hm8 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 yeah...looking like a pretty boring event around here. Best rains south, advisory snows well north. Kind of a dull no man's land. Still not buyin' the ice potential east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Still not buyin' the ice potential east? I haven't looked at Canada but for DTW, not at all. You guys are gonna torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 NMM brings rain all the way to Geos...wicked warm nose and still probably underdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Temps under-performing upstream in OK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 NMM brings rain all the way to Geos...wicked warm nose and still probably underdone. Man it's a fine line between not much and intense snowfall off that model. This is the 6hr snowfall ending around 11z Sun. Pure rippage over southeast Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Euro doesn't seem drastically different....little further east with the heaviest precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Whoa, this thread died in a hurry. yeah...looking like a pretty boring event around here. Best rains south, advisory snows well north. Kind of a dull no man's land. Well, it's been a fun storm to track. Very dynamic and anomalous. The problem is most of the 'exciting' weather is going either northwest or southeast of a majority of the posters in the subforum, as Alek said. I use the word exciting loosely, because for a majority, exciting means either lots of snow or severe. Flooding rains and ice storms aren't my idea of a good time. So in the case of this system, good times until it actually hits, then a letdown. It will still be a meteorological event to remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Euro doesn't seem drastically different....little further east with the heaviest precip Yeah it seems a bit cooler too. Overall I dont see any noticeable changes between the 0z/12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Yeah it seems a bit cooler too. Overall I dont see any noticeable changes between the 0z/12z. Similar amounts of qpf for yyz? nevermind...check my pms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Temps under-performing upstream in OK dynamic to say the least....over performing on the warm side and underperforming on the cold side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Lol. Not even a HWO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 The snow band is drier and a bit further NW this run. The 12z NAM seems like an outlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Anthony Farnell of Global News in Toronto has tweeted that the latrst RPM model keeps most of the precipitation plain rain in Toronto while areas east and West of the city get a major ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Similar amounts of qpf for yyz? nevermind...check my pms. 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 © © (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK SAT 18Z 21-DEC 1.1 1.1 1014 82 70 0.01 557 546 SUN 00Z 22-DEC -0.5 0.6 1015 93 97 0.16 559 547 SUN 06Z 22-DEC -1.8 0.5 1011 93 99 0.60 558 549 SUN 12Z 22-DEC -3.0 1.1 1009 89 88 0.54 556 549 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 congrats grande cheese on euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 yeah...looking like a pretty boring event around here. Best rains south, advisory snows well north. Kind of a dull no man's land.I'm not even thrilled with the likely snow amounts but excited to get possibly a warning level system snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 I'm expecting freezing rain advisories to come out much farther south than the current alignment of watches in IL. One of the more interesting areas to watch will be the area around the I-80 corridor from north-central IL eastward. The warm nose aloft looks substantial enough to allow much of the precip to fall as liquid so then the question becomes surface temps. A degree or two either way will make a huge difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Can.you post text for kroc. Rochester ny from.the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 © © (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK SAT 18Z 21-DEC 1.1 1.1 1014 82 70 0.01 557 546 SUN 00Z 22-DEC -0.5 0.6 1015 93 97 0.16 559 547 SUN 06Z 22-DEC -1.8 0.5 1011 93 99 0.60 558 549 SUN 12Z 22-DEC -3.0 1.1 1009 89 88 0.54 556 549 Damn that's a lot of ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Anthony Farnell of Global News in Toronto has tweeted that the latrst RPM model keeps most of the precipitation plain rain in Toronto while areas east and West of the city get a major ice storm. No way Toronto sees plain rain. At this point it's a question of PL or ZR if you ask me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Anthony Farnell of Global News in Toronto has tweeted that the latrst RPM model keeps most of the precipitation plain rain in Toronto while areas east and West of the city get a major ice storm. Hmmm...RPM vs EURO? Which model should I put my trust into? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 First official call for MBY: 6.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Anthony Farnell of Global News in Toronto has tweeted that the latrst RPM model keeps most of the precipitation plain rain in Toronto while areas east and West of the city get a major ice storm. Meh, in-house RPM at the limit of its range... wouldn't put much faith into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Damn that's a lot of ZR 850 temps just above zero. It's too bad we can't get soundings off the EURO because I suspect at least some of that could be PL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 I'm with you Hoosier. My point forecast for Sat. morning at present indicates light freezing rain for me changing to rain. Very foggy at present...44 degrees with snow rapidly melting but still rather extensive. Surface temps will be critical that's for sure along with any surprising action of the northern stream moving southward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Judging from the latest Euro, it looks like a big ice storm for Toronto. It's a good thing I don't work on Sunday! My temperature has dropped to +0.1 Celsius. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Euro has frozen at 36hr for me. Can't see much difference at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadTown Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 final call 8" just south of Madison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 850 temps just above zero. It's too bad we can't get soundings off the EURO because I suspect at least some of that could be PL. Yup. That's the fine line at this point. PL vs ZR. I'm praying for PL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2013 Author Share Posted December 20, 2013 12z ECMWF: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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