PB GFI Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Clown maprs are showing 10 to 12 around the area keep in my mind that 10 to 1 - this should be better if the euro is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 If you look closely this wasn't a pure miller A. The initial low over northern GA transfers to the VA/NC border between hours 84 and 90. If this was a true miller A it would have been even better than what this shows. The system could ramp up very quickly once the dynamics are in place. Remember, Boxing Day 2010 really maxed out over us-New England had to deal with numerous dryslots because the low bombed out too soon for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 If this thing does indeed tap into the gulf and does turn into a pure miller A i expect the moisture contect to go up a good bit and not because of gulf/ atlantic moisture this will be a long duration event. Focus on the system, its track and intensity and we'll worry about accumulations by wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Clown maprs are showing 10 to 12 around the area keep in my mind that 10 to 1 - this should be better if the euro is right Even for us in Monmouth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 H5 looked really good on that run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 If this closes off soon enough it will turn into a HECS, however as stated earlier the flow needs to be a tick slower and believe me it is not far from doing just that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 The system could ramp up very quickly once the dynamics are in place. Remember, Boxing Day 2010 really maxed out over us-New England had to deal with numerous dryslots because the low bombed out too soon for them. Didnt see any mixing issues for us this time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 I think we're still pretty far away from nailing down the final solution. Most of the snow is very light except for about 6-12 hours when we hang under the CCB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hohnywx Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 i think we should make separate threads for the models runs like we used to Definitely. It worked so much better in the old days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 If this closes off soon enough it will turn into a HECS, however as stated earlier the flow needs to be a tick slower and believe me it is not far from doing just that I admire your enthusiasm but you should try to read more. This never closes off and the H5 pattern as currently modeled doesn't support that happening. The trough stays neutral tilt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Please stop posting your garbage. Thanks! If this closes off soon enough it will turn into a HECS, however as stated earlier the flow needs to be a tick slower and believe me it is not far from doing just that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Even for us in Monmouth? On the Euro yes 8 to 10 based on 10 to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 On the Euro yes 8 to 10 based on 10 to 1 nice thanks man. Looking good as of now. Hope the entire I-95 corridor gets walloped! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Off topic but incoming hour 156. Yet another southern stream storm turning the corner hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Weatherbell has total qpf 1.2ish for LI...I refuse to mention their snow maps though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Off topic but incoming hour 156. Yet another southern stream storm turning the corner hard. Yes GFS was also on this track for Monday-Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 nice thanks man. Looking good as of now. Hope the entire I-95 corridor gets walloped! Try and blend them all , dont look at the best . I can see 6 plus , 12 will need way more model support over the next 24 hours for me to buy that . Theres always risk on the EC with ANY miller A or B , just wana see consistency before you can go crazy with amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Even for us in Monmouth? You get crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 You get crushed. Haha actually per WxBell its 10 - 12 for most of Monmouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Off topic but incoming hour 156. Yet another southern stream storm turning the corner hard. Off topic but incoming hour 156. Yet another southern stream storm turning the corner hard. Its been on banter for 2 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Please stop posting your garbage. Thanks! Are you joking? I hope so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Almost all of NNJ is below 0 at hour 120. Far NW is -5 to -10 and lower Hudson valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Almost all of NNJ is below 0 at hour 120.that is entirely dependent on deep snow cover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 that is entirely dependent on deep snow cover Just posting what the model shows. I see no reason why the area wouldn't be under deep snow cover at that hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Are you joking? I hope so. Its ok buddy i know hes joking, the lmao emoticon showed it and he had a point i was wrong. I will give him that and take my lumps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Just posting what the model shows. I see no reason why the area wouldn't be under deep snow cover at that hour. If we do get some deep snowcover later this week its going to be bone chilling frigid yanks! Not looking forward to the bitter cold, a blizzard? Im down not bitter cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Prepare the mother of god imagery When YOU of all people say that.... scary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 CPK as per Euro HR 90 2 M temp 20 850s Minus 3 .3 HR 96 2M temp 15 850`s Minus 10 .3 HR 108 2M temp 11 850`s Minus 10 .3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 When YOU of all people say that.... scary. Earthlight is one the most all around best mets who doesnt have a red tag on this board. When he jumps on board like that he knows its something worth celebrating. Ill never debate that man when he puts his ass on the line because he usually backs it up with some great fact and meteorlogical information Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 CPK as per Euro HR 90 2 M temp 20 850s Minus 3 .3 HR 96 2M temp 15 850`s Minus 10 .3 HR 108 2M temp 11 850`s Minus 10 .3 NYC... Forky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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