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January Forecast Discussion


REDMK6GLI

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Well Boxing Day was far more prolific because models showed a huge storm and completely backed off only to bring it back last minute.

This one was never supposed to be a big hit up here.

Right this would be more like 1/25/2000 if it were to hit up here. Something models didn't have at all until the day before. That's probably a 1/100 type of event.

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Time for everyone to read this again - Boxing Day 2010 thread beginning exactly where we are right now around 72 - 84 hours away and as you recall the Boxing Day storm was a coastal I-95 scraper areas west of central NJ got very little

 

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/5495-nycphl-dec-26-27-potential-part-4/page-2

damn it it ended before the next set of runs. i was enjoying that thread. find the next one please lol

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Well Boxing Day was far more prolific because models showed a huge storm and completely backed off only to bring it back last minute.

This one was never supposed to be a big hit up here.

That was a much different setup than this is. Boxing Day featured record blocking in a perfect place for us as well as the huge phase that took place over the MS valley. This is a big overrunning event without a phase-it's just a ton of Gulf moisture riding over top of cold surface air. A SWFE over the Deep South.

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Well Boxing Day was far more prolific because models showed a huge storm and completely backed off only to bring it back last minute.

This one was never supposed to be a big hit up here.

Right this would be more like 1/25/2000 if it were to hit up here. Something models didn't have at all until the day before. That's probably a 1/100 type of event.

The 1/25/2000 storm has been my analogue to the midweek system.

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This seems strange....it's posted as if it's a cluster of storms lol

Special Statement

Expires 1:45 PM EST on January 27, 2014

Statement as of 11:44 am EST on January 27, 2014

... An Arctic front will impact southeastern Essex County...

At 1142 am EST... National Weather Service Doppler radar was tracking

an Arctic front from the Hudson Valley of New York into northwestern

New Jersey... moving southeast at 25 mph.

* The front will be near...

Nutley and Belleville by 100 PM...

Newark by 110 PM...

Gusty winds up to 45 mph can be expected with the frontal passage.

In addition... isolated snow showers will be possible behind the

front this afternoon.

Jmc

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