moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Looks like a potent but fast moving system. Correct me if I'm wrong but my rudimentary take of a few scenarios is this: --Current depiction--primarily a rainer for SNE, north of MA looks at worst a mix trending to snow as you move north. --A slightly deeper system with the current EC/GFS track would benefit some toward fhe Berks --Same strength and further east will benefit the northern half of Mass, still rain below that --Deeper and further east could make for a snowier situation for many I imagine that whoever can manage some covering with this will experience an even more enjoyable bout of the cool weather in store for next week. 16.9/9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Unless the cold fairy waves a magic wand..I don't see how this isn't a 36 degree rainer except for maybe The Monads..Maybe we can trend it colder,,but the cold comes in after this moves by it appears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Euro looked good N and W of ORH, but it's riding the isothermal 0C line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2013 Author Share Posted December 26, 2013 Unless the cold fairy waves a magic wand..I don't see how this isn't a 36 degree rainer except for maybe The Monads..Maybe we can trend it colder,,but the cold comes in after this moves by it appears Maybe in your southern tropics, but we might eek out a 33 degree rainer up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Maybe in your southern tropics, but we might eek out a 33 degree rainer up here.probably more like a 33F snow for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Yeah euro looked better for the real interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 It looks bleak for most of sne but at least it is trending slightly colder. It's just that unless we get a 12 hour delay in this system it will beat the cold in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Has potential up here, I would take the 06z GFS and run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Need a tickle...but it has some potential. Lots of runs to get something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Yeah euro looked better for the real interior. So now we have to define differences in the interior. This is what it's come to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 So now we have to define differences in the interior. This is what it's come to You are not in the same league as Will and Dave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 You are not in the same league as Will and Dave. Well I don't think we ever said that..But it's certainly not the coast lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2013 Author Share Posted December 26, 2013 So now we have to define differences in the interior. This is what it's come to There has always been a difference in the interior. PF is different from Dendrite is different me. I am different than ORH is different than you. Sure, sometimes the outcomes maybe the same across regions, but just as often as not they vary from one interior location to the next. That's why ORH usually beats you in snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Well I don't think we ever said that..But it's certainly not the coast lol You'll enjoy a nice rain at 1k while Will and Dave have a paste bomb potential. Even Ray has the potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 You'll enjoy a nice rain at 1k while Will and Dave have a paste bomb potential. Even Ray has the potential. We'll see how it plays out. Please cite the post where I said I would get snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 We'll see how it plays out. Please cite the post where I said I would get snow You didn't, just letting you know who has the best chance. I know you'll cheer for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 You didn't, just letting you know who has the best chance. I know you'll cheer for them. After the way Ray acted last week I won't ever cheer for him again..but yes for most everyone else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2013 Author Share Posted December 26, 2013 You'll might have a nice rain at 1k while Will and Dave have a paste bomb potential. Even Ray has the potential. Fixed. Can' claim that yet (I realize you are speaking with respect to the 'inland' comments and not making a call). It's good to have something to track. I'm siding with the wet version for the time being. I think we'll have a sense after 5 more runs of the EC and accompanying other runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 After the way Ray acted last week I won't ever cheer for him again..but yes for most everyone else I do think it could edge colder which puts you into the game perhaps..but it's a real shame it couldn't be even a degree or two colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Gonna need a lot of help from that H for those of us in the southern areas. Antecedent airmass will not be all that cold and with this system coming out of the S, it's going to be bringing with it a lot of moisture. Right now it looks like a classic C/NNE snowstorm. Maybe if we can slow down the southern stream a bit we can get a better airmass in place but I would not bet on that right now. Kudos to the GFS for sniffing this one out. The other day I gave no credence to it's solution and here we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Actually thermally the Euro has a snow profile from I84 NW CT, Northwest of 128 and I would not discount Boston either. GFS is a rainer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Fixed. Can' claim that yet (I realize you are speaking with respect to the 'inland' comments and not making a call). It's good to have something to track. I'm siding with the wet version for the time being. I think we'll have a sense after 5 more runs of the EC and accompanying other runs. no way you get rain on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Gonna need a lot of help from that H for those of us in the southern areas. Antecedent airmass will not be all that cold and with this system coming out of the S, it's going to be bringing with it a lot of moisture. Right now it looks like a classic C/NNE snowstorm. Maybe if we can slow down the southern stream a bit we can get a better airmass in place but I would not bet on that right now. Kudos to the GFS for sniffing this one out. The other day I gave no credence to it's solution and here we are. Euro had this way before the GFS did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 After the way Ray acted last week I won't ever cheer for him again..but yes for most everyone else SOLID WHITE XMAS IMBY how about your's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Euro had this way before the GFS did Will and I commented on that a couple of days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 no way you get rain on the Euro #fallenondeafears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Euro had this way before the GFS did Must have missed it than. 2 days ago the Euro was a suppressed OTS solution with the GFS being the only global to hit us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Yeah the Euro has showed this system for a few days but it did whiff us on the 00z run 2 nights ago....but its been the most aggressive/consistent about it hitting us. I didn't think it would a couple days ago, but now it looks like ti should. Trending colder and colder, so it has an outside shot for the typically coldest interior SNE spots like Berks, Monands, N ORH hills....maybe it can tick a little colder to get the interior CP down to interior N RI/N CT in the game. But man, it would be nice if we didn't have the downslope dandy airmass forming ahead of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 I've been resigned to the fact that my December snowfall is essentially over for awhile now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coastalfront Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 Hopefully this storm trends NW and a little deeper, as of now eastern NY is out of the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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