CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 GFS is warm aloft though. That's more Dendrite love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 gfs looks a tick warmer than 18z. Its gonna come down to a couple degrees either way for a lot of people. Still a couple days to sort those things out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Probably equivalent to 18Z roughly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 I highly doubt KASH gets 10" and I rain, but the run is what it is. I agree. We need a better antecedent airmass and a stronger low SE. This came Closer. It's threading the needle for the most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Verbatim it looks like rain south of the NH border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 how do the southern berks do? I'm out there for my 50th, which is on nye. Have a feeling I will be missing a solid storm at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 The low is in a perfect spot for me, but it just ain't cold enough...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Again it's intensity and low track, a thread the needle deal where 1-2F means everything. Going to need a couple of days to work out the details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Frustrating that NCEP is so friggin slow. Looks to be a net gain IMBY of snow on the ground come Monday morning. Less QPF also. Eons of runs to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Freezer door open afterwards.... Chilly New Year's Eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 The low is in a perfect spot for me, but it just ain't cold enough...lol Give it time. I think tomorrow's runs will come around to a solution more to your liking. Crazy that we're dealing with bl temp issues when we've got pretty deep cold on both sides of the storm. Timing is everything. You'll get accumulating snow I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Give it time. I think tomorrow's runs will come around to a solution more to your liking. Crazy that we're dealing with bl temp issues when we've got pretty deep cold on both sides of the storm. Timing is everything. You'll get accumulating snow I think. I think so... a few inches (thinking 2-4") towards the end, but we will see. Has some nice potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 OT but our boy Leon is licking his chops for right after NYD. Nice period coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 lol, 0z Gfs looks to do it all over again 3 days later with another coastal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 lol, 0z Gfs looks to do it all over again 3 days later with another coastal With plenty of cold available. Very reminiscent of you know what year. Almost a swfe evolution. Bring it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 lol, 0z Gfs looks to do it all over again 3 days later with another coastal la la la lock it in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 OT but our boy Leon is licking his chops for right after NYD. Nice period coming. it's coming Jerry, but you've known that. 2.5 today, 6 otg, solid snowpack, winter getting deeper. I turn 50 on Sunday. Eagles win the division same day? Past bomb at the party site in the Berks? Life is good. Nighty nite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 With plenty of cold available. Very reminiscent of you know what year. Almost a swfe evolution. Bring it. Totally different look then 18z, It was all northern stream driven on that run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 OT but our boy Leon is licking his chops for right after NYD. Nice period coming. Already been a nice December despite the pre Christmas torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 la la la lock it in That would make for a pretty epic week right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 it's coming Jerry, but you've known that. 2.5 today, 6 otg, solid snowpack, winter getting deeper. I turn 50 on Sunday. Eagles win the division same day? Past bomb at the party site in the Berks? Life is good. Nighty nite. I hate the eagles but like you. Therefore, good luck! 50 is the start of something....lol well I'm not sure what but enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Totally different look then 18z, It was all northern stream driven Still is. It is a northern stream system that digs better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 And more coming a couple of days later. Here we go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Still is. It is a northern stream system that digs better. But you had a southern s/w that came out of the gulf at 0z, Nada at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Would be nice to extend my winter break a few more days... GFS has a good look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 It might give you an inch or two at the end. But best chance for advisory snows in SNE is probably N of pike from Rays area to ORH county to S NH and Berks. 00z run last night had a bit more intense precip core which probably helped dynamically cool...this precip shield is a bit more expansive but less punch toward the middle....but we are really splitting hairs here....the two runs were pretty similar. Hey if I can get 1-3 at the tail end while you guys up north get 6-10..I'd still consider that a W Take any chance to grab that extra inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Yeah there is a lack a skiing opportunities up there. As far as snowmobiling its heaven from there to Rangley to Jackman. Hundreds of miles of groomed trails. I go up there to fish in the summer too, it is an awesome area. Id love to have a vacation house up there, not necessarily live up there year round. There are big gradients up there too. The area around the town of Pittsburg gets considerably less upslope than up near the First CT lake, likewise theres generally 2x the snowpack up on the ridges ENE of the lake. Very true. It's really a shame we're losing our observers up in that area (including First Connecticut). The long term average at that Coop site was 155", with the johnsnhweather.com guy living a few miles north and at 175". Head towards the Whites around Diamond Pond and you're talking 230". Think about that, the difference form First Connecticut Lake to Diamond Pond is like the seasonal average for BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 The GFS and NAM both look like nice half foot blue bombs here. My fear always has to be a right hook leaving me fringed. But so far so good.... And uncharacteristically the GFS has a nice low modeled at day 7-8 which I have no doubt it will lose soon and take out to sea for about three days or runs. I'm planning on snow here Sunday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 My uncle lives in Andover tucked right up against the east side of Ragged Mtn and they hold snow extremely well. New London is a nice weenie spot too. I think most of the town is over 1200'. I ski Sunapee all the time and have noticed how poorly we do on the forecast for that part of NH. They always seem to hang onto SHSN longer than we think. A lot of it has to do with the radar beam overshooting the precip, but it happens quite often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 The GFS and NAM both look like nice half foot blue bombs here. My fear always has to be a right hook leaving me fringed. But so far so good.... And uncharacteristically the GFS has a nice low modeled at day 7-8 which I have no doubt it will lose soon and take out to sea for about three days or runs. GFS has 14" of snow for PWM or the NAM has 0.85" rain. Should be a fun forecast tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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