Zelocita Weather Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Almost all models give someone from c nj to s ny state/sw ct close to an inch of snow tomorrow night. With more widespread coating amounts. Latest nam seems to target ne nj/NYC. Good luck to all for a white Christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 00z 4km NAM Someone from this sub-forum is going to have a heavy, yet very localized White Christmas if this squall actually takes shape. Should be interesting to see who lucks out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 00z 4km NAM Someone from this sub-forum is going to have a heavy, yet very localized White Christmas if this squall actually takes shape. Should be interesting to see who lucks out hires_ref_nyc_25.png Can you interpret the legend on that map? To me I see two different scales which are mixed and matched on the map in an indecipherable and seemingly random fashion. Or is the green next to red just a holiday decoration? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 I'm hoping for this to inch a bit more south, like 5-8 miles then I would get a dusting, as it stands I'll get a couple of flurries if the NAM or RGEM verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 the previous rgem had the heavier band across central NJ - very difficult this far out to determine exactly who will get how much - will be a nowcasting situation tomorrow evening RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 RGEM I'll take it..2 Christmas eve in a row with snow falling..hasn't happened in my lifetime..actually accumulation of any sort of Christmas eve is rare.since I remember 66,93,02 and 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 I'm hoping for this to inch a bit more south, like 5-8 miles then I would get a dusting, as it stands I'll get a couple of flurries if the NAM or RGEM verify. models cannot pinpoint the exact locations of the heaviest precip this far out - Upton is saying the sw 1/2 of the forecast area is favored Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 models cannot pinpoint the exact locations of the heaviest precip this far out - Upton is saying the sw 1/2 of the forecast area is favored I'm thinking its a good chance its very near the 5 boroughs, the GFS placement is similar and the 18Z RGEM was an outlier to the 12Z and 00Z which were both near the same place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Guys, let's do this. #christmasmagic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 I'm thinking its a good chance its very near the 5 boroughs, the GFS placement is similar and the 18Z RGEM was an outlier to the 12Z and 00Z which were both near the same place. Agreed. If anything, it may come a little more north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Guys, let's do this. #christmasmagic All we need to do is believe and the snow will come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 I'll take it..2 Christmas eve in a row with snow falling..hasn't happened in my lifetime..actually accumulation of any sort of Christmas eve is rare.since I remember 66,93,02 and 12 I'll take it..2 Christmas eve in a row with snow falling..hasn't happened in my lifetime..actually accumulation of any sort of Christmas eve is rare.since I remember 66,93,02 and 12 I have the video from 1993 but it's to dark to post...snow was falling at 11:15pm with a dusting on cars,,,The next night the same thing happened...nothing beats 1966, 1961 and 1963 in that order... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 What are the dynamics involved? Is this a norlun type set up? Also temp issues? Warm ground? It's been insanely warm. Regardless it should be interesting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 00z 4km NAM Someone from this sub-forum is going to have a heavy, yet very localized White Christmas if this squall actually takes shape. Should be interesting to see who lucks out hires_ref_nyc_25.png JP's me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Guys, let's do this. #christmasmagic Where you been hiding? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 We just need to watch where this convergence zone sets up tomorrow afternoon, because that is where the band of snow will eventually track. Once the enhanced lift reaches the area it'll likely spark the precipitation right along that boundary. For ref, bottom left panel shows convergence zone with winds at 10m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Where you been hiding? Lurking. And traveling. And working. I even missed both of the accumulating snows last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Lurking. And traveling. And working. I even missed both of the accumulating snows last week. Good to hear from you, man. Hope all is well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Probably a good C-1" for the NYC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 When's the time frame on the squall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 When's the time frame on the squall? this evening - any area from Ocean County north into southern NY State CT and LI are going to see flakes the accumulating snow is yet to be determined as some models show it in Central NJ others further north - watch the radars starting mid - afternoon this radar is the most accurate http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000¢erx=400¢ery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 this evening - any area from Ocean County north into southern NY State CT and LI are going to see flakes the accumulating snow is yet to be determined as some models show it in Central NJ others further north - watch the radars starting mid - afternoon this radar is the most accurate http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000¢erx=400¢ery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0 This is a pretty good radar too: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=OKX-undefined-0-undefined# Hoping we can get some flakes here in SW CT. It's going to be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 This is a pretty good radar too: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=OKX-undefined-0-undefined# Hoping we can get some flakes here in SW CT. It's going to be close. thanks can you post the annimated link ? The wunderground radar I posted was animated and you can also zoom in to your area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 06z NAM jackpots me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 06z NAM jackpots me. You get some nice Long Island Sound enhancement as the band moves through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 You get some nice Long Island Sound enhancement as the band moves through. I bet eastern Nassau and most of Suffolk get 1.5-2 inches of windblowwn snow and 20-45 minute near blizzard conditions. 1-2 inch per hour snowfall rates look very likely on LI as they look like ground-0 for the squall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 I bet eastern Nassau and most of Suffolk get 1.5-2 inches of windblowwn snow and 20-45 minute near blizzard conditions. 1-2 inch per hour snowfall rates look very likely on LI as they look like ground-0 for the squall. There could be some treacherous driving as everything will freeze solid behind the Arctic front. JB twitter freebie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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