Geos Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Today has been "milder" more pleasant to be outside. 19° for the high so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Probably the coldest point forecasts I've seen around here since 2009. Basically it's saying we go below zero Sunday evening and stay below zero through at least Wed morning lol. Tonight A 40 percent chance of snow, mainly before 10pm. Cloudy, with a low around 1. Wind chill values as low as -15. North wind around 15 mph. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Thursday Partly sunny and cold, with a high near 10. Wind chill values as low as -15. North wind 10 to 15 mph. Thursday Night Mostly clear, with a low around -18. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 15. Wind chill values as low as -25. Friday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 14. Saturday A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32. Saturday Night A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 6. Sunday A slight chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 12. Sunday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around -10. Monday Partly sunny and cold, with a high near -8. Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around -19. Tuesday Mostly sunny and cold, with a high near -7. Tuesday Night A slight chance of snow. Partly cloudy, with a low around -9. Wednesday A slight chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 14. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Today has been "milder" more pleasant to be outside. 19° for the high so far. we hit 9F today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Jan 2-3, 1999 turns 15 in a few days. A lot of you guys have seen better since but for me it's still the undisputed champion. What I wouldn't give to relive it. That storm, along with December 10-11, 1992, February 8, 2013 and - in Ottawa - December 16,2007 are the best storms of my life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 That storm, along with December 10-11, 1992, February 8, 2013 and - in Ottawa - December 16,2007 are the best storms of my life. For me, the other storms don't even come into the conversation. February 2013 was awesome but no TSSN, no 2"/hr rates, no heavy, wet, caking snow. And even total amounts were less than Jan 1999, although only by an inch and change. January 1999 saw 15.1" of snow with heavy PL tainting. Without the contamination we'd probably be looking at a two footer (Notice Buttonville recorded 23.8", probably with less PL). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 For me, the other storms don't even come into the conversation. February 2013 was awesome but no TSSN, no 2"/hr rates, no heavy, wet, caking snow. And even total amounts were less than Jan 1999, although only by an inch and change. January 1999 saw 15.1" of snow with heavy PL tainting. Without the contamination we'd probably be looking at a two footer (Notice Buttonville recorded 23.8", probably with less PL). I remember getting up the morning of the 3rd and the snow being up to my waist - and I was 18 at the time. That month also saw the coldest temperature I have ever recorded at my place in Toronto - minus 26 without the wind on the 14th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 General comment about the ongoing storms and cold, big storm, & historic cold... With this snow and blowing and drifting lasting thru Thursday PM and then cold for Friday, where does NWS/broadcast mets even begin to adequately highlight/alert the public about the next systems. I think tomorrow's cycle of news and info will be interesting. Too much model consensus to wait any longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 YYZ has now reached -1F, our first subzero F this season. Picked up about 1cm of pixie dust last night, proper dendrites had trouble forming despite the great cold temps that could have produced some high ratio fluff. Ice storm really burned me out in terms of model watching. Time to get back in the game though with some big cold and snow to watch in the coming days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Not for our area, but International Falls was -42F which i believe is a record. edit: RECORD EVENT REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN504 AM CST THU JAN 02 2014...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT INTERNATIONAL FALLS MN...THE TEMPERATURE WAS -42 DEGREES AT 5 AM IN INTERNATIONAL FALLS MN.THIS TEMPERATURE BREAKS THE OLD RECORD LOW FOR THIS DATE OF -37DEGREES...WHICH WAS SET IN 2010. THE TEMPERATURE WILL LIKELY FALLFURTHER THIS MORNING.$ Heading our way soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 -42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Fun times in Minnesota! PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN1023 AM CST THU JAN 2 2014...LOW TEMPERATURE REPORTS ACROSS THE NORTHLAND...LOCATION TEMP TIME/DATEBABBITT -47 0700 AM 01/02EMBARASS -47 0800 AM 01/02TOGO -45 0700 AM 01/026 NW ASH LAKE -44 0735 AM 01/02CRANE LAKE -44 0804 AM 01/02ORR 3E -43 0600 AM 01/02BRIMSON 2S -43 0800 AM 01/027 E EFFIE -43 0735 AM 01/022 NNE BIGFORK -42 0807 AM 01/02INTERNATIONAL FALLS -42 0455 AM 01/025 S ELY -41 0804 AM 01/02LITTLEFORK RAWS -41 0808 AM 01/02LITTLEFORK -40 0730 AM 01/02SOUTH FORK KAWISHIWI RIVER -40 0830 AM 01/023 S TOWER -40 0730 AM 01/02KABETOGAMA GENERAL STORE -40 0700 AM 01/024 SW ORR -40 0908 AM 01/025 E SEA GULL LAKE -40 0804 AM 01/02ISABELLA 14W -40 0900 AM 01/02BIGFORK -40 0813 AM 01/02 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Good lord! Look at all those -40s. Up to 34.9" of snow for the season as of 7:30 am this morning. And it's only 01/02. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Nice to see an expansive snow pack across the region. Going to be cold tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Environment Canada busted pretty high on the forecast today. Had us making it up to 5F but I don't think YYZ made it above 0F. They've also adjusted down the low temperature tonight to -7F (-22C). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxhstn74 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Cold Winter Unfolding Thus Far Per Outlook as Preferred December Analogue Trajectories VerifyAnalogues Point to a Cold January Likely with Coldest Air of the Season Thus Far Due Early Next Week With Some Moderation Latehttp://weatherhistorian.blogspot.com/2014/01/cold-winter-unfolding-thus-far-per.