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Big Snow Threat Disco Jan2/3


Damage In Tolland

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Qpf is 0.75+ for sne closer to 1 just n of BOS and ne. But 1+ for western ma including mpm.

1.00+ NNE. But more for coastal de Maine.

 

We caught up in the later stages, but if this looked like the 00z ensembles the SNE amounts would certainly be higher and the NNE amounts would not change much.

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You missed my post I guess. You get prolonged WAA.

 

Yeah I must've... but I just saw it on the Wunderground maps and I'd lock that ECM run up in a heartbeat.  Normally I'm very afraid of that low track as the systems are usually more compact... but most of the models have some huge area of circulation and the precip shield is pretty large.  Add in the fact that it shouldn't take much WAA to get it to precipitate with that cold airmass in place, plus the 850/700mb lows seem decently NW, so the surface low track isn't scaring me as much, lol.  Not that any of you really care... just speaking aloud. 

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Yeah it would be.  That doesn't mean it's right, but it's also a much more concentric low than the disorganized op run.

oh i know, just wanted a point of reference to the op. personally i think the euro is a little out of whack as is the gfs. somewhere in between th 2 would be my best quess at this point.

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