michsnowfreak Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Quick look at the GFS ensembles...they are still all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 4km NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 RPM showing the LES plume nicely. Just nudge that thing a little west... Yeah, about 175 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 ride the NAM every day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 ride the NAM every day Actually as terrible as the 12km NAM has been, the 4km NAM has actually been pretty decent this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Jeez the models are awful right now. Fully expect another flip in a few hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 safe to take a grande cheese special off the table? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Quick look at the GFS ensembles...they are still all over the place. Most of them are GFS-like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Actually looking at the models beyond the Tues-Wed snow. It looks active through at least the 10th. Plenty of clippers for the region Not sure what it will amount to, it is interesting nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Latest SREF plume mean snowfall at DTW actually increased to 8.1" from its previous run of 6.9". The lowest sref member gives 1.8", the highest 16.3" (this includes tonights snow). Must be trying to pull the old "ratio trick". I figure 10:1 on everything, even if its 15:1 or 20:1, it will settle to 10:1 within hours. The GFS has about 0.30 of liquid for Detroit... Probably 3-5 inches. Whoopti doo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 ride the NAM every day I hope the NAM is right, if not... track this sucker 150 miles north and just add more to Northern Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Must be trying to pull the old "ratio trick". I figure 10:1 on everything, even if its 15:1 or 20:1, it will settle to 10:1 within hours. The GFS has about 0.30 of liquid for Detroit... Probably 3-5 inches. Whoopti doo. I hope the NAM is right, if not... track this sucker 150 miles north and just add more to Northern Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 It'll be interesting to see what Skilling says in a bit for Chicago. He's usually pretty bullish with lake effect enhancement scenarios IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 The WRF ran out of IWX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Thanks Keener, that's about as good as it gets for the west side of the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 First of all the new RPM amounts. 9z SREF plume means: LSE: 8.0" MSN: 9.5" MKE: 9.9" RFD: 7.2" DVN: 3.7" DKB: 6.3" UGN: 9.1" ORD: 7.5" GYY: 6.3" BTL: 8.8" FWA: 3.9" LAF: 2.1" GRR: 9.0" DTW: 8.2" TOL: 6.6" CLE: 6.4" BUF: 10.6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 30, 2013 Author Share Posted December 30, 2013 Problem might not be him per se...might be that ridiculous title of hybrid frisbee. You have the power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 those 9z SREF plumes are pretty contaminated by the NAM influence, if they don't trend down with amounts on the northern fringe at 15z i'll be surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Meanwhile Newberry is looking at several feet. We need to have a fund to buy a GLOV snow weenie observation lodge in the UP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Lol at Skilling's face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 and lol @ skilling's face in that screencap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Meanwhile Newberry is looking at several feet. We need to have a fund to buy a GLOV snow weenie observation lodge in the UP. didn't we have a thread for this kind of stuff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 and lol @ skilling's face in that screencap Looks like he's forced into that graphic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Lol, yeah I thought that was a funny expression too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Most of them are GFS-like. Actually looking at the 72-hr precip they are....its more difficult when looking at individual 6hr frames when all the timing is off. Still not too bad for the ORD-DTW corridor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Euro coming in drier....basically .2-.3" across S WI and N IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Thus far by the looks of it, the latest Euro looks almost the same as the 0z. Maybe a bit drier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Euro coming in drier....basically .2-.3" across S WI and N IL Thus far by the looks of it, the latest Euro looks almost the same as the 0z. Maybe a bit drier. classic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Meanwhile Newberry is looking at several feet. We need to have a fund to buy a GLOV snow weenie observation lodge in the UP. I'm actually looking at buying a small cottage between white fish and paradise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Thanks Keener, that's about as good as it gets for the west side of the lake. Usually it does pretty well with Lake Effect Snow, especially with regards to placement of the band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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