MJO812 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 The Euro looks beauitful moving forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I'm on my phone and can't see that picture. What does it show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I'm on my phone and can't see that picture. What does it show? Day 10 qpf BOMB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I'm on my phone and can't see that picture. What does it show? Euro has a day ten miller A Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Euro has a day ten miller A The GFS has it , HM liked this period from 2 weeks ago . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I'm on my phone and can't see that picture. What does it show? The Euro has a tail end of Arctic outbreak snowstorm that we can often see as the PV pulls north and energy cuts underneath. That would be the cherry on top of one of the coldest 10 day stretches here in quite some time. PD 1 was probably the most famous example in 1979. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 The Euro has a tail end of Arctic outbreak snowstorm that we can often see as the PV pulls north and energy cuts underneath. That would be the cherry on top of one of the coldest 10 day stretches here in quite some time. The biggest snows come on the back end of retreating PV . I have 2 rules , weekends and signal a pattern change . This time , when the PV leaves it replaced by Cold air, just not brutal air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Day 10 qpf BOMB Just inside the 40/70 Benchmark. 993mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Just inside the 40/70 Benchmark. 993mb I like the .9 in 6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I like the .9 in 6 hours Nice drop indeed. Don't know what the position is showing 6 hours earlier. Also 1027 HP over Halifax N.S Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Just inside the 40/70 Benchmark. 993mb Thats what we like to see up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Thats what we like to see up here. I wanna see the LP parked on Cen/Eastern LI!! lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 What happened to Mondays storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 The biggest snows come on the back end of retreating PV . I have 2 rules , weekends and signal a pattern change . This time , when the PV leaves it replaced by Cold air, just not brutal air. That scenario would give us a perfect bookend snowstorm experience where we get a snowstorm on the leading edge of the Arctic outbreak and at the tail end. But yeah, the retreat is the traditional time to watch for the big storm. We already have two major Arctic outbreak snows this month which is very rare. Like I said yesterday, we couldn't pull that off in 94 when the leading edge snow blasted Eastern PA. while it rained here before going below zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I'd trust the GFS more at this point than the Euro, the Euro does not have the storm on the 27th the GFS has had for several runs in a row, it does show it but more or less has it going north of us which in this pattern does not make a whole lot of sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I'd trust the GFS more at this point than the Euro, the Euro does not have the storm on the 27th the GFS has had for several runs in a row, it does show it but more or less has it going north of us which in this pattern does not make a whole lot of sense. Its been horrid , just before I posted the day 10 - I wrote , im even gona look at it . Think the GFS cleaned its clock this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Its been horrid , just before I posted the day 10 - I wrote , im even gona look at it . Think the GFS cleaned its clock this winter At least the Euro ensembles have the weakness near the EC around day 10. But the Euro ensemble mean and weeklies along with JMA weeklies did much better day 11-15 than GEFS from back on the 9th when the GFS was warm this week coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 At least the Euro ensembles have the weakness near the EC around day day. MSLP_North32America_240.gif Is that D 10 Ens ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Is that D 10 Ens ? Yeah, ens are on the left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Look where we go back to Day 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Saturday looks windy ahead of the next reinforcing Arctic front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Can't really tell but that looks like it has the low inland to our north witch would not be good for the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 DGEX . The NAVGEM and the GFS also have It out on Day 6 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Is the Thursday event still showing up and also the weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Is the Thursday event still showing up and also the weekend? Thursday looks like a snow shower .... Sat - Sun looks like it could accumulate a bit , but too early to know . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Look where we go back to Day 15 Major torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Major torch? No that's cold. 3 things here , One all those higher connected Heights from the PAC thru Alaska and over the Pole will mean you`re source region is arctic , not Polar . So its low level cold air 2 That's at 500 MB , at 2 Meters where we live the cold air will drain to the bottom of the trough and is cold 3 . The Euro drags its heels in the West , so that trough will be further East As it is that SE RIDGE will offer resistance so we can get system that roll W to E along the baroclinic zone And in 1994 that was a great pattern . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Huh ? That's cold It looks like a SE ridge to me is pumping up higher-than-normal 500 hPa heights which is why we are in the yellow/orange. I'm confused by the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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