weathafella Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 On 12/29/2013 at 4:19 PM, forkyfork said: This to me is the perfect system. I don't car about retention as much as many. Frequent refreshers is my thing.oh come on. a "perfect" system for you is jan 78/jan 05/feb 13/april 97... Well duh. But I know limitations and those are once a decade or 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 looks like gfs wants to hang on to this as a semi 50/50 as the next system tries to cut into the GL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 I think that solution is one that people in southeast mass would take in a heartbeat. Can't really ask for much more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 On 12/29/2013 at 4:22 PM, weathafella said: Well duh. But I know limitations and those are once a decade or 3. I don't like what social media has done to the world of meteorology, but that is a topic for the next gtg and/or an OT thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2013 Author Share Posted December 29, 2013 Wonder if that next event after this one is an icing threat for SNE? Looks like it could be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Looks like the 12z GGEM is in the same boat as the GFS. Not nearly as amped up as yesterday and overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2013 Author Share Posted December 29, 2013 24-36 hour event on the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 the flow does favor a coastal SNE jackpot.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 GFS doing remarkable this year so far it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Wonder if this doing a slooooow fade job. Love a tick nw tonite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Having a retention fetish, the monstrosity that follows on the GFS suks for me. Anyone think verbatum, per GFS we'd be able to hang on to the snowpack that rebuilds from this storm? Or at least hang onto piles in parking lots... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 On 12/29/2013 at 5:05 PM, cpick79 said: Wonder if this doing a slooooow fade job. Love a tick nw tonite I think people are concentrating on the low too much, concentrate on the flow..overrunning. That's why there's good snow into NNE despite a well SE "low track" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2013 Author Share Posted December 29, 2013 Also signs of a nice coastal front which will enhance snow amounts esp pike south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 GEFS are a nice hit I think. QPF queens really need to look at the broad picture. It's a fairly uniform snow distribution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 On 12/29/2013 at 5:12 PM, CoastalWx said: GEFS are a nice hit I think. QPF queens really need to look at the broad picture. It's a fairly uniform snow distribution. Verbatim, I agree. Just looking at the raw qpf #'s from the GGEM and they are similar to the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 On 12/29/2013 at 4:07 PM, dendrite said: I think I post in most threads...even when I smoke cirrus. I've just been caught up in tonight's system. I won't try to "take" this system from SNE unless I get 2-3" of glop tonight. lol..."don't take our snow, this one is for us" I always love those situations. This looks like a good situation for the BOS and SE New England folks, especially who get tainted or left out of other bigger regional snowstorms. I can see why those folks love below normal air masses, for these set ups...and why I'm not as much of a fan haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 GEFS are bullish. 1.00+ all of MA/CT/RI 90% of NH and far southern VT. 1.25+ extreme coastal DE Maine. 0.75+ the rest of New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 NAVGEM is locked and loaded too. Stronger s/w and sharper trough. Bombs out just as it passes S of us. Goes from ~1000mb to ~988mb in 12h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Rick in eastern New York State 1+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 I mean people took a change in cmc as something worthwhile...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 On 12/29/2013 at 5:21 PM, weathafella said: GEFS are bullish. 1.00+ all of MA/CT/RI 90% of NH and far southern VT. 1.25+ extreme coastal DE Maine. 0.75+ the rest of New England. On 12/29/2013 at 5:23 PM, weathafella said: Rick in eastern New York State 1+ Got an image you can post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 On 12/29/2013 at 5:26 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Got an image you can post? I can't..SV subscription. Sorry! But if you have Raleighwx script it shows it. I ran 120 qpf back from 192 which would drop today's system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Just caught a look at the individual GFS Ensm members. There are a few toaster bath members in there that drill a primary up into the GL before 2ndary takes over. About 1/2 the members support roughly what the OP is doing though. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPRSNE_12z/ensprsloopmref.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Maybe cut 0.25 from my totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 On 12/29/2013 at 5:35 PM, weathafella said: Maybe cut 0.25 from my totals. That's only 24 hr totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 And the Ukie. Suppressed storm track but probably get the SNE area pretty solid as it passes by. Much slower than the GFS and GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Friedmators..nice site...thanks! We have a prolonged event with mainly snow on all the guidance so far. Hard to complain if you're a New England snow lover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 On 12/29/2013 at 5:52 PM, weathafella said: Friedmators..nice site...thanks! We have a prolonged event with mainly snow on all the guidance so far. Hard to complain if you're a New England snow lover. I Really wanted to squeeze one more on December's tally in order to rival the big kahunas, but oh well. Get to work on January's totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2013 Share Posted December 29, 2013 Euro is not backing down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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