Chicago WX Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Don't mess with me...I had a root canal this afternoon. Ah, so that's why you called for 15" in Alek's hood. All drugged up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 With the clipper tonight being south and more robust in some areas (Des Moines, for example) you can probably forget about any north trend with this main wave. I will probably bump down my local prediction to 1-3" like Bowme if things continue to look dire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 From the LSX WRF. Perfect long fetch down the lake, might even be a bit of a Lake Superior connection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 With the clipper tonight being south and more robust in some areas (Des Moines, for example) you can probably forget about any north trend with this main wave. I will probably bump down my local prediction to 1-3" like Bowme if things continue to look dire.Ok...Not a set up for a north trend anyways... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Remember how we used to make our own maps and post them to the boards? Yeah, that was fun... Im going with 2-4" over the STL metro. So Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Ah, so that's why you called for 15" in Alek's hood. All drugged up. haha, what a call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 With the clipper tonight being south and more robust in some areas (Des Moines, for example) you can probably forget about any north trend with this main wave. I will probably bump down my local prediction to 1-3" like Bowme if things continue to look dire. MKX just upped their amounts. haha Not sure if anyone looked at the RGEM... as far as it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 classic MKX, they've completely dethroned DVN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 From Skilling's facebook: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 does skilling's RPM run every 15 minutes, seems like that dude is posting snow maps all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 does skilling's RPM run every 15 minutes, seems like that dude is posting snow maps all the time. Well the R does mean Rapid...or is it Repeatedly...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 And then LE?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 And then LE?? yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 so Skilling says 9.1" imby, but LOT says 2-4"? No LE gonna make it here so far out from the lake. The RPM must be whacked out as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 SREF plumes with the first decrease of the event down to 7.8" at ORD...tight cluster from 5.5 to 9.5, a couple sub 2" turds, a few 10"+ MKE drops below ORD at 7.5 pretty good signal the 0z NAM will come south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 so Skilling says 9.1" imby, but LOT says 2-4"? No LE gonna make it here so far out from the lake. The RPM must be whacked out as usual. The equation that usually works is RPM/2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 wave 1 precip shield looks smaller, but wetter thru H19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 pretty good signal the 0z NAM will come south. Not really...Especially since they're run off of previous data. They're just coming in line with the rest of guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The equation that usually works is RPM/2 yeah it's just annoying that he keeps posting this turd of a model and acting like its legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 31, 2013 Author Share Posted December 31, 2013 SREF plumes with the first decrease of the event down to 7.8" at ORD...tight cluster from 5.5 to 9.5, a couple sub 2" turds, a few 10"+ MKE drops below ORD at 7.5 pretty good signal the 0z NAM will come south. Is that how it works? 21z SREFs aren't privy to the 0z RAOB intake AFAIA so even if the NAM comes south I wouldn't think there's a correlation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 21z SREFs aren't privy to the 0z RAOB intake AFAIA so even if the NAM comes south I wouldn't think there's a correlation. Correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 31, 2013 Author Share Posted December 31, 2013 Correct. Cool. I'm not crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 wave 1 precip shield looks smaller, but wetter thru H19 continues through H26....juicy lead wave with sharper cutoff of QPF up north....position/orientation looks similar to 18Z though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 quality QPF 80 north in LOT area with lead wave gonna be a weenie run for LOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 The NAM looks like it will finally jump ship. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 over 7 inches at Chicago metro with the lead wave thru 12Z 01JAN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 massive amounts of pixie dust with tonight's wave. Nice white coating on the ground before tomorrow's show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I think that the LOT map covers only the Tuesday night/Wednesday morning snowfall, not any LES that occurs on Wednesday or any snow from the second wave on Wednesday night into Thursday. The RPM image may cover all of them -- not sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 nam is much stronger through 36. Gonna be South with wave 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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