CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 The Canadian brings the tropopause to sea level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 GEFS certainly aren't as cold as the end of days op run for the CONUS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 The reason the GGEM 144 hour B&W panel is so big is they need it that large to fit all the thickness lines in from the fictitious monster lows it ALWAYS develops day 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Cold enough though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 GEFS certainly aren't as cold as the end of days op run for the CONUS.We toss lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 GEFS pedestrian 11-15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New Englander Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 GEFS not as cold but I will take whatever we can get. This outlook goes well with my afternoon iced coffee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Please ignore specific details of the map. Just to show, by the end of the 12z GFS run, look at the extent of snow cover across North America. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Cape Cod, MA is 95% rain on the GGEM. James, I love you son but your weenieism needs a governor. The fact that the GGEM is so amped up, means that we might get a good storm for the SNE area next week after all. Especially if models are backing into their biases. For the past few weeks the amped up models haven't been the GGEM after all and now that it is, is now raise the alarm type weather. Once models back into their biases, the world is no longer on a tilt. JK after all we could see a major storm, not just based off of the GGEM, but also based on the parameters at hand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Please ignore specific details of the map. Just to show, by the end of the 12z GFS run, look at the extent of snow cover across North America. GFS_3_2014011612_F384_SNOWIN_SURFACE.png Could you be so kind as to post that in the NYC thread . Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 12z GFS at 6 hours is too progressive with the overall mean long wave trough over MO and KS. NAM is a better depiction on the current vorticity max rounding the base of the long wave trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 GEFS pedestrian 11-15. Better chance of snow though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 GEFS pedestrian 11-15. Better chance of snow though. Yeah but big time cold is cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New Englander Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Please ignore specific details of the map. Just to show, by the end of the 12z GFS run, look at the extent of snow cover across North America. GFS_3_2014011612_F384_SNOWIN_SURFACE.png That would be very nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Yeah but big time cold is cool. Nope, not if it's cold and dry. No thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Nope, not if it's cold and dry. No thanks. this, i will take the uncool version Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Cold breeds snow chances. Stop worrying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 We will revisit this if a piece of the PV is sitting over our heads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New Englander Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 The new guy here is feeling positive about this upcoming pattern. Cold and no snow can be dissapointing for some but we will squeak out something.......Personally, seeing frozen ponds and lakes is great. Then add some nice fluff on that. It will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Nope, not if it's cold and dry. No thanks. Seems like most of us are on that page. Grass blades poking through a dusting while it's -15F out is always an interesting range of emotions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Cold breeds snow chances. Stop worrying. Well I don't think you would say that in Jan 2004. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 12z euro crushes everything se for early next week….typical of euro being to amped up in the mid range this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Seems like most of us are on that page. Grass blades poking through a dusