Baroclinic Zone Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 doubters of what? 1-9-9-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Unsweetened Ice tea. Man I am feeling this month.I hope DT is right. He was thinking top 10 Jan for NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 How does this match up with your winter prediction?I only did six week sections, this is my forecast for this week issued 11/22.W/E 1/4/14 Return to below normal cold possible coastal snowstorm around the 4th -2,-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 doubters of what?The analog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 1-9-9-4this storm doesn't look like anything from that winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Huh, didn't really expect that...but that is a sweet GFS depiction to be honest.yeah getting there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 this storm doesn't look like anything from that winterYou better look at the number one analog on the Cips site and get back to me. Also the following week of cold with the PV is dead nuts at 5H. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 So out of the 12Z box so far. NAM looks decent Gfs looks decent convective issues aside. Navgem looks decent Cmc a light to moderate event. My call is for euro to be less embed but still pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 this storm doesn't look like anything from that winter It actually looks really similar to the early January '94 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 gfs ens mean is pretty flat. have to wait to see the individual members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 It actually looks really similar to the early January '94 storm. really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 We kid with the Leon reference and it upsets the tradionalist conservatives but behind the kidding lies science. It's all good no two years are alike but similarly setups yield sometimes similar results. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 I know its early, but currently when would the snow start? My brother in law is flying out of Manchester at 6am Thursday morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 GEFS certainly way better than 06z. Edit, way better is overdoing it, but looked better to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 gfs ens mean is pretty flat. have to wait to see the individual members That's a disappointment. Was hoping it would be more amped than the op run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 GEFS certainly way better than 06z.nice,blowing and drifting and I am glad you were the one who mentioned high tides, I have strayed away from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 really? Storm after that...I think it was about 3 days later. Same overrunning out ahead of the main trough which comes in through the plains/midwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 the atlantic is totally different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 I know its early, but currently when would the snow start? My brother in law is flying out of Manchester at 6am Thursday morning... As early as Wednesday night with lighter overrunning snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Ukie looks flatter than the GFS at 72hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 If the GFS verified, that would be one of the coldest snowstorms in memory around here. We'd be in the single digits for most of the day on Friday with several inches of snow falling. When was the last time that happened in central CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 If the GFS verified, that would be one of the coldest snowstorms in memory around here. We'd be in the single digits for most of the day on Friday with several inches of snow falling. When was the last time that happened in central CT? January 05? I remember temps were in the single digits that morning as it started Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 As early as Wednesday night with lighter overrunning snows. Thanks - so he should still be able to get in the air you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 the atlantic is totally different 1/7-8/94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 1/7-8/94 the atlantic is still different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Thanks - so he should still be able to get in the air you think? We will see.. I think we will have a better handle on overrunning intensity tomorrow. So much is changing run to run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 the atlantic is still differentOy vey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 A lot of guidance coming in flatter this morning per posts? Edit...just looked at ukmet and it's flatter at 72 hours but I wonder if like the euro it's digging for a stronger d4 solution? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 the atlantic is still different Doesn't really change that closer to home the synoptic setup was similar. This one looks like a stronger high to the north if we're getting picky and who knows if this one has a secondary that ends up wraaping up more than guidance shows (minus the Euro). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 What's the KMA have? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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