dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I've heard from Scott recently. He is trying to make a comeback but struggling with it, I've not been able to synch up with him yet but am hopeful. Ed i wish him the best and hope he can recover to live his life the fullest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Go tell that to the folks in Kennebec and Penobscott county, Seriously? Watches are issued 48 hrs out for any potential event No they are not. Depends on forecast confidence and potential impact, among other variables. And I didn't mean to trivialize what those folks have gone through; I'm just skeptical that this snowfall, which will be preceded by two days of melting, will really exacerbate those problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 i wish him the best and hope he can recover to live his life the fullestHear hear. I second that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 The problem is we have not shed any ice from last weekend, And the weight of heavy wet snow on stressed trees are going to add to the problem, There are still thousands without power here now, And this is going to contribute to the problem up here When the utilities restore power, they are refitting connections, and clearing the ice-coated aspects, as well. You can have ice everywhere -- where the restoring effort is, there has been attention given to it. Again, I said, there may be additional problems...but it won't be as bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 0z gfs shoved that 0c 850 line pretty far north in sw maine. Strange at 6z mon from like amesbury ma due Morth to Like Milton nh /maine border ene over to Lewiston ene to like Augusta Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 No they are not. Depends on forecast confidence and potential impact, among other variables. And I didn't mean to trivialize what those folks have gone through; I'm just skeptical that this snowfall, which will be preceded by two days of melting, will really exacerbate those problems. Your on the coast where temps may have been a few degrees above freezing, Not the case inland, There has been minimal melting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 When the utilities restore power, they are refitting connections, and clearing the ice-coated aspects, as well. You can have ice everywhere -- where the restoring effort is, there has been attention given to it. Again, I said, there may be additional problems...but it won't be as bad. Tip I had friends lose power when the wind blew two days ago. Ice is still on everything in the harder hit spots. Any small disruption to the equilibrium those trees have found with their ice weight, causes issues. Luckily the Champlain Valley should lose a good deal of it today in the mid/upper 30s for highs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 Well, this event has morphed into a PF special! Maybe a coating on the back end down here before the cool air descend on us for the remainder of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Decent overnight runs for up here, but I ride the isothermal 0C up to the mid-levels. 6Z NAM pulls down some sfc cold from ME which would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 Decent overnight runs for up here, but I ride the isothermal 0C up to the mid-levels. 6Z NAM pulls down some sfc cold from ME which would be nice. BOX AFD reads like a coin-flip as to whether the NW territories and SW NH see any accumuilation. WPC has GC in a 60% band for 2" and a 40% band for 4". Also, it has me in the bull's eye up in Jackson over through Fryeburg. Shocking that that area jackpots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Indeed, been a while since we've seen Cool Spruce--back the eastern days. Certainly wish him all the best ! As for this upcoming system, I think we should do ok around here; elevation will help here certainly but I'd feel better if it stayed a bit east of some of the current progs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 As I feared, sliding the cold north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 As I feared, sliding the cold north But it's a cold rain, Dave. At least we have that. Plus, you may awaken to find a light coating of snow if the precip can hang on long enough. At least enough so it won't be a ghastly brown. I'm prepared for either--though the cool down next week will be more enjoyable with snow on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 From ALY: OUR LATEST FCSTTHINKING IS SIMILAR TO THE WPC WINTER WX GUIDANCE WITH 3 TO 6INCHES OF SNOW FOR A LARGE PORTION OF WRN NEW ENGLAND /LITCHFIELDHILLS...BERKSHIRES...AND SRN VT/. THE TACONICS...ERNCATSKILLS...AND ERN DACKS WILL BE IN THE 2-4" RANGE /ISOLD 5-6INCH AMOUNTS MAY BE POSSIBLE OVER THE ERN CATSKILLS/. EXPECTMAINLY 1 TO 2 INCHES IN THE VALLEY AREAS. THE ADVISORY WOULD BE INTHE LATE 3RD OR 4TH PERIOD...SO WE WILL HOLD AT THIS TIME...ANDMENTION IN THE HWO. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL HINGE HEAVILY ON THE THERMALPROFILES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 From ALY: OUR LATEST FCST THINKING IS SIMILAR TO THE WPC WINTER WX GUIDANCE WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW FOR A LARGE PORTION OF WRN NEW ENGLAND /LITCHFIELD HILLS...BERKSHIRES...AND SRN VT/. THE TACONICS...ERN CATSKILLS...AND ERN DACKS WILL BE IN THE 2-4" RANGE /ISOLD 5-6 INCH AMOUNTS MAY BE POSSIBLE OVER THE ERN CATSKILLS/. EXPECT MAINLY 1 TO 2 INCHES IN THE VALLEY AREAS. THE ADVISORY WOULD BE IN THE LATE 3RD OR 4TH PERIOD...SO WE WILL HOLD AT THIS TIME...AND MENTION IN THE HWO. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL HINGE HEAVILY ON THE THERMAL PROFILES. Interesting. For the time being, it looks like BOX is hedging on the other side of that coin-flip and citing the SREF's < 50% of 1" as support for that. WPC more aggressive than the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 A little optimism from Albany. Surprised they have those accumulations as far south as they do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 BOX doesn't have a forecast map out, but here's their latest probability one. I'll file these in the "less than awe-inspiring" category. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Congrats on snow, Mike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 Congrats on snow, Mike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Hopefully you aren't calling me a bonehead..lol. You should at least get some snow as we mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Hopefully you aren't calling me a bonehead..lol. You should at least get some snow as we mentioned.. I assume you mean in Jackson? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 Hopefully you aren't calling me a bonehead..lol. You should at least get some snow as we mentioned. LOL---far from it. I suspect that I'll wind up with an inch or so. Frankly, I won't really be surprised if I end up with 3 or get skunked. It's close, but by the time temps are clearly in line, the precip's heading out of town. I need to hope for some overperforming dynamicis or subtly cooler temps to get much. I'll be enjoying my 8-10 in Jackson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 . I assume you mean in Jackson? LOL I was just referencing the caption on that video. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 It's going to be an exciting dynamic situation. I think we can thump to +SN pretty fast if the intensity is there. My bigger fear has been western fringe, but the new NAM so far looks quite amped. LOL---far from it. I suspect that I'll wind up with an inch or so. Frankly, I won't really be surprised if I end up with 3 or get skunked. It's close, but by the time temps are clearly in line, the precip's heading out of town. I need to hope for some overperforming dynamicis or subtly cooler temps to get much. I'll be enjoying my 8-10 in Jackson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 Man that NAM's looking ugly.......cue Desean again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Plus Ginx guaranteed 6-12 in GC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 It's going to be an exciting dynamic situation. I think we can thump to +SN pretty fast if the intensity is there. My bigger fear has been western fringe, but the new NAM so far looks quite amped. Yeah--the NAM's looking good for you. Sucks for me. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Plus Ginx guaranteed 6-12 in GC. Yo down to 4-8 this morning, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 Yo down to 4-8 this morning, lol T-2, lollie across the street to 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Yo down to 4-8 this morning, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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