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December 21-22nd Winter Storm Part 3


Chicago Storm

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I do think it will fall as ice. Why do you not want to believe that?

 

I believe precipitation rates will be too high for proper accretion during a period where surface temperatures will also be on the rise. Also 6.2C is pretty warm at the 850mb level and will require additional cooling to form ice.

 

You on the other hand have still not explained your thoughts on why you feel it will be 100% ice.

 

EDIT: for sake of cluttering the thread I will cease to post on this topic until the next EURO run.

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  :popcorn:

 

NOUS42 KWNO 191456
ADMNFD
SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS COLLEGE PARK MD
1455Z THU DEC 19 2013
12Z NCEP PROD IS ON SCHD WITH THE NAM INTO POST PROCESSING
AND THE GFS UNDERWAY.  UPA DATA COVERAGE IS GOOD WITH 74 CONUS
13 AK 31 CAN 8 MEX AND 9 CARIB RAOBS AVBL FOR THE GFS.
CRITICAL WEATHER DAY STATUS...
NCEP DOES NOT ANTICIPATE A CWD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A CWD IS POSSIBLE AFTERWARD...A LOW CHANCE... DUE TO POSS
SEV WX OVER SE US DURING THIS WEEKEND.
STOUDT/SDM/NCO/NCEP
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Ach, my  head is spinning..

 

Sheesh, I thought I was all wound up about this storm.  I went from disappointment, and depression on the last thread to what appears to be elation and relief.....

 

I am still not locking on to anything.  Way too many swings over the last 24 hours or so. 

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