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Winter 2013-14 Pattern Discussion II


buckeyefan1

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So in defense of this model run, we are finally getting some blocking, not sure this qualifies as a traditional -NAO/-AO but you can see the blocking coming down from the pole, that helps keep the HP locked in place which help suppresses the storm, that isn't there than the HP slides off the coast, the low cuts and we are 60F and rain.  Both Euro ENS and GFS/GEFS agree this occurs.  We just need the storm and a whole lot of luck.  Still think this trends back to a miller B though.

 

 

gfs_z500a_namer_55.png

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