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Models have been hinting at a mid month thaw of sorts. Cold Winter Unfolding Thus Far Per Outlook as Preferred December Analogue Trajectories VerifyAnalogues Point to a Cold January Likely with Coldest Air of the Season Thus Far Due Early Next Week With Some Moderation Latehttp://weatherhistorian.blogspot.com/2014/01/cold-winter-unfolding-thus-far-per.html Start to see signs around D8-10 in both the GFS and EURO about that January thaw. If the warm up is not transient it'll be interesting to see what the departures look like at the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Models have been hinting at a mid month thaw of sorts. Start to see signs around D8-10 in both the GFS and EURO about that January thaw. If the warm up is not transient it'll be interesting to see what the departures look like at the end of the month. Stratospheric temperatures hint at a possible SSW later in the month which would aide in developing a more pronounced -AO/NAO anomaly as we move into February. It looks like we will see a warm-up; however, i firmly believe the warm anomalies will be transient as the pattern reloads itself after about Jan 18th. Thereafter, the MJO will move into phases 7,8 and 1 which translate to cooler anomalies in the East. From about Jan 10th to Jan 20th or so, is when the warm-up is possible. In that time frame, areas in the PNW have the best chance of seeing decent snowfall as a trough develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 latest HRRR drops LAF down to -11 tonight. Forecast is for -1, I wonder if this'll be an over performer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 latest HRRR drops LAF down to -11 tonight. Forecast is for -1, I wonder if this'll be an over performer? HRRR seems like it's been too aggressive with lows at times. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 HRRR seems like it's been too aggressive with lows at times. We'll see. Yeah, I wonder what bonkers solutions it'll spit out next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Yeah, I wonder what bonkers solutions it'll spit out next week. Yeah I brought that up earlier. -50 for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Yeah I brought that up earlier. -50 for us? Lets do it. Calm and clear here, temperature is starting to plummet. 11 degrees and failing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Cold Winter Unfolding Thus Far Per Outlook as Preferred December Analogue Trajectories Verify Analogues Point to a Cold January Likely with Coldest Air of the Season Thus Far Due Early Next Week With Some Moderation Late http://weatherhistorian.blogspot.com/2014/01/cold-winter-unfolding-thus-far-per.html Nice. Surprised you didnt do a forecast on this strange storm we just had lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Ground blizzard! Maybe. WWA up for the LOT CWA for blowing and drifting snow tomorrow afternoon through Sat am. Discussion below. BIGGER ISSUE AND CHANGE TO GOING FORECAST IS WE`RE GOING TO HOISTA WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW FOR LATE TOMORROWAFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...THOUGH ANTICIPATE THE WORSTCONDITIONS TO BE TOMORROW EVENING. GUIDANCE IS IN EXCELLENTAGREEMENT ON VERY STRONG PRESSURE FALLS OVER UPPER GREAT LAKES ANDTIGHTENING GRADIENT TO RESULT IN VERY STRONG WINDS AT THE SURFACE.SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 20KT SEEM LIKELY WITH GUSTS AROUND 30KTLIKELY. GIVEN THE VERY LOW WATER CONTENT OF THE SNOW IT SHOULD BEEASILY PICKED UP AND WHIPPED AROUND BY THESE STRONG WINDSRESULTING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW INOPEN AND RURAL AREAS. A SIMILAR EVENT WITH LESS SNOW BUT WINDSABOUT 5-10KT STRONGER PRODUCED A GROUND BLIZZARD THAT CLOSEDINTERSTATES BACK ON JAN 30 2008 AND AM CONCERNED THAT WE COULD BECLOSE TO A GROUND BLIZZARD AGAIN TOMORROW EVENING IN OPEN AREAS.GIVEN THAT ROAD CREWS HAVE BEEN GOING FOR 48 HOURS OR MORE WITHOUTA BREAK AND THAT THIS IS A NEW ADDITION TO THE FORECAST...HAVEOPTED TO HOIST A WINTER WX ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW ON THIS SHIFTTO RAISE AWARENESS AND GET THE WORD OUT EARLY.SHOULD HAVE UPDATED ZFP/WSW OUT SHORTLY.IZZI/BEACHLER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 The latest 00z 4km NAM and 00z RAP runs are suggesting very cold temperatures tomorrow morning for YYZ, around -14 or -15F (-25C or -26C). The record low temperature for January 3rd is -26.0C, set back in 1981. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Lovely... advisory for blowing snow and predicted temps -8°- -18° tonight. +1° here right now. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL828 PM CST THU JAN 2 2014ILZ003>006-008-010>012-019>021-032-031030-/O.NEW.KLOT.WW.Y.0013.140103T2200Z-140104T1500Z//O.CON.KLOT.WC.Y.0001.140103T0300Z-140103T1600Z/WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE IL-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-LA SALLE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-LIVINGSTON-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKFORD...BELVIDERE...WOODSTOCK...WAUKEGAN...OREGON...DIXON...DEKALB...AURORA...OTTAWA...OSWEGO...MORRIS...PONTIAC828 PM CST THU JAN 2 2014...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CST FRIDAY......WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 9 AM CSTSATURDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WINTERWEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECTFROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 9 AM CST SATURDAY.FOR THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY...* TIMING...LATE THIS EVENING INTO FRIDAY MORNING.* TEMPERATURES...8 BELOW TO 18 BELOW ZERO.* WIND CHILL VALUES...15 BELOW TO 25 BELOW ZERO.FOR THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW...* BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL BEGIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON.CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH BLIZZARD LIKECONDITIONS FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.* IMPACTS...WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTH FRIDAY MORNING WITH SPEEDSAPPROACHING 20 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH. THIS WILL CREATECONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WITH VISIBILITIESREDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES...MAINLY IN OPEN AND RURAL AREAS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Sitting at -2F or so here... Sparta was -13F last i checked.... some cold temps by morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Temps tanking here this evening, 1 here, -6 at MSN and -12 at KLNR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Meso-low action... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 -3 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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