usedtobe Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 2-3" is fine. And probably the most realistic in terms of snow. I haven't looked at analogs today but what we've seen over the last few days are almost no analogs with big storms. Pattern doesn't support it. I'd be surprised by a cold 4-6" event. Tricky 1-3" event seems most probable or just a complete bust I pretty much agree and note that the weatherbell snow product is probably wrong as the 850s go to above freezing. Right now I'd be happy with an inch as the pattern is slipping away again for awhile towards the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 careful with your wording lol...3-4 in NW burbs and 2-3 in DC isnt a small hit anymore in this day and age If you get 3-4" you will be complaining two days later that it never snows Soooo snippy. Can't we all Just get along? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I pretty much agree and note that the weatherbell snow product is probably wrong as the 850s go to above freezing. Right now I'd be happy with an inch as the pattern is slipping away again for awhile towards the end of the run. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/short_range/tools/gifs/500hgt_comp_sup814.gif maybe, sorta' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I pretty much agree and note that the weatherbell snow product is probably wrong as the 850s go to above freezing. Right now I'd be happy with an inch as the pattern is slipping away again for awhile towards the end of the run. there looks to be a cold front coming in at 240 that would make us cold again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 bwi is .50 but not all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 bwi is .50 but not all snow it never is....thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 bwi is .50 but not all snow How about APG? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Soooo snippy. Can't we all Just get along?Can't you become better at being a troll? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 How about APG? oh...now you like me. When i have qpf. ... .60 with 850's marginal during heavy...probably not all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 boston about 2.00 with 850 temps between -11 and -17 for entire storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 there looks to be a cold front coming in at 240 that would make us cold again Still looks like warm on the 6th and 7th and maybe 8th as the nest low goes either west of us or right over us. Then it probalby would get cold again but we don't do good with the vortex near hudson bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 jbs son trying to compare this storm to feb 5,2010 lol https://twitter.com/GMBnumba2/status/417007952931729408/photo/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Boston 1-2 feet of snow. I really hate us and them If we get screwed and that forecast locks in for BOS, I'm gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 If we get screwed and that forecast locks in for BOS, I'm gone. yea....well never see snow unless we drive. We have to pay to see it unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 the euro is notorious for being overdone past day 5. dc is still in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 jbs son trying to compare this storm to feb 5,2010 lol https://twitter.com/GMBnumba2/status/417007952931729408/photo/1 Like father like son Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Like father like son hey dad...what do you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 the euro is notorious for being overdone past day 5. dc is still in the gameWe're probably in the game till about 48 hours out. Prime rug pulling time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 hey dad...what do you think?I'm mobile. All I know for sure is it is unlikely to be like Feb 5 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Yeah, never been to Boston, but if they are gonna get slammed, might have to visit. Tired of waiting for 2009-10 redux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 We're probably in the game till about 48 hours out. Prime rug pulling time. 48 minutes still isn't safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Just checked the D+8 superens analogs centered on the 5th which would include the 3rd. Nothing scientific about it but the analogs really liked snow. 6 of 10 had snow within the window. Four of the six where in the 3-5 inch range, the others were lighter. The top analog was dec 24, 1962 the second ranked was Dec 29, 1967. We still don't know much except there is potential for some snow but we still have a good chance of getting a miller b evolution which can sometimes produce if the low redevelops far enough south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 how are the euro ensembles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 The Euro is better than the GFS was with the secondary popping at OC, MD. If it pops in NC I think we are ok. Of course there will be a dry slot somewhere that gets screwed. But at least someone will see snow out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Be interesting to see what the euro ensembles say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 The Euro is better than the GFS was with the secondary popping at OC, MD. If it pops in NC I think we are ok. Of course there will be a dry slot somewhere that gets screwed. But at least someone will see snow out of it. Get a primary far enough east and we might might make out with a good front end. Far enough east and south and we might get nc development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I'm mobile. All I know for sure is it is unlikely to be like Feb 5 2010. Wasn't that storm miller b(ish)? I can't remember much about it, other than the shoveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 the euro is notorious for being overdone past day 5. dc is still in the game So is every model that shows more than a dusting for DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 I'm hearing that the ensembles back the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Wasn't that storm miller b(ish)? I can't remember much about it, other than the shoveling. The 10th was a classic miller b. The Feb 5/6 storm alwasy had a low crossing the gulf states to the southeast though it did develop a surface reflection of the upper low in KY but still had the other low tracking along to the south with the southern low always at least as deep and the one that popped in Ky. You might call it a hybrid but to me was more of a classic Miller A since it always had a southern low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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