powderfreak Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 BTV's forecast for now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 It is a puzzling P&C for his region , no model shows him going from snow to rain eitherYeah...it's a little puzzling, but I don't like to bash forecasts before an event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 I think Bath looks good for 4"-7" snow. At least that's what p&c is showing. Good luck--you getting advisory snows while cars in Phippsburg get a free washing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 hopefully the lower els don't have to deal with 35F glop to start. I wonder how much an elevation component there is in this for your area down to MHT if the qpf thump was 6 hrs earlier i would think it would be more w the marginal airmass due to a bit of solar radiation. Ukie looks sorta mild at 850 in east nh (S of say ossipee over to cp of maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 p/c here is calling for accumulations of less than .5". ZFP has no mention of accumulation. Let's see how the 4:00p.m. package looks. I'll be leaving for Jackson from Northampton tomorrow at 2:00. Any ideas at what point I'll experience a change to snow (heading 91 to Rt 9 to 93)? TIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I think Bath looks good for 4"-7" snow. At least that's what p&c is showing. Mid-coast winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 700mb low track is now just ese of Portland on 18z nam instead of over Lewiston Where i want it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Mid-coast winter Map adjustment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 Map adjustment Isn't that the old one? I though the 8-10's were all over the place with teh new one.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 312 PM EST SAT DEC 28 2013 ...FAST MOVING COASTAL STORM TO BRING SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT... .A FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE UP THE NORTHEAST COAST AND ACROSS CAPE COD SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL SPREAD SNOW INTO MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE BEGINNING SUNDAY EVENING AND ENDING EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH THIS WILL BE A FAST MOVING STORM... IT WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A BAND OF HEAVY SNOWFALL JUST INLAND OF THE COAST. MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION MAY FALL AS RAIN NEAR THE COAST OF MAINE AND THROUGH SOUTHEAST NEW HAMPSHIRE... LIMITING TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THERE. INLAND AREAS OF CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE AND WESTERN MAINE COULD SEE 6 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW. MEZ012>014-019>022-028-NHZ004-006-290415- /O.UPG.KGYX.WS.A.0011.131229T2100Z-131230T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KGYX.WS.W.0010.131229T2100Z-131230T1100Z/ SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET- INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO- COASTAL WALDO-NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN CARROLL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUMFORD...NORWAY...FRYEBURG...OXFORD... FARMINGTON...WILTON...MADISON...SKOWHEGAN...PITTSFIELD... NORTH WINDHAM...GORHAM...BRIDGTON...LEWISTON-AUBURN... LIVERMORE FALLS...AUGUSTA...WATERVILLE...WINTERPORT...UNITY... BELFAST...LINCOLNVILLE...NORTH CONWAY...WOLFEBORO...OSSIPEE 312 PM EST SAT DEC 28 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 6 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 6 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES. * TIMING...BEGINNING SUNDAY EVENING AND ENDING BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. AREAS WHICH STILL HAVE ICE ON TREES FROM THE RECENT ICE STORM MAY BE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO ACCUMULATIONS CAUSING ADDITIONAL BROKEN LIMBS AND POWER OUTAGES. * WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...MAY DROP TO ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Map adjustment Nice upgrade for the inbreds of interior York County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Isn't that the old one? I though the 8-10's were all over the place with teh new one.... No, Its the one that came out with the WSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 BOX has just issued it's first......weenie deflator. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Nice upgrade for the inbreds of interior York County lol, Yeah, Could end up being a pretty special week when all said and done by next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I wonder where 850 line will be in east NH and sw maine /cp maine @7-10 pm tmrw. Close to either side of isothermal for a good chunk of area from MHT up thru nearly ossipee over to gray maine depending on the model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Yeah...it's a little puzzling, but I don't like to bash forecasts before an event. yeah, nobody does but I am sure the plow guys etc would like a heads up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I wonder where 850 line will be in east NH and sw maine /cp maine @7-10 pm tmrw. Close to either side of isothermal for a good chunk of area from MHT up thru nearly ossipee over to gray maine depending on the model. Could be all over the place as it will be a dynamically cooled system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 BOX has just issued it's first......weenie deflator. battle Royal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 lol...they must love you up there. I wouldn't rule rain out yet, but you definitely have the advantage via elevation. With that said, I can't find a model that doesn't give me all snow right now so I'm leaning more white over wet. This will be a pukey antecedent airmass though so hopefully the lower els don't have to deal with 35F glop to start. Precip starts just as the sun goes down. Sun angle doesn't count much right now but with this being a night storm and coming down hard for a short period I just have a good feeling this storm is going to over perform for areas that are marginal. Forecasts snow amounts for all areas have a better chance of busting low than high in IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 battle Royal Great WFO collaboration there.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Precip starts just as the sun goes down. Sun angle doesn't count much right now but with this being a night storm and coming down hard for a short period I just have a good feeling this storm is going to over perform for areas that are marginal. Forecasts snow amounts for all areas have a better chance of busting low than high in IMO. Would not count at all really even if it fell during the day this time of year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Wet snow is not going to be good for the lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 battle Royal I think that's Albany's map from this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 p/c here is calling for accumulations of less than .5". ZFP has no mention of accumulation. Let's see how the 4:00p.m. package looks. I'll be leaving for Jackson from Northampton tomorrow at 2:00. Any ideas at what point in NH I'll experience a change to snow (heading 91 to Rt 9 to 93)? TIA. Bump.--Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Great WFO collaboration there.......... Yea that's embarrassing, ALB has a great AFD up, have to agree with their thought process. MPM is wringing the shawl so tight wool is flying everywhere, enough to make a baby EWE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I think that's Albany's map from this morning. 1228 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Wet snow is not going to be good for the lines. Today didn't knock down all of the snow and ice in my 'hood's trees ... plenty remains, and likely much worse as one heads northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Would not count at all really even if it fell during the day this time of yearI think it could. There is gonna be an area near interior cp of nh/maine imo where its 33/34 for a decent slug of precip, the solar radiation before 3pm is still there and could effect marginal conditions when it comes to accumulations. So being after dark surely wont hurtI was getting good snow growth from band swinging thru ne mass cpl weeks ago @33.5 degrees around 230pm and as intensity waned accums actually became more apparent after 255-3pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Mid-coast winter Map adjustment I may literally be sitting on the r/s line with this one. Map shows 4"-6" but I have a bad feeling with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Bump.--Thanks. You are outrunning precip mike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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