Ji Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Euro Control has a big east coast storm Jan 20-22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 I must be missing something looking at the GFS.. nothing but a couple very minor events throughout the run Check out the 0z GFS from last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 0z Euro has 2 storm chances...one this weekend and one the middle of next week. 6z GFS has similar scenarios at both time frames although of course the details differ. 6z GEFS is modest supportive of the weekend event at least. Weekend looks iffy but possible I think. It's the 3rd sw in line so it's going to be a pretty short lead event. We could get lucky. 22nd'ish timeframe is much more interesting. 0z euro ens members are less bullish than 12z but I'm not sure it means much if anything at this point. Euro ens mixed for the weekend but enough show something to keep it interesting. Lr euro ensembles look pretty crazy towards the end. Almost the entire country is below normal. D10-15 are solid bn here but it gets cold for almost the entire conus through the end of the run. Split flow signal as well. Imo- our best chance is mid next week. It's the first prog'd storm with moisture streaming up from the gulf. Doesn't look like chances stop there. Pretty active through the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Um, baroclinic with a drive-by in banter. That's usually a good sign of something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Um, baroclinic with a drive-by in banter. That's usually a good sign of something.He is imposter baroclinic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Dammit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Long thread. Started a new one for the late Jan storm train bearing down...or not. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42406-late-january-early-february-pattern-discussion/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 I have never seen the CFS so wet for a winter month. Check out Feb http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/monthly/images/CFSv2.NaPrec.20140114.201402.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 84 hour NAM looks similar to Wednesday non event without the kicker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 84 hour NAM looks similar to Wednesday non event without the kicker Heh..if you look at Sim Radar at 84 NAM is trying to drum up something. But. It's The. NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Heh..if you look at Sim Radar at 84 NAM is trying to drum up something. But. It's The. NAM It certainly is more interesting than tomorrows event..it has a chance to produce more. Euro had a big snowstorm............ for boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 The D+11 analogs from both the Euro ens mean and GEFS both look nice and cold with above normal chances of snow. Today's GEFS ens mean actually has a KU storm as one of the analogs.....01/16/2003. I think that's pushing it but the pattern is certainly a better than average one for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 The D+11 analogs from both the Euro ens mean and GEFS both look nice and cold with above normal chances of snow. Today's GEFS ens mean actually has a KU storm as one of the analogs.....01/16/2003. I think that's pushing it but the pattern is certainly a better than average one for the area. your going to do an article? I dont remember a 1/16/2003 KU. I think i complained that month about lack of snow. Are you referring to 2/16/2003? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 The D+11 analogs from both the Euro ens mean and GEFS both look nice and cold with above normal chances of snow. Today's GEFS ens mean actually has a KU storm as one of the analogs.....01/16/2003. I think that's pushing it but the pattern is certainly a better than average one for the area. d8 has a couple ok ones too centered within a day or 2. 1/6/03 1/16/65 1/19/61 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 The D+11 analogs from both the Euro ens mean and GEFS both look nice and cold with above normal chances of snow. Today's GEFS ens mean actually has a KU storm as one of the analogs.....01/16/2003. I think that's pushing it but the pattern is certainly a better than average one for the area. I might be in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 The D+11 analogs from both the Euro ens mean and GEFS both look nice and cold with above normal chances of snow. Today's GEFS ens mean actually has a KU storm as one of the analogs.....01/16/2003. I think that's pushing it but the pattern is certainly a better than average one for the area. I have been waiting for this post for 3 years. Hallelujah . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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