PB GFI Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I have no idea what tomrrw brings but that look rakes the SE coast , but not a look for us . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 please explain how its better?? Hi Rossi. NAM seems to eject the kicker a bit slower this run, which ultimately brings the precip closer to the coast. Issues with this run are that closed off STJ energy earlier in the run, which slows it down. The lead vort is weaker, thus digs less. All in all, some improvement, but as said above, at least 200 miles to go to be good for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 GFS came NW about 100 miles for the midweek system as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 50 miles, but a trend is a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 COMPLETELY different look on the GFS....much better is an understatement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 50 miles, but a trend is a trend. Another 50 or so miles and we might get in on some light snows. Remember there is no -NAO so a NW could continue if the SE ridge is stronger than models show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 COMPLETELY different look on the GFS....much better is an understatementFor which storm? 29th? It's looking better for sure. We're gonna need a weaker or slower kicker. That's the bottom line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Too funny the GEM is now a total miss down there it has really had a bad winter so far it's actually caught onto several events before all other guidance then lost them when the others finally picked them up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 CMC Trended West As Well! Keep Your Heads Up Guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Gfs coming in much colder/further south for sb storm.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 GFS and GGEM trended west with the midweek system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Gfs coming in much colder/further south for sb storm.... It's also much more strung out and drier. (Talking about 2/1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Too funny the GEM is now a total miss down there it has really had a bad winter so far it's actually caught onto several events before all other guidance then lost them when the others finally picked them up I think the gfs has done pretty well compared to some of the other models. The gfs typically first finds a storm, then loses it, only to bring it back which is what's happening with this storm. I think it could be a close miss for us, but we'll have to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 GFS and GGEM trended west with the superbowl system. What are you talking about the GFS is colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Too funny the GEM is now a total miss down there it has really had a bad winter so far it's actually caught onto several events before all other guidance then lost them when the others finally picked them up The South Carolina coast gets a snowstorm every 50 years or so...so its not a surprising turn of events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 GFS and GGEM trended west with the superbowl system. What are you talking about the GFS is colder I'm sure he means the midweek system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Interesting that the gfs has temps climbing to the freezing mark by late tonight. Hopefully we can get one more below freezing day. I believe Tuesday at midnight was the last time temps were at or above freezing except for LI yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 What are you talking about the GFS is colder I just changed my post . Midweek system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Don't look at the QPF from here. Systems that run out from the ozarks behind retreating highs and exit the EC snow on the front end they may drizzle on the back end , but remember 7 days out these tend to get stronger As there still are disturbances running out of the northern branch. This is for the SB. Should b in feb. will throw it there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I'm sure he means the midweek system Ok my bad anth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAMSTORM22 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 What are you talking about the GFS is colder Its reasons like this when mets arent giving analysis that i stock up on zanex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 If the SB system ends up stronger, we go to rain. A weaker, strung out system would be colder due to less WAA but the trade off is much less precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 fwiw, the snow racing east thru PA right now looks stronger than it's supposed to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Yeah I noticed that aswell. Mountains gonna break that up? Looks like a wall of snow ATM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Apparently ralphs crap i mean cras model is very far north and west. Lol.it wasnt too bad last two storms i guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 I noticed that wall in East Central Penn too, if that holds together then what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Apparently ralphs crap i mean cras model is very far north and west. Lol.it wasnt too bad last two storms i guess. The CRAS is typically NW and amped so I'm not surprised to hear that. EDIT: In case anyone wants to see: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Radar actually looks impressive right now considering the situation. Very interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Even if it breaks up, still has potential for another coating at very least, moving super fast, we are talking next 2 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrooklynSnow97 Posted January 26, 2014 Share Posted January 26, 2014 Nam HI-RES was showing It Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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