doncat Posted January 7, 2014 Share Posted January 7, 2014 Gonna be one of the coldest starts to jan...after tommorrow the monthly mean here will be close to 20 degrees for the first eight days with the mean min temp of 9.5 degrees...thats pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 7, 2014 Share Posted January 7, 2014 The euro ensembles bring the Cold back thru the lakes d 10 and builds the ridge out west. So after 7 Days of being above starting Saturday we may b headed back to where we are now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 8, 2014 Share Posted January 8, 2014 With a -EPO + PNA -AO, The latter third of Jan into Super Bowl time looks ripe for some good snow chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 8, 2014 Share Posted January 8, 2014 With a -EPO + PNA -AO, The latter third of Jan into Super Bowl time looks ripe for some good snow chances. Winter storm Lazarus for the super bowl! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 8, 2014 Share Posted January 8, 2014 Winter storm Lazarus for the super bowl! They're still naming these things. I'll never endorse the naming of a winter storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 8, 2014 Share Posted January 8, 2014 With a -EPO + PNA -AO, The latter third of Jan into Super Bowl time looks ripe for some good snow chances. I hope it's -10 with blinding snow on Super Bowl Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted January 8, 2014 Share Posted January 8, 2014 The frontal passage late Saturday is starting to look more and more active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 8, 2014 Share Posted January 8, 2014 The frontal passage late Saturday is starting to look more and more active. Yeah wouldn't be surprised if we get up near 60 on Saturday. Though its not exactly cold behind the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 8, 2014 Share Posted January 8, 2014 I hope it's -10 with blinding snow on Super Bowl Sunday. That would be epic. Of course they'd reschedule as they already have a contingency plan for this. But I doubt they'd reschedule for a moderate 4 - 6" event. I remember back in 1986 when the Giants won there first at the rose bowl, during that game we received 5 - 8" here. Would be cool to see it snow during the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 8, 2014 Share Posted January 8, 2014 That would be epic. Of course they'd reschedule as they already have a contingency plan for this. But I doubt they'd reschedule for a moderate 4 - 6" event. I remember back in 1986 when the Giants won there first at the rose bowl, during that game we received 5 - 8" here. Would be cool to see it snow during the game. For all this snow and cold hype for the Super Bowl, I bet it's going to be one of those crappy mild days in the 50s with either showers or cloudy skies like this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 8, 2014 Share Posted January 8, 2014 Winter storm Lazarus for the super bowl! Lazarus Crystal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 8, 2014 Share Posted January 8, 2014 Some Minus 15 - 20 air showing up next weekend on the Euro Ensembles . The trough swings back through in the Wed thru Sunday time frame . Looks like the pattern will swing back and forth for the next 2 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 8, 2014 Share Posted January 8, 2014 I hope it's like this... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lLVmCfkxMUY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 8, 2014 Share Posted January 8, 2014 During the next month our chances of a real Blizzard or 2 in NY metro are much higher then normal - with the polar vortex modeled to return within the next week or 2 and possibly phase with the southern branch as modeled on the Euro in addition the indicies are now forecasted to be in favorable positions - this pattern reminds me of 1978 ...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 8, 2014 Author Share Posted January 8, 2014 During the next month our chances of a real Blizzard or 2 in NY metro are much higher then normal - with the polar vortex modeled to return within the next week or 2 and possibly phase with the southern branch as modeled on the Euro in addition the indicies are now forecasted to be in favorable positions - this pattern reminds me of 1978 ...... your right, who knows may be this will be a nice book-end winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Miller B showing up at 144 , The Euro Control 500 MB hints at this next week ,after the brief 4 day warmup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Miller B showing up at 144 , The Euro Control 500 MB hints at this next week ,after the brief 4 day warmup. It's very possible given the amplified pattern that's set to develop. If the storm is legit, there's a good chance it could dig further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 12Z GFS is a miss, not that means much at this point . Let's see what the Euro has next... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 GFS long range sure is ugly. After a brief blast of cold air late next week, it has a major warm pattern settling in as we move into the last 10 days of January. But we know how bad long range GFS is, so hopefully it's wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 12Z GFS is a miss, not that means much at this point . Let's see what the Euro has next... I am still digging out from the 12-15 inches the euro promised me last Friday and the 48 inch snowpack I should have by next weekend I have not been to impressed with the euro recently. GFS has been cooking up it's dinner for a long time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 9, 2014 Author Share Posted January 9, 2014 Miller B showing up at 144 , The Euro Control 500 MB hints at this next week ,after the brief 4 day warmup. The pattern looks better than the one we had to thread the needle with the new years week storm. This is a legit threat that is going to be watched this upcoming weekend for sure. Bigger question for me is there any indicator in the LR that this cold regime will break at all and we go back to a period of warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 12Z GFS is a miss, not that means much at this point . Let's see what the Euro has next... looks ugly...rain and wind. Runs up the apps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Euro has 2 big rain events ..1"-2"+ region wide on Saturday. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 The 12z Euro and the 12z GFS both see the big Rain with the 1st system Tues PM . both models see that theres a piece left behind , the GFS spins it up closer to the coast , brushes our area and heads into New England . The 12z Euro sees the 2nd piece but is more progressive and takes it East off Hatteras and OUT . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Joe B: Ensemble means in wild pattern many times the LEAST LIKELY to verify in longer term as model simply compromises all options Thats not to say the GFS has to miss. but for all the times it goes the wrong way, 13 days ago its ensembles had this week warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 looks ugly...rain and wind. Runs up the apps yup taking the apps on this run. only a few more runs to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 As per Euro thread - 12z Euro OP D10 , Would like to see if the Ensembles Swing it SE or NE in its D 11 plus . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 With the PNA really expected to build, I have no doubt that we'll see a trough in the east with only a couple mild periods/days even if the EPO is more or less neutral to somewhat positive. Models still show the PV sticking to our side of the globe, so they'll still be cold periods and I don't buy what the 12z gfs and 12z gefs show at all in the LR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 This could be mildly interesting if things trend in our favor... Could be another quick shot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.