dabiggiu Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 I know it isn't talked about much but the UKMET at 72hr looks like the evolution would be similar to the 12z GFS UKMET GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 I hate to say it guys...not where we want to be at 90 hours out...just coming from experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Euro looks INCreidble. Hr 96. Heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 This run is glorious for us, and even more so for New England, there should be no complaints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Continue to be under the CCB 102. There.are.no.words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Hr 102 mother of god. Ccb ownage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Hour 102 is a sub 984mb low 150 miles southeast of ACY, area getting raked by the CCB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Hr 96 mod to heVy snow. 992 east of Delmarva Wow. If the trends for more digging of the northern stream energy hold, I think the other models will come around to a big solution for us. The blocking and PV placement are key. That forces the favorable track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 I hate to say it guys...not where we want to be at 90 hours out...just coming from experience. Where we want to be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 I hate to say it guys...not where we want to be at 90 hours out...just coming from experience. If the GFS and the GGEM were like this, then I'd be concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 This run is glorious for us, and even more so for New England, there should be no complaints. Please start spitting out the QPF when yiou can. Include MMU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 I hate to say it guys...not where we want to be at 90 hours out...just coming from experience. On the GFS or NAM prob , not so sure on Euro . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 I hate to say it guys...not where we want to be at 90 hours out...just coming from experience. what do you see as the downside? More out to sea? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 You live in SNE?. no. ok. It looks great for our area. Its big for them too..they jumped the gun...a miller A like this can be big for lots of people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 8"+ for all. For those worrying about being in the bulls eye, that is far from the truth. Southern New England is the bulls eye this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 By Friday afternoon it's over. Total qpf all snow 1.00+ for city east and .75+ for nj. Ton of qpf for Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Its big for them too..they jumped the gun...a miller A like this can be big for lots of people This is why Miller A's are awesome compared to Miller B's. They are often far more massive, loaded with moisture, and are far less likely to screw someone over via dry slot or mixed/rain zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 For those worried that euro had miller b and gfs a miller a. Now the euro is also showing a miller a. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 QPF is generally 0.75"+ west of the GSP, 1"+ for the city. 1.5"+ for most of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Multiple things could go wrong...the phase could be later...primary in the next 24 hr might be stronger...whiff out to sea....these are all things that are possible...the likelihood of the Euro bullseye being correct this far out is slim...chances are, however, increasing for a 4+ inch event for the NYC metro. If we do in fact get into a CCB...it appears that we may have optimal conditions for higher ratios... what do you see as the downside? More out to sea? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Sv snow maps have 8-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 By Friday afternoon it's over. Total qpf all snow 1.00+ for city east and .75+ for nj. Ton of qpf for Long Island Track SE of the benchmark? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Sv snow maps have 8-10I actually expected to see more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Multiple things could go wrong...the phase could be later...primary in the next 24 hr might be stronger...whiff out to sea....these are all things that are possible...the likelihood of the Euro bullseye being correct this far out is slim...chances are, however, increasing for a 4 inch event for the NYC metro. of course but id rather have it showing this than what it showed yesterday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 How does the hudson valley look QPF? 1 inch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 If you look closely this wasn't a pure miller A. The initial low over northern GA transfers to the VA/NC border between hours 84 and 90. If this was a true miller A it would have been even better than what this shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Multiple things could go wrong...the phase could be later...primary in the next 24 hr might be stronger...whiff out to sea....these are all things that are possible...the likelihood of the Euro bullseye being correct this far out is slim...chances are, however, increasing for a 4 inch event for the NYC metro. High risk, high reward as always. You have to at least like the trends for more digging of the northern stream. Hopefully the models won't lose that as they should be better sampling the waves from here on out. Unless the blocking yields out of the way, I like our chances for at least something notable (like you said, 4"+). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Appears to be a hybrid. If you look closely this wasn't a pure miller A. The initial low over northern GA transfers to the VA/NC border between hours 84 and 90. If this was a true miller A it would have been even better than what this shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 If you look closely this wasn't a pure miller A. The initial low over northern GA transfers to the VA/NC border between hours 84 and 90. If this was a true miller A it would have been even better than what this shows. It could still be trending that way then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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