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December 29th System


moneypitmike

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hopefully the lower els don't have to deal with 35F glop to start.

I wonder how much an elevation component there is in this for your area down to MHT if the qpf thump was 6 hrs earlier i would think it would be more w the marginal airmass due to a bit of solar radiation.

Ukie looks sorta mild at 850 in east nh (S of say ossipee over to cp of maine

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p/c here is calling for accumulations of less than .5".  ZFP has no mention of accumulation.  Let's see how the 4:00p.m. package looks.

 

I'll be leaving for Jackson from Northampton tomorrow at 2:00.  Any ideas at what point I'll experience a change to snow (heading 91 to Rt 9 to 93)?

 

TIA.

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME

312 PM EST SAT DEC 28 2013

...FAST MOVING COASTAL STORM TO BRING SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT...

.A FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE UP THE

NORTHEAST COAST AND ACROSS CAPE COD SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL

SPREAD SNOW INTO MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE BEGINNING SUNDAY EVENING

AND ENDING EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH THIS WILL BE A FAST

MOVING STORM... IT WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A BAND OF HEAVY SNOWFALL

JUST INLAND OF THE COAST. MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION MAY FALL AS

RAIN NEAR THE COAST OF MAINE AND THROUGH SOUTHEAST NEW HAMPSHIRE...

LIMITING TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THERE. INLAND AREAS OF CENTRAL

NEW HAMPSHIRE AND WESTERN MAINE COULD SEE 6 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW.

MEZ012>014-019>022-028-NHZ004-006-290415-

/O.UPG.KGYX.WS.A.0011.131229T2100Z-131230T1200Z/

/O.NEW.KGYX.WS.W.0010.131229T2100Z-131230T1100Z/

SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-

INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-

COASTAL WALDO-NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN CARROLL-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUMFORD...NORWAY...FRYEBURG...OXFORD...

FARMINGTON...WILTON...MADISON...SKOWHEGAN...PITTSFIELD...

NORTH WINDHAM...GORHAM...BRIDGTON...LEWISTON-AUBURN...

LIVERMORE FALLS...AUGUSTA...WATERVILLE...WINTERPORT...UNITY...

BELFAST...LINCOLNVILLE...NORTH CONWAY...WOLFEBORO...OSSIPEE

312 PM EST SAT DEC 28 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 6 AM EST

MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM

WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 6

AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES.

* TIMING...BEGINNING SUNDAY EVENING AND ENDING BY EARLY MONDAY

MORNING.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. AREAS

WHICH STILL HAVE ICE ON TREES FROM THE RECENT ICE STORM MAY BE

MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO ACCUMULATIONS CAUSING ADDITIONAL BROKEN

LIMBS AND POWER OUTAGES.

* WINDS...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...MAY DROP TO ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER

CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW

ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN

EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA

FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN

EMERGENCY.

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lol...they must love you up there. I wouldn't rule rain out yet, but you definitely have the advantage via elevation. With that said, I can't find a model that doesn't give me all snow right now so I'm leaning more white over wet. This will be a pukey antecedent airmass though so hopefully the lower els don't have to deal with 35F glop to start.

Precip starts just as the sun goes down.  Sun angle doesn't count much right now but with this being a night storm and coming down hard for a short period I just have a good feeling this storm is going to over perform for areas that are marginal.  Forecasts snow amounts for all areas have a better chance of busting low than high in IMO.

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Precip starts just as the sun goes down.  Sun angle doesn't count much right now but with this being a night storm and coming down hard for a short period I just have a good feeling this storm is going to over perform for areas that are marginal.  Forecasts snow amounts for all areas have a better chance of busting low than high in IMO.

 

:lol:  Would not count at all really even if it fell during the day this time of year

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p/c here is calling for accumulations of less than .5".  ZFP has no mention of accumulation.  Let's see how the 4:00p.m. package looks.

 

I'll be leaving for Jackson from Northampton tomorrow at 2:00.  Any ideas at what point in NH  I'll experience a change to snow (heading 91 to Rt 9 to 93)?

 

TIA.

 

Bump.--Thanks.

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:lol: Would not count at all really even if it fell during the day this time of year

I think it could. There is gonna be an area near interior cp of nh/maine imo where its 33/34 for a decent slug of precip, the solar radiation before 3pm is still there and could effect marginal conditions when it comes to accumulations. So being after dark surely wont hurt

I was getting good snow growth from band swinging thru ne mass cpl weeks ago @33.5 degrees around 230pm and as intensity waned accums actually became more apparent after 255-3pm.

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