SchaumburgStormer Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 18z GFS came a bit SE with the deformation snow band. QC to Milwaukee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanthunder Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 try browsing around here. maybe some others can post links to their favorite snow maps. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller/model-guidance-model-parameter.php?group=Model%20Guidance&model=GFS&area=NAMER Thanks man. I looked at this and my area looks like a significant hit. Ladies and gentlemen, I am in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 It is noteworthy that the LOT watch upgrade to warning excludes Kane and Lake counties, which remain with a watch. I think it's a good move. Still not feeling at all confident about this one. Even if I were living in Kenosha or Racine, I'd be nervous. At least the model solutions are making more sense now... the ridiculously warm storm they were showing without tapping into the nearby arctic air mass made little sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 APX admitted to issuing watches simply because of media hype and fully expects a round of advisories to handle the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 I think it's a good move. Still not feeling at all confident about this one. Even if I were living in Kenosha or Racine, I'd be nervous. At least the model solutions are making more sense now... the ridiculously warm storm they were showing without tapping into the nearby arctic air mass made little sense. you should make out ok IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 APX admitted to issuing watches simply because of media hype and fully expects a round of advisories to handle the event. 'copter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 'copter What do you mean when you say 'copter Alek? EDIT: Sorry for OT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 What do you mean when you say 'copter Alek? EDIT: Sorry for OT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 I think it's a good move. Still not feeling at all confident about this one. Even if I were living in Kenosha or Racine, I'd be nervous. At least the model solutions are making more sense now... the ridiculously warm storm they were showing without tapping into the nearby arctic air mass made little sense. I agree. I'm thinking a solid, advisory-level event for those areas. Also, it's good to keep in mind that WSWs and WWAs are also used for significant accumulations of sleet and any significant combination of snow, sleet, freezing rain, and/or blowing snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Haha thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 'copter at least my 5.2" call sounds about right.... but a fraudulent, bogus, phony WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 at least my 5.2" call sounds about right.... but a fraudulent, bogus, phony WSW. I haven't been paying attention to your area but it sounds like a good call excluding any LES after the fact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IMADreamer Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Thanks man. I looked at this and my area looks like a significant hit. Ladies and gentlemen, I am in the game. Just wanted to say hi, I see you are in Macomb. I'm a WIU Met Alum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 heckuva way to ring in the winter solstice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 at least my 5.2" call sounds about right.... but a fraudulent, bogus, phony WSW. Sometimes warranted. I feel LOT should have put something out other than a SWS to alert the general public to ice potential south of the WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Sometimes warranted. I feel LOT should have put something out other than a SWS to alert the general public to ice potential south of the WSW. yeah... I'm mostly just teasing. A little disappointed this isn't gonna slam. 5 -7" is run of the mill stuff here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanthunder Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Just wanted to say hi, I see you are in Macomb. I'm a WIU Met Alum. Oh that's really cool! Meteorology was my first love til I realized I'm awful at calculus. So I settled for journalism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Quick map for the DVN area. My basic thoughts based on the trends today. If it busts it busts, all in good fun. Love it! Cheers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 I think it's a good move. Still not feeling at all confident about this one. Even if I were living in Kenosha or Racine, I'd be nervous. At least the model solutions are making more sense now... the ridiculously warm storm they were showing without tapping into the nearby arctic air mass made little sense. I think I'm riding the line already. Racine should be good. Kenosha to Waukegan iffy. This will be a now cast event for our area I think. Could end being like the early Feb. snowstorm last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 yeah... I'm mostly just teasing. A little disappointed this isn't gonna slam. 5 -7" is run of the mill stuff here. except you can't sneeze and blow this 5-7" off the driveway like les. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 except you can't sneeze and blow this 5-7" off the driveway like les. which is why I was excited for a nice system snow. although, not all lake snow is 30:1. the enhancement the lake gives disturbances accounts for a lot of the snow, and I wont complain if 25" of lake snow settles to 15", it eventually becomes a nice base. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 I'm going with 5.0" here. You: 6.5" DVN: 6.1" Hawkeye: 5.5" Madison: 7.0" MKE: 8.2" Chicago Storm: 3.3" ORD: 3.2" Gonna hop onboard here, go big or go home. DKB: 6.8" Cyclone: 7.3" DVN: 7.0" RFD: 8.1" Madison: 5.8" MKE: 8.7" Geos: 5.4" ORD: 3.8" MDW: 2.0" IKK: Trace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 The new winter hell. Hourly graph for IKK. Not quite good enough for anything fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 I see the american models are in great agreement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 The new winter hell. Hourly graph for IKK. Not quite good enough for anything fun. Screen Shot 2013-12-20 at 5.47.45 PM.png Sweet, can't wait. Thanks for that. Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 The Latest from Environment Canada: City of Toronto6:12 PM EST Friday 20 December 2013Freezing rain warning for City of Toronto continuedPeriods of freezing rain tonight. Potential for Major ice storm starting late Saturday afternoon.A significant frontal boundary from Sarnia to near Hamilton eastwards across Lake Ontario is expected to remain fairly stationary for the next 36 hours. North of this front, a disturbance has generated freezing rain across a wide swath of Southern Ontario today and it continues to work its way eastwards up to the Quebec border. Freezing rain amounts ranging from 3 to 8 mm likely occurred.A key concern remains the next disturbance which is expected to track from Texas and move towards the Lower Great Lakes Saturday evening. The moisture associated with this low is substantial and has the potential to produce a major freezing rain storm over portions of Southern and Eastern Ontario. Current information suggests 20 to 30 mm of freezing rain is possible starting Saturday afternoon and continuing Sunday morning.As a result, ice accumulation on trees and power lines could potentially create widespread power outages and downed trees. Driving conditions on untreated roads could become very hazardous. Motorists and pedestrians should exercise caution and adjust travel plans accordingly.In addition, regions near Lake Erie which manage to keep temperatures above zero could experience significant rainfall amounts Saturday night into Sunday morning. Current indications suggest that amounts could range from 15 to 25 mm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slow poke Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 which is why I was excited for a nice system snow. although, not all lake snow is 30:1. the enhancement the lake gives disturbances accounts for a lot of the snow, and I wont complain if 25" of lake snow settles to 15", it eventually becomes a nice base. Will be in your area tomorrow Bo, a few of us are planing on ridding the sleds over to East Jordon for lunch. The new snow today will help getting in and out of town. That trail can get pretty bare heading down close to town and the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 This is definitely going to be a nowcast event. Hands down. Temperatures are majorly under-performing down stream. That spells trouble later on with ZR. I'd like to think that it would end up being 28-30 with a steady rain and significant icing, but depending on the 1000 variables, the temperatures will probably jump to 33 around here and keep our accretion down. (Statistically speaking. Happens quite often around here). Damn good storm to watch unfold. That's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 1.5" of accreted ice isn't out of the question for the GTA. Incredible. I really am hoping for a bust with this and get plain rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 1.5" of accreted ice isn't out of the question for the GTA. Incredible. I really am hoping for a bust with this and get plain rain. Im the opposite, Ive never experienced an Ice Storm so I can't wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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