Chicago WX Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 0z RGEM freezing rain, through 0z Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Skilling is saying that he wouldn't be surprised to see watches expanded towards the city. RPM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 RGEM at 48. SN/PL to start at least. Feel the hour by hour love here: http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Skilling is saying that he wouldn't be surprised to see watches expanded towards the city. RPM rpm122213.png I would think it would be a no brainer to extend watches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Btdubs back in West Bloomfield for the holidays... Slightly better chance of not being rain-dominated up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Feel the hour by hour love here: http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Looks funnish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2013 Author Share Posted December 20, 2013 Other than slight temp/precip changes...0z GFS looks similar to the 18z run thus far (48hrs). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Looking very icy on the gfs through 48 hours in SE MI. Surface temps below 32 all the way to the border with precip falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Looks funnish To me it looks colder. Has me starting off as snow in north Scarborough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Other than slight temp/precip changes...0z GFS looks similar to the 18z run thus far. yep, nothing groundbreaking going down this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Btdubs back in West Bloomfield for the holidays... Slightly better chance of not being rain-dominated up here better chance of losing power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Looking very icy on the gfs through 48 hours in SE MI. Surface temps below 32 all the way to the border with precip falling. Hell the first row of counties into IN and OH are below freezing. Models finally catching onto the cold low level flow like I have been harping on for about 3 days now. The ice storm potential locally is very real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Looks wetter and colder by 7 am sunday for Chi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 It's actually colder and slightly further west at 54. Perhaps a hair stronger, looks like a better snow producer for Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Hell the first row of counties into IN and OH are below freezing. Models finally catching onto the cold low level flow like I have been harping on for about 3 days now. The ice storm potential locally is very real. The RGEM, like I said, also looks colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Hell the first row of counties into IN and OH are below freezing. Models finally catching onto the cold low level flow like I have been harping on for about 3 days now. The ice storm potential locally is very real. Very little qpf though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 RPM sees this right now. GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Very little qpf though. Yup, thats one heck of a mid level dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Wow, trend continues. llj induced QPF now virtually completely misses Toronto. There's a different way to avoid the ice storm besides thermals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Very little qpf though. I find that a bit suspect, the WCB wont have that narrow of a precip field. GFS really is the only model showing it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Wow, trend continues. llj induced QPF now virtually completely misses Toronto. There's a different way to avoid the ice storm besides thermals. Yeah the temperatures are alot cooler though but the QPF misses us to the south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Yup, thats one heck of a mid level dry slot. Problem is we need that focused LLJ with the crazy moisture transport focused at us, that leads to warm air and rain. We need a stronger storm but also a stronger high to the north to feed the low level cold air. I'll take the light glaze that preserves the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 The lower qpf is due to the storm not being as wrapped up. It still has a crazy moisture feed just not enough to get this far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Yeah the temperatures are alot cooler though but the QPF misses us to the south... EURO's been pretty consistent (although we've seen where that leads us) with the hefty QPF totals. I'm not buying this total whiff by the GFS yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 EURO's been pretty consistent (although we've seen where that leads us) with the hefty QPF totals. I'm not buying this total whiff by the GFS yet. Yeah the models are still inconsistent with one another. The NAM has a sh!t load of moisture in our area while the GFS is a total opposite.. Lets see what the GGEM/EURO show.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Looks wetter and colder by 7 am sunday for Chi. 18z and 0z GFS were about as identical of b2b runs as we've seen lately for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2013 Author Share Posted December 20, 2013 That run was wetter with more snow potential in the deformation zone from MO to MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 The snow swath axis is about the same on the GFS but overall there is more snow this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Less precip might actually help ice accretion prospects in this case since temps aren't way below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Looks a touch west. Maybe. Or a touch slower. Lovin' the QC on this run anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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