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December 29th System


moneypitmike

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Terrible forecasting from Grey Maine this PM.  Have decided not to issue any type of advisory, watch or warning for Grafton County NH.  WSW are up in adjacent VT and Maine.  My point and click says rain possibly mixed with snow with under 1" on accum.  That is not going to happen up here.  Graphical map has me in the 6-8" band.  I can't understand what they are doing, every model is showing substantial accum up here in the highlands.

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Terrible forecasting from Grey Maine this PM.  Have decided not to issue any type of advisory, watch or warning for Grafton County NH.  WSW are up in adjacent VT and Maine.  My point and click says rain possibly mixed with snow with under 1" on accum.  That is not going to happen up here.  Graphical map has me in the 6-8" band.  I can't understand what they are doing, every model is showing substantial accum up here in the highlands.

The PC has not caught up yet, patience grasshopper

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Terrible forecasting from Grey Maine this PM. Have decided not to issue any type of advisory, watch or warning for Grafton County NH. WSW are up in adjacent VT and Maine. My point and click says rain possibly mixed with snow with under 1" on accum. That is not going to happen up here. Graphical map has me in the 6-8" band. I can't understand what they are doing, every model is showing substantial accum up here in the highlands.

At over 1k , you are golden. Who cares what they have.

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Yeah i had in the interior and changed it, I could go either way i guess, My weather is influenced by the atlantic in many case though.... :)

 

Don't sell the Pacific and gulf stream short, Jeff.

 

By the way, 15z srefs bumped qpf up over 1" from a line of IZG-LEW-WVL-BGR

 

reading tea leaves and I say, oh good--maybe it's shifted a little to the right......

 

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Man that is close for Chris m at 1k in nw ct. This nam run looks like it crushes MPM over to BIrving over to Rochester,nh to maine away from immediate. Coast.

Colder for sure on nam.

Hubbdave is close on this run to 4-6 just guessing. More change over i think after 9-10.

The nam should get the elevated interior folk posting again.

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Man that is close for Chris m at 1k in nw ct. This nam run looks like it crushes MPM over to BIrving over to Rochester,nh to maine away from immediate. Coast.

Colder for sure on nam.

Hubbdave is close on this run to 4-6 just guessing. More change over i think after 9-10.

 

Low ratio snow frozen solid 12 hours later.

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The PC has not caught up yet, patience grasshopper

This grasshopper got impatient and called.  As I can now see they issued a WW advisory.  The met said to me it is going to go over to rain.  I kept my mouth shut, not going to happen.  18Z NAM is colder, all snow for up here.  Boy this week looks bitter!

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This grasshopper got impatient and called.  As I can now see they issued a WW advisory.  The met said to me it is going to go over to rain.  I kept my mouth shut, not going to happen.  18Z NAM is colder, all snow for up here.  Boy this week looks bitter!

LOl, Chris and MEK to the rescue tonight

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This grasshopper got impatient and called.  As I can now see they issued a WW advisory.  The met said to me it is going to go over to rain.  I kept my mouth shut, not going to happen.  18Z NAM is colder, all snow for up here.  Boy this week looks bitter!

lol...they must love you up there. I wouldn't rule rain out yet, but you definitely have the advantage via elevation. With that said, I can't find a model that doesn't give me all snow right now so I'm leaning more white over wet. This will be a pukey antecedent airmass though so hopefully the lower els don't have to deal with 35F glop to start.
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lol...they must love you up there. I wouldn't rule rain out yet, but you definitely have the advantage via elevation. With that said, I can't find a model that doesn't give me all snow right now so I'm leaning more white over wet. This will be a pukey antecedent airmass though so hopefully the lower els don't have to deal with 35F glop to start.

It is a puzzling P&C for his region , no model shows him going from snow to rain either

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18z NAM is the coldest run yet... 

 

36070976317 -9214 013117 44010199

 

Those numbers pertain to the 980, 900 and 800mb level temperatures, respectively, and that is +1, +1, -1C 

 

Logan...

 

Note the .70" QPF slug...  That is going to flip to parachutes even at the coast if those numbers verify, and a significant warnable event for ORH-FIT is probably a good bet... 

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