Big Snow Threat Disco Jan2/3

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 12/29/2013 at 12:39 PM, moneypitmike said:

Now that's my type of system.  In the true spirit of 'screw them and give me my snow', the system that flips east of Hartford through inside of 495/pike south is a thing of beauty.

 

Of course, I hope we all get snow. 

Lest your forget I was the only one the other day saying I thought this would bring snow all the way to Freak..Do you remember that?

[CoastalWx]

Tim has lost it.

[Johnno]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:07 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Congrats to everyone

• 45]

  Tim Kelley NECN ‏@SurfSkiWxMan1h

  Potential 48 hour snowstorm Cape Cod Thurs 6am - Sat 6am. Still not convinced it stays cold enough though.. My analog year this winter 04/05

• 45]

  Tim Kelley NECN ‏@SurfSkiWxMan59m

  #Blizzard possible, eying Jan 23-24 2005 comparison RT @turfman911 Is that B word still showing up in models ?

James? is that you? lol

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:08 PM, CoastalWx said:

If I had to guess, I think a track inside the BM is probably more likely than something well offshore. Not saying it will happen, but I think far offshore track likely is not going to happen.

Which do you see as more likely: a track 50 miles outside the BM

A track over BDL/ORH?

I think east

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:08 PM, CoastalWx said:

Tim has lost it.

He really feeds off the social media thing

His on air forecasts are more conservative

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Wow Tim kelley has gone completely off the rails. Didn't he forecast two major hurricane for this area this year as well?

Yikes, it's fine to think were getting a blizzard, but to keep pressing the issue on social media this far out, ehhhh

[powderfreak]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:06 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

2 days ago I saw sunny and highs struggling to reach 20 on Friday

Well 3 runs ago the Euro was Partly Cloudy and Cold.

GFS had some snow but we know to follow the EURO (unless it doesn't have snow, then go with the snowy model) in the longer range.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:08 PM, CoastalWx said:

Tim has lost it.

It seems on Twitter a lot of folks appreciate him discussing the possibilities 

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:11 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

It seems on Twitter a lot of folks appreciate him discussing the possibilities

Without caging words, credibility can be lost

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:12 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

Without caging words, credibility can be lost

What would Timmy think if he saw these comments about him?

[powderfreak]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:10 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

He really feeds off the social media thing

His on air forecasts are more conservative

Yeah I mean even talking to him in person or on the phone he's much more reserved and is good at talking out the options. But social media is a hype driven tool...

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:13 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

What would Timmy think if he saw these comments about him?

I will tweet him

He listens to me

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:13 PM, powderfreak said:

Yeah I mean even talking to him in person or on the phone he's much more reserved and is good at talking out the options. But social media is a hype driven tool...

That could be why I like Twitter so much

[CoastalWx]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:09 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

Which do you see as more likely: a track 50 miles outside the BM

A track over BDL/ORH?

I think east

Well not over central MA I hope lol. This likely will not move into mainland SNE.

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:15 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

That could be why I like Twitter so much

You need to wrassle with DT more often

[Tropopause_Fold]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:08 PM, CoastalWx said:

If I had to guess, I think a track inside the BM is probably more likely than something well offshore. Not saying it will happen, but I think far offshore track likely is not going to happen.

yeah i tend to agree. the only way i could see south would be if it became more strung out. 

[powderfreak]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:11 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

It seems on Twitter a lot of folks appreciate him discussing the possibilities

You mean the exotic possibilities. You wouldn't pay attention if he was mainly talking about the possibility of this whole trough staying progressive and booting the whole thing way off-shore with partly cloudy skies and dry cold, lol.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:15 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

You need to wrassle with DT more often

I certainly beat him yesterday lol. Crushed

[CoastalWx]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:11 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

It seems on Twitter a lot of folks appreciate him discussing the possibilities

So get off on weenies bowing down to him and losing credibility in the met field? Look I appreciate people talking about possibilities, but c'mon....a 48 hr snowstorm?

[moneypitmike]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:07 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

 

Congrats to everyone

 

 

1. Tim Kelley NECN ‏@SurfSkiWxMan1h

   Potential 48 hour snowstorm Cape Cod Thurs 6am - Sat 6am. Still not convinced it stays cold enough though.. My analog year this winter 04/05

    
2.  
3. Tim Kelley NECN ‏@SurfSkiWxMan59m

   #Blizzard possible, eying Jan 23-24 2005 comparison RT @turfman911 Is that B word still showing up in models ?

 

 

Ridiculous.

 

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:08 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Lest your forget I was the only one the other day saying I thought this would bring snow all the way to Freak..Do you remember that?

 

Today or Thursday's?

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:15 PM, CoastalWx said:

Well not over central MA I hope lol. This likely will move into mainland SNE.

Really? Like the Cape? Or was that a typo?

[Tropopause_Fold]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:15 PM, CoastalWx said:

Well not over central MA I hope lol. This likely will move into mainland SNE.

 

you think? 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:17 PM, moneypitmike said:

Ridiculous.

 

 

Today or Thursday's?

Thursdays..Go back and you'll see the posts

[Tropopause_Fold]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:18 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Really? Like the Cape? Or was that a typo?

right over KTOL

[moneypitmike]

I didn't realize that James got a job writing the AFD at GYX.

 

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/... VERY INTERESTING SITUATION WILL UNFOLD EARLY THIS EVENING AS VERTICAL MOTIONS INCREASE RAPIDLY AHEAD OF COASTAL LOW NEAR LONG ISLAND NEW YORK. A DEGREE OR TWO EITHER WAY IN OUR LOW LEVEL SOUNDINGS WILL HAVE SIGNIFICANT RAMIFICATIONS OVER SOUTHERN AREAS. TIMING AND PENETRATION OF ARCTIC AIR WILL REMAIN CRITICAL AS WELL.

[CoastalWx]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:16 PM, Tropopause_Fold said:

yeah i tend to agree. the only way i could see south would be if it became more strung out.

Yeah if this is a complete POS than its way south like the 00z GEFS. Gut says no. I also think the euro op was a bit strung out and not the best looking storm.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:18 PM, Tropopause_Fold said:

right over KTOL

I'm pretty sure he left out the word "not" Or he's drunk

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:18 PM, Tropopause_Fold said:

you think?

for the SL? That would blow.

[CoastalWx]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:18 PM, Tropopause_Fold said:

you think?

Sorry see edit. Phone FTL. Likely will not move into mainland SNE.

[CoastalWx]

  On 12/29/2013 at 1:19 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

I'm pretty sure he left out the word "not" Or he's drunk

Sorry typo.