Harry Perry Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 GGEM . GFS NAM Well... It's safe to say there's consistency. Ice storm on the horizon. Interested to see what the Euro does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Euro south and colder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 I'm interested to read the morning afd from IWX. Ice threat certainly looks to be in play in their northern counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2013 Author Share Posted December 20, 2013 Euro south and colder? Sure is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Didn't get a great look at the slp movement but it appears as though this run keeps it in OH vs into lower MI at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 'course it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Sure is. Deformation band still in a relatively similar place, nails Quad Cities and Milwaukee Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 euro is slowly but surely going back to what it had a few days ago. Back to all frozen precip here ( crap load of freezing rain and perhaps some snow to end ) and this extends over towards Ann Arbor and to the north side of Detroit.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2013 Author Share Posted December 20, 2013 Deformation band still in a relatively similar place, nails Quad Cities and Milwaukee Sunday morning. Indeed...Wetter though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Didn't get a great look at the slp movement but it appears as though this run keeps it in OH vs into lower MI at 12z. Correct. Very similar to GGEM. Those forecasts of 38F Sunday I think will bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Correct. Very similar to GGEM. Those forecasts of 38F Sunday I think will bust. How do temps look aloft? Is it showing more of a PL vs ZR threat like the GEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Indeed...Wetter though. Yep, it is wet indeed. Perhaps the models are ingesting snowpack that will be present in the areas north of the border as well. Does the Euro tend to do a good job of that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 euro is slowly but surely going back to what it had a few days ago. Back to all frozen precip here ( crap load of freezing rain and perhaps some snow to end ) and this extends over towards Ann Arbor and to the north side of Detroit.. The question is when does it stop. Rip city defo band at 60hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2013 Author Share Posted December 20, 2013 0z ECMWF: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 euro is slowly but surely going back to what it had a few days ago. Back to all frozen precip here ( crap load of freezing rain and perhaps some snow to end ) and this extends over towards Ann Arbor and to the north side of Detroit.. I have a feeling my area is going to get a nice hit this weekend. How is your snowpack surviving? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 How do temps look aloft? Is it showing more of a PL vs ZR threat like the GEM? Based on the precip maps, The 0 line stays south of south through the majority of the event. I'd guess more of a PL type event similar to the GEM. Still good amount of QPF. I'll post the text in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 0z ECMWF: nice screw zone here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 nice screw zone here. Shown that the last couple runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Based on the precip maps, The 0 line stays south of south through the majority of the event. I'd guess more of a PL type event similar to the GEM. I'll post the text in the morning. Wow, that's even colder than the GEM. Unless there's a deep warm layer at some other spot in the column, with dynamic cooling maybe, dare I say it, snow is in play? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 If someone could do me a favor when the text outputs come out post one for DTW, DET and MTC. Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2013 Author Share Posted December 20, 2013 Lookz like an all FZRA/PL/SN event here on the ECMWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Wow, that's even colder than the GEM. Unless there's a deep warm layer at some other spot in the column, with dynamic cooling maybe, dare I say it, snow is in play? Could be. I know the wxbell maps are useless but I took a peak at it and it shows The GTA area picking up 17'' of snow. Again just for lolz. Most of that has got to be ZR/PL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2013 Author Share Posted December 20, 2013 Wow, that's even colder than the GEM. Unless there's a deep warm layer at some other spot in the column, with dynamic cooling maybe, dare I say it, snow is in play? Yea umm...850's are above 0C just about the whole time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Could be. I know the wxbell maps are useless but I took a peak at it and it shows The GTA area picking up 17'' of snow. Again just for lolz. Most of that has got to be ZR/PL. Do you get thermal plots at different levels of the atmosphere? 800mb, 700mb, etc? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Yea umm...850's are above 0C just about the whole time. jesus tapdancing Christ. Contingent of Toronto weenies we've accrued over the last several years is stellar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Do you get thermal plots at different levels of the atmosphere? 800mb, 700mb, etc? Yes. Not very sure though how to use them tho lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2013 Author Share Posted December 20, 2013 jesus tapdancing Christ. Contingent of Toronto weenies we've accrued over the last several years is stellar. lol Oh, and thickness suggests there's a slightly warmer layer above 850mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Yea umm...850's are above 0C just about the whole time. I wasn't talking about 850 mb temps. I was talking abut surface temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 GFS and Euro are both decent hits for northwest IL. If the southeast trend continues tomorrow we could easily be bumped out of it, so definitely nothing to get too excited about yet. If models looked like this with the 00z suite tomorrow night I'd start to become pretty optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 lol Oh, and thickness suggests there's a slightly warmer layer above 850mb. thanks. Appreciate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.