buckeye Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 True, but the GFS has seemed to be smoking the "king" for the last several months. as in beating it....or....being it's b***h? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 Alek I guarantee over an inch falls in se mn.... far north LOT cwa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Thinking 1" for Alek and 2" up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Thinking 1" for Alek and 2" up this way. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 as in beating it....or....being it's b***h? Always blows me away at how the models perform so differently out this way vs i-95.. Euro is a perfect example of this. Granted it was not always this bad as it has been in the past few years. Thus the king is not king in this region atleast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 lol Riding the EURO I take it. Skilling showed about 2" for you. 2"+ up here. 4km NAM supports that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Rides the one that gives us the least amount of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 RGEM and NAM both cut back precip quite a bit for the I-80 corridor in this area. Trending toward the Euro. Still think the Euro is probably too dry though. Gonna go with 0.5-1.5" for QC/here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 12km NAM GFS Going to ride a 2" call here. Point n' click has 1-3" now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Rides the one that gives us the least amount of snow. Alek roots for failure; that's his schtick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Alek roots for failure; that's his schtick. It is tired, boring and flat out trolling that needs to end around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 SANTA!!! via LOT... //DISCUSSION...UPDATED 00Z...UPPER LEVEL ENERGY AND A WEAK FRONTAL ZONE SWINGING THROUGH THEWESTERN GREAT LAKES HAS BROUGHT LIGHT SNOW AND MVFR VSBYS/CIGS TOWISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON. SO FAR THIS ACTIVITY IS STAYING WELLNORTH OF THE AREA...BUT FORECAST MODELS AND UPSTREAM TRENDS SUGGESTIT COULD DROP SOUTH AND CLIP THE LOCAL TERMINALS TONIGHT BEFOREMOVING OFF TO THE EAST TOMORROW. IMPACTS SHOULD BE MINIMAL EXCEPTFOR FLURRIES AND LOWER CEILINGS LINGERING INTO THE MORNING. WESTWINDS SLOWLY TURNING SOUTHWEST AND THEN SOUTH TOMORROW WILLOTHERWISE SUPPORT FAVORABLE WEST FLOW OPERATIONS AT ORD. ANOTHERBETTER SHOT OF SNOW ARRIVES TUESDAY NIGHT...HOPEFULLY AFTER PEAKTRAFFIC TIMES...BUT SANTA MAY NEED TO FILE AN IFR FLIGHT PLAN FORCHICAGO AREA OPERATIONS.LENNING 1.5 for ORD seems do-able with quality ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Seeing a general 0.1-0.15" of qpf from the models, exception being the 00zGFS. Ratios should be around 20:1 although the strong low level winds wont help...still 2 maybe 3 inches look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 00z Euro still pretty meager with QPF in this area, showing around 0.03". 20:1 ratio type snows would fluff up to 0.6". Definitely the drier end of all the guidance, but fits within my earlier 0.5-1.5" call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Big fail so far IMBY. Literally nothing. Doesn't look like much for Christmas Day either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Riding the EURO I take it. Skilling showed about 2" for you. 2"+ up here. 4km NAM supports that. I haven't looked at the Euro in 4 days. This is a clear cut 0-3" event from SE to NW across LOTs CWA, 1-2" for me sounds right Alek roots for failure; that's his schtick. FACT: I've busted high more often than I've busted low this year. It is tired, boring and flat out trolling that needs to end around here. My last call (made nearly 72 hours out) was immaculate. I nailed the rain part (you said "no way") and bust 7 tenths high on the snow. I'm really good at what I do. Sorry that bothers you so much. Please stop stalking my posts...as much as you want to be, you aren't a mod and it's getting old Stebo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 P&C showing 2-4. A Christmas special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Nam over .25 qpf here. Gfs around .2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 P&C showing 2-4. A Christmas special. hi-res guidance which has done well with clippers (and caught the drying/south trend on the last WWA clipper bust) broad brushes .15-.20 over more or less the entire CWA with numerous .25 jackpots especially west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Hourly has 2.6" total here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Emmett Brown Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 MKX has trimmed back expected amounts from the clipper. Calling for 1-2" now. They mentioned in their update that the day shift might trim amounts slightly due to drier 6z NAM qpf. I guess they did. I am still optimistic for 2.5" imby, combining the clipper and the snow showers expected tomorrow afternoon after the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 I haven't looked at the Euro in 4 days. This is a clear cut 0-3" event from SE to NW across LOTs CWA, 1-2" for me sounds right FACT: I've busted high more often than I've busted low this year. My last call (made nearly 72 hours out) was immaculate. I nailed the rain part (you said "no way") and bust 7 tenths high on the snow. I'm really good at what I do. Sorry that bothers you so much. Please stop stalking my posts...as much as you want to be, you aren't a mod and it's getting old Stebo. When you busted low though, like December 14, you were way off. Degree of bust is to be taken into account as much as number of busts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 When you busted low though, like December 14, you were way off. Degree of bust is to be taken into account as much as number of busts. a couple inches is way off? lol. You're all just a bunch of weenie haters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 My last call (made nearly 72 hours out) was immaculate. I nailed the rain part (you said "no way") and bust 7 tenths high on the snow. I'm really good at what I do. Sorry that bothers you so much. Please stop stalking my posts...as much as you want to be, you aren't a mod and it's getting old Stebo. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 a couple inches is way off? lol. You're all just a bunch of weenie haters. No; we don't like posters who's song and dance routine is to root for failure or non-events. You've been doing that since the old board too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 FACT: I've busted high more often than I've busted low this year. My last call (made nearly 72 hours out) was immaculate. I nailed the rain part (you said "no way") and bust 7 tenths high on the snow. I'm really good at what I do. Sorry that bothers you so much. Please stop stalking my posts...as much as you want to be, you aren't a mod and it's getting old Stebo. Your temp comes a bank clock...you measure rainfall in a dixie cup...and take snow measurements in the middle of your street, during rush hour. I mean, who wouldn't question your verification scores. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Your temp comes a bank clock...you measure rainfall in a dixie cup...and take snow measurements in the middle of your street, during rush hour. I mean, who wouldn't question your verification scores. haha, you're the best man. My tenth call might have been a little generous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 No; we don't like posters who's song and dance routine is to root for failure or non-events. You've been doing that since the old board too. who are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 who are you? hahahaa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 who are you? who are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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