has taken a pretty good negative hit on the 12z model runs, largely due to the 3rd wave being less organized/amped while traversing the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Nice lolly above for Windsor and Detroit..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 shame we've had such a cold winter...LE could have been much more special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Almost 24 hours worth of a ENE/NE flow on this run. euro_LOT_114hr.jpg euro_DTW_120hr.png odd to see precip totals increase from Ohio east. Usually in this type of set up, where a primary heads into Ohio and a secondary reforms, you see a drop off in qpf between OH and the Apps. Nice to look at but I'm verrrry skeptical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Zoomed in for Toronto/southern Ontario, Buffalo areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 ouch i'm gonna bust low for many after seeing that euro qpf... normally seems euro comes in early as one of drier of the models too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Zoomed in for Toronto/southern Ontario, Buffalo areas. euro_BUF_132hr.jpg congrats BuffaloWeather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 12z ECMWF: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 ouch i'm gonna bust low for many after seeing that euro qpf... normally seems euro comes in early as one of drier of the models too. Euro has been running wet IMBY for a while now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Euro has been running wet IMBY for a while now hope it's close this time.. you deserve a good snow with no worries of taint.. GL to you and all. F Da Bears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Lol^ Some 850mb temps at 90, 96 hours. 72-102 hours the winds stay off the lake. Off of Lake Huron it's about the same time length. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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