January Pattern Discussion

[mattie g]

how do people live in ND?

 

ecmwf_t2max_mw_34.png

They build tunnels in the summer to prepare.

[H2O]

Good news is the Euro sorta dryslots us with the big lakes low a week from tomorrow. We could use a break from heavy rain.

Winter floods and summer droughts are our wheelhouse

[Bob Chill]

Euro tries to take us sub zero d9-10. 1051 arctic hp over sw Indiana. We can track the later. Should we start a thurs storm thread tonight or tomorrow?

[winter_warlock]

Euro tries to take us sub zero d9-10. 1051 arctic hp over sw Indiana. We can track the later. Should we start a thurs storm thread tonight or tomorrow?

I guess u could for northern new england. Wont affect anyone else lol

[CAPE]

Euro tries to take us sub zero d9-10. 1051 arctic hp over sw Indiana. We can track the later. Should we start a thurs storm thread tonight or tomorrow?

I am riding the UKIE +JMA train.

[Ji]

I'm so pissed right now

[H2O]

I'm so pissed right now

Need a binky?

[winter_warlock]

I am riding the UKIE +JMA train.

lol gl with that

[Ji]

Dt issues a why I was wrong article at least 5 times a winter

[winter_warlock]

Dt issues a why I was wrong article at least 5 times a winter

lol I noticed that

[eurojosh]

Dt issues a why I was wrong article at least 5 times a winter

Better than not issuing one and just pretending it never happened...

[Ji]

We can never score in the heart of winter..... Late dec...early January....that is really disturbing

[Ji]

Better than not issuing one and just pretending it never happened...

He could prevent it by not always being so definitive. I would never say something like the 12z is crap....just ignore it. The models know more than DT. I promise u that

[Ian]

We can never score in the heart of winter..... Late dec...early January....that is really disturbing

March is where it's at. #rockin

[RevWarReenactor]

Waiting for 3 years now. The disappointment never ends.

[winter_warlock]

He could prevent it by not always being so definitive. I would never say something like the 12z is crap....just ignore it. The models know more than DT. I promise u that

very true

[Wonderdog]

It seems like model accuracy past 120 hours is non-existent.

[Fozz]

If we can't get snow then I'll at least root for a subzero.... these days it seems more rare than a HECS.

[Heisy]

Thats wjy I dont really take DT seriously he changes His thinkin evert few runs lol

 

7-8 days out, as a meteorologist he saw what the models were showing, the potential pattern, and was leaning towards a snowy solution. Now, closer to the event, the models have swayed back and have shown a more northern jet dominant storm which redevelops later. Would you like him to stick to his guns even though only the JMA model supports a snowy solution? What exactly is your complaint jack_frost? You speak like a 7-8 day call should stay the same regardless of the changes on the models. Seriously, this post annoyed me. 

[PhineasC]

7-8 days out, as a meteorologist he saw what the models were showing, the potential pattern, and was leaning towards a snowy solution. Now, closer to the event, the models have swayed back and have shown a more northern jet dominant storm which redevelops later. Would you like him to stick to his guns even though only the JMA model supports a snowy solution? What exactly is your complaint jack_frost? You speak like a 7-8 day call should stay the same regardless of the changes on the models. Seriously, this post annoyed me.

See any sick and wicked patterns 10-15 days out?

[winter_warlock]

7-8 days out, as a meteorologist he saw what the models were showing, the potential pattern, and was leaning towards a snowy solution. Now, closer to the event, the models have swayed back and have shown a more northern jet dominant storm which redevelops later. Would you like him to stick to his guns even though only the JMA model supports a snowy solution? What exactly is your complaint jack_frost? You speak like a 7-8 day call should stay the same regardless of the changes on the models. Seriously, this post annoyed me.

maybe he should wait till it geta closer instead of making bold predictions a week in advance only to change it later

[Ji]

Eventually the model will be right lol.....when it is all said and the done....the model will eventually show the correct solution no matter what it shows 5 days out

[winter_warlock]

See any sick and wicked patterns 10-15 days out?

lol ask the jma

[winter_warlock]

Eventually the model will be right lol.....when it is all said and the done....the model will eventually show the correct solution no matter what it shows 5 days out

lol yeah eventually they All r Right lol

[Ian]

Eventually the model will be right lol.....when it is all said and the done....the model will eventually show the correct solution no matter what it shows 5 days out

Too much info. GFS past 144 should be considered a national security risk to allow public.

[winter_warlock]

Too much info. GFS past 144 should be considered a national security risk to allow public.

true GFS Is as accurate at 144 as the dgex Is at 192 lol

[WinterWxLuvr]

Too much info. GFS past 144 should be considered a national security risk to allow public.

True but it ain't like the Euro nailed it either

[Ji]

True but it ain't like the Euro nailed it either

The euro could care less if it nails something 7 days out. DT being so definitive on a snow event for the worst snow place on the planet 7 days out is mind boggling

[winter_warlock]

True but it ain't like the Euro nailed it either

true All the models have been horrible

[mattie g]

7-8 days out, as a meteorologist he saw what the models were showing, the potential pattern, and was leaning towards a snowy solution. Now, closer to the event, the models have swayed back and have shown a more northern jet dominant storm which redevelops later. Would you like him to stick to his guns even though only the JMA model supports a snowy solution? What exactly is your complaint jack_frost? You speak like a 7-8 day call should stay the same regardless of the changes on the models. Seriously, this post annoyed me.

So he's model hugging?

I can do that, too.