dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 In response to my worry, I'm sifting through lakefronts in ME and NH. I've had it with this sitting on the line crap. lol, You had river front in bath...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Even the NAM flips ORH to snow now Yeah maybe a couple hours at the end...it was a big shift SE. I won't be staying up though to see the real guidance later. Hopefully the dynamics win out to give as many people possible a few hours of fun at the end, but we'll need those MLs to tick south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 you could set a clock by it A broken clock I mentioned the other day that the Nam was consistent, But it was on the bad side unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 Even the NAM flips ORH to snow now Comical shift. Suggests an earlier shift out here, too. OT--what's your take on the arrival of cooler air in Jackson on Monday? We'll be hitting the trails there--I'd love to have the cold descend for me. For my wife and daughter, not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 lol, You had river front in bath...... I was 3 houses up, ftl. Plus, we had to worry about the coastal taint. Still allowed us to average about 70 or so inches a year, but taint's taint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I was 3 houses up, ftl. Plus, we had to worry about the coastal taint. Still allowed us to average about 70 or so inches a year, but taint's taint. Of course, I taint here in some events, But another 30 miles to the NW, The worry's would be a non factor.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I was 3 houses up, ftl. Plus, we had to worry about the coastal taint. Still allowed us to average about 70 or so inches a year, but taint's taint. If Heidi only knew the origins of taint she would log off in a second. Lol, appears CF with squalls comes through Monday afternoonish in Jackson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 Of course If Cool Spruce could avoid it, I was good. Once it crossed him, all bets were off. Where is Cool Spruce these days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 If Heidi only knew the origins of taint she would log off in a second. Lol, appears CF with squalls comes through Monday afternoonish in Jackson. Thanks, Steve--that might be fun. Not sure what your Hiedi reference is to.......all I'm coming up with is Swiss Miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 If Cool Spruce could avoid it, I was good. Once it crossed him, all bets were off. Where is Cool Spruce these days? We deal with the coastal front all the time, It can be your friend, Or it can be your foe, Cool Spruce, I think unfortunately, He had a stroke several years back when we were still on eastern and one of his family members came on and updated us to his condition and that was the last that was heard from his family Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Thanks, Steve--that might be fun. Not sure what your Hiedi reference is to.......all I'm coming up with is Swiss Miss.No problem. Lol, yea something like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 We deal with the coastal front all the time, It can be your friend, Or it can be your foe, Cool Spruce, I think unfortunately, He had a stroke several years back when we were still on eastern and one of his family members came on and updated us to his condition and that was the last that was heard from his family I'm saddened to hear that--I enjoyed the interactions we had had. I hope he's doing okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 It's too bad that stupid wave exists along the arctic boundary, because that is acting like a block from getting the cold you want into the circulation, sooner. Having said that ... the 00z NAM shifted a tad E, and just peering over the FRH grid, BOS get a big QPF slug at 2/2/-1, so that's a pretty good argument that ORH-ASH is parachuting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Power freak etc yep at Sunday River. It's a scratchier surface than I would like but they are working hard to bury the ice. This storm and a good 6 or 10" is what's really needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 It's too bad that stupid wave exists along the arctic boundary, because that is acting like a block from getting the cold you want into the circulation, sooner. Having said that ... the 00z NAM shifted a tad E, and just peering over the FRH grid, BOS get a big QPF slug at 2/2/-1, so that's a pretty good argument that ORH-ASH is parachuting. I don't understand what 2/2/-1 is referring to. Can you explain? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I'm saddened to hear that--I enjoyed the interactions we had had. I hope he's doing okay. I really enjoyed when he was here. I seem to recall a more recent update. Still probably a couple of years back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 Can the gfs roll out any slower? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Weenie dynamic cooling in the mid-levels from ORH to LWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 GFS is going to create problems here verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Even the NAM flips ORH to snow now Yup. Mike, 2/2/-1 refers to the 980, 900, and 800mb temperatures in C. That's almost an isothermic sounding over BOS leading up and through a .75" QPF slug, so west of the immediate coastal plain, that has to be a blue thump. Talking about Massachusetts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I really enjoyed when he was here. I seem to recall a more recent update. Still probably a couple of years back Cool Spruce MembersJoined: January 12, 2011 0 posts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 Yup. Mike, 2/2/-1 refers to the 980, 900, and 800mb temperatures in C. That's almost an isothermic sounding over BOS leading up and through a .75" QPF slug, so west of the immediate coastal plain, that has to be a blue thump. Talking about Massachusetts. thanks for the explanation, John. GFS is going to create problems here verbatim She ain't pretty, but there's always next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 thanks for the explanation, John. She ain't pretty, but there's always next week. The folks that are still without power or just getting power back are screwed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 The folks that are still without power or just getting power back are screwed Maybe not ... How long has it been since a larger scaled weather event caused a grid failure up that way? An ice storm has a way of "pruning" back a lot of the problem features, such as over-hang by foliage and/or weakened connections, much of which were fixed upon restoration. If that is any consolation.. Not saying there won't be problems, over all, but it may not be as bad as if/when the icing never had taken place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Maybe not ... How long has it been since a larger scaled weather event caused a grid failure up that way? An ice storm has a way of "pruning" back a lot of the problem features, such as over-hang by foliage and/or weakened connections, much of which were fixed upon restoration. If that is any consolation.. Not saying there won't be problems, over all, but it may not be as bad as if/when the icing never had taken place. problem is ice still caked, more stress more trees, even healthy ones can only take so much, wet heavy snow takes down trees by itself , then winds with the Arctic front. Full friggin bore Maine winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 problem is ice still caked, more stress more trees, even healthy ones can only take so much, wet heavy snow takes down trees by itself , then winds with the Arctic front. Full friggin bore Maine winter Two days in the mid/upper 30s should take care of most of the ice that remains in trees. I was really surprised to see GYX hoist WSW's today for a borderline storm that was more than 48 hours away, and my sense is that it's related to this concern about areas that were hit hard by the ice. Seems a bit overblown to me, but I guess it makes sense to err on the side of caution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Maybe not ... How long has it been since a larger scaled weather event caused a grid failure up that way? An ice storm has a way of "pruning" back a lot of the problem features, such as over-hang by foliage and/or weakened connections, much of which were fixed upon restoration. If that is any consolation.. Not saying there won't be problems, over all, but it may not be as bad as if/when the icing never had taken place. The problem is we have not shed any ice from last weekend, And the weight of heavy wet snow on stressed trees are going to add to the problem, There are still thousands without power here now, And this is going to contribute to the problem up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Two days in the mid/upper 30s should take care of most of the ice that remains in trees. I was really surprised to see GYX hoist WSW's today for a borderline storm that was more than 48 hours away, and my sense is that it's related to this concern about areas that were hit hard by the ice. Seems a bit overblown to me, but I guess it makes sense to err on the side of caution. Go tell that to the folks in Kennebec and Penobscott county, Seriously? Watches are issued 48 hrs out for any potential event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 We deal with the coastal front all the time, It can be your friend, Or it can be your foe, Cool Spruce, I think unfortunately, He had a stroke several years back when we were still on eastern and one of his family members came on and updated us to his condition and that was the last that was heard from his family I've heard from Scott recently. He is trying to make a comeback but struggling with it, I've not been able to synch up with him yet but am hopeful. Ed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 anyone willing to share what the gfs has? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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