Hoosier Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 agree...in fact i'd favor them over Cook/Lake IL at this point There's enough easterly component and with the progged convergence zone I'd still favor IL more but it could be very close. I know you're usually bearish on lake scenarios but this looks pretty good for your area and not like we're talking about 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 30, 2013 Author Share Posted December 30, 2013 I'll trade this for the D7 superstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 I'll trade this for the D7 superstorm. Will you still be in Toronto, for the storm of your life? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 There's enough easterly component and with the progged convergence zone I'd still favor IL more but it could be very close. I know you're usually bearish on lake scenarios but this looks pretty good for your area and not like we're talking about 5 days out. I'll always be bearish on them but this does check most of my boxes. Looking forward to seeing some of the hi-res guidance once the slp track becomes a bit more solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 I'll trade this for the D7 superstorm.Shades of January 17, 1994?But yeah I would gladly trade for that D7 storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 30, 2013 Author Share Posted December 30, 2013 Will you still be in Toronto, for the storm of your life? It's actually the day I leave. No plane's departing YYZ if that verifies though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 There's enough easterly component and with the progged convergence zone I'd still favor IL more but it could be very close. I know you're usually bearish on lake scenarios but this looks pretty good for your area and not like we're talking about 5 days out. one other more positive note, I actually do best when convergence just hugs the shore like this, if the easterly component is too strong, the bands can back a little too far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 this one is going to haunt me like a storm 3 or 4 or 5 yrs ago or so lol? racine county south to chicago hammered.. cirrus up here. dropped the snow machines off around 7 mile road and they had about 14" of fluff and nothing up here around college ave exit. trend is heading that direction again... DAB for me. Christmas 2010 event you thinking of? Or that March event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 It's actually the day I leave. No plane's departing YYZ if that verifies though. Haha, what impeccable timing the lala land Euro has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 There's enough easterly component and with the progged convergence zone I'd still favor IL more but it could be very close. I know you're usually bearish on lake scenarios but this looks pretty good for your area and not like we're talking about 5 days out. What's your opinion further up in WI? Models seem to like NE IL with the LE but from my experience it seems MKE south does very good in these NE wind scenarios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 this one is going to haunt me like a storm 3 or 4 or 5 yrs ago or so lol? racine county south to chicago hammered.. cirrus up here. dropped the snow machines off around 7 mile road and they had about 14" of fluff and nothing up here around college ave exit. trend is heading that direction again... DAB for me. It's a concern, but you're too close to reserving the apartment next to Alek on Debbie Downer Lane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 30, 2013 Author Share Posted December 30, 2013 Shades of January 17, 1994? But yeah I would gladly trade for that D7 storm I have no recollection of that storm. EURO kind of reminds of the February 2009 bait and switch deal. That's why I can't get too attached. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Nice battle shaping up, bowme is down for DAB...MKX says 6"+ I know when to hold um or fold em unlike milwaukee. I'm sure they've noticed the trend the last 12 hrs too though so I doubt they go too bullish this afternoon.. it's already a DAB up by saukville and probably working its way down south more at 18z. 1-3" would be my call...3 being generous. les i never count on and i could see that being south or not even making it that far inland here. rac/kenosha special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Nice battle shaping up, bowme is down for DAB...MKX says 6"+ Reality will be in between, at least for the airport, north side of town will be closer to a DAB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Christmas 2010 event you thinking of? Or that March event? sounds right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Christmas 2010 event you thinking of? Or that March event? I got like 2"....pass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 It's a concern, but you're too close to reserving the apartment next to Alek on Debbie Downer Lane. meh this turd is smeared all over the wall.. maybe things change for the better but i wouldn't count on it, better chance it gets even worse. it's too bad because yesterday this thing looked like it had just enough room to become something pretty decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 I have no recollection of that storm. EURO kind of reminds of the February 2009 bait and switch deal. That's why I can't get too attached.Verbatim the EURO is a graze job for YYZ wrt to the D7 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 I got like 2"....pass lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Christmas 2010 was legit. RAC and ENW picked up 6-8" in 2hrs. MKE definitely got shafted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 lol 3" my bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 30, 2013 Author Share Posted December 30, 2013 Verbatim the EURO is a graze job for YYZ wrt to the D7 storm. oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Remember how we used to make our own maps and post them to the boards? Yeah, that was fun... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 best post^ and a good map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 My guess is that the King has been making day seven forecasts over at Mayor Rob Ford's house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 meh this turd is smeared all over the wall.. maybe things change for the better but i wouldn't count on it, better chance it gets even worse. it's too bad because yesterday this thing looked like it had just enough room to become something pretty decent. Possibly the case, but in the event the second wave trends stronger, it will likely eek back north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Possibly the case, but in the event the second wave trends stronger, it will likely eek back north. model diagnostic disco pretty much puts the chances of that at 0% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Solid map. Fits my call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 The most likely areas to experience LES. Sorry BowMe. It will likely extend further inland, but this area should see the highest amounts on this side of the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 I'm going to be interested to see what the 00Z models do tonight and then the Euro later tonight... see if we have consistency with what we've seen the last 12-24hrs or so, or if we go back to something that we had earlier yesterday. Consistency greater than 24hrs on the models is what I'm looking for now. Also want to see if the moisture amounts hold too. As I said earlier in the thread, I don't buy moisture output greater than 36hrs out from an event and If the models crank out insane moisture I usually go with a 33% reduction. Its why I never get super excited about snow systems to early. Lots on the map with this entire set up and evolution that can and probably will change I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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