usedtobe Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 The 18z is a classic Miller b screw job, closer to what we want but not there. Either it or the euro have to be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 The 18z is a classic Miller b screw job, closer to what we want but not there. Either it or the euro have to be wrong. at least I-95 isn't all snow....that is our only solace... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 The 18z is a classic Miller b screw job, closer to what we want but not there. Either it or the euro have to be wrong. Just curious Wes, if you could change the GFS to "what we want" what would you change? Dive that energy further south? Hold those low heights in the ne longer? At this range I'd think both the euro and the gfs would be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 that's been a good forecast here since 1996 I believe even the 1st half of Jan in 03 and 10 were nothing special but cold Yeah, Jan is a good suppression month in general hence the chatter the other day. I think perhaps the pattern shifts the high north toward Greenland down the road from there but that's a pretty dicey call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Euro ens mean looks pretty bleh thru the run. I'm about to punt the first half of Jan. Completely silly. But suit yourself I guess? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Completely silly. But suit yourself I guess? Let's revisit after the first half of Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 62 degrees on jan 12 per gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 we had a 3-5" snowstorm I thought that clipper came after the 15th, but that's what going on memory gets me still, if one 3-5" snow is the best we can muster out of the 1st half of Jan in the 17 years since 96', the odds greatly favor a lousy 1st half of Jan. call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 62 degrees on jan 12 per gfs sux, I would have thought 64+ looking at the 500 MB map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 As for the gfs, the good news is there's little to no consistency on the ensembles for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 62 degrees on jan 12 per gfs At least it's wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 At least it's wet lol if the temp dropped 28 degrees on january 12, it would still be rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Miller B that pops off of Ocean City, MD. Yeah we all love those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Miller B that pops off of Ocean City, MD. Yeah we all love those. Don't forget the primary with a one way ticket to buffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 NAM comes true we've got some posters who will go completely off the cliff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Just curious Wes, if you could change the GFS to "what we want" what would you change? Dive that energy further south? Hold those low heights in the ne longer? At this range I'd think both the euro and the gfs would be wrong. Hold confluence longer over the northeast more like the euro but with the shortwave digging towards us on the euro to be stronger while the vortex over the northeast is a little weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Hold confluence longer over the northeast more like the euro but with the shortwave digging towards us on the euro to be stronger while the vortex over the northeast is a little weaker. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Euro ens mean looks pretty bleh thru the run. I'm about to punt the first half of Jan. Good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Couple of real POS "storms" indicated on the 00Z NAM. Looks warm/wet and cold/dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 This smells like Raleigh will be leading DC in snow real soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 00z looks better than 18z through 120 more confluence, flatter northern stream. Edit: 138hrs: 12 hrs of flurries and were done weak swrly flow event, srn stream left behind this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Every 6 hours I feel like I'm losing in slots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 lol...GFS vastly different than 18z run at h5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 lol...GFS vastly different than 18z run at h5 Worst run of the day....awful And going backwards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Not even. Zwwyts cartooper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 lol...GFS vastly different than 18z run at h5 Probably just another real good sign to not look very far ahead right now. At 5 days Sundays rain wasn't within 400 miles on the gfs. Of course, I know you know these things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Every snowless day that passes puts this feeling in my Mind that dca will never see accumulating snow Again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 00Z GFS is high and dry........ Seems like nothing in store for the first half of Jan. Just 1 man's opinion, that's all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.