snow. Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 On 12/30/2013 at 5:42 PM, WxUSAF said: What did the Euro ensembles show at 0z? I didnt look at teh indiviual members but the mean suggested rain to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 On 12/30/2013 at 5:46 PM, Bob Chill said: I only get a splatter plot with the members. Enough with an accum snow solution to not ingore. I think matt has better stuff @ SV. I counted 18 out of 51 with measurable. Only 7 over 2". Over 40 with accum snow through the end of the run though. Might end up being a good week and a half. At least for tracking stuff. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 On 12/30/2013 at 5:47 PM, Ji said: the GGEM is a complete miss to for the MA and NE.... it actually gives us cartopper - 1"...so minor but not total whiff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 On 12/30/2013 at 5:45 PM, PhineasC said: With a complex Miller B things can change a lot between runs. That means this solution could be gone by 18Z, hence the heavy use of ensembles to reduce the uncertainty a bit. agreed, be curious to see if 18z follows the same trend or if it reverts back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 If the main negative impact for DC is out to sea then key feautre will be barometer being strong enough to be suppressive. First sign of suppression would be baro >30.40 12 hours before onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 On 12/30/2013 at 5:53 PM, Bob Chill said: I counted 18 out of 51 with measurable. Only 7 over 2". Over 40 with accum snow through the end of the run though. Might end up being a good week and a half. At least for tracking stuff. lol do you have access to the 51 via wbell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Virtually a carbon copy of the gfs through 54 except the hp just n of mn is 1040 on the euro and 1037 on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 On 12/30/2013 at 6:05 PM, Ji said: do you have access to the 51 via wbell? Only maps for the means. Ind members are splatter plots of precip. Pretty useful in some ways but sucks without maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 72 hours...1 low - over Shreveport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Thru 78 I want to say this will be better locally than 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 78 hours - 1008mb over Birmingham Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 On 12/30/2013 at 6:09 PM, snow. said: 78 hours - 1008mb over Birmingham Back to Miller A?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 On 12/30/2013 at 6:05 PM, Bob Chill said: Virtually a carbon copy of the gfs through 54 except the hp just n of mn is 1040 on the euro and 1037 on the gfs. Actually heights wise it's a good bit deeper both in heights and in "dig". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 84 hours - 1004mb over Chatanooga - rain DC - snow far NW burbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 84 has low/s in n ga sw va compared to WV at 96 last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 that is a great wall of hp to the n man. heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 On 12/30/2013 at 6:09 PM, snow. said: 78 hours - 1008mb over Birmingham birmingham NY or alabama? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 P005 is the only gfs ensemble member to have a 1008mb low over Birmingham at 78. It's a nice hit. Edit: For northern areas. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPRSNE_12z/ensprsloopmref.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Regardless of the verbatim run. We can safely say the gfs was sober this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 90 - 996mb secondary hatteras Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Whats the precip shield look like? Neg tilt where and when please. /beg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Better for us.. probably weaker offshore. Though the 0z bomb was silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 96 - 992mb off delmarva,,.all dc metro getting pummeled with snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 988 off of Wallops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 On 12/30/2013 at 6:13 PM, snow. said: 96 - 992mb off delmarva,,.all dc metro getting pummeled with snow Fooking goosebumps commence man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Should hit the BR and west pretty solid ending as snow for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 On 12/30/2013 at 6:13 PM, snow. said: 96 - 992mb off delmarva,,.all dc metro getting pummeled with snow Wow..the GFS wasn't smoking crack after all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 On 12/30/2013 at 6:13 PM, snow. said: 96 - 992mb off delmarva,,.all dc metro getting pummeled with snow holy shanny.....looks like great things happen when you come back to the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Does the EURO go boom?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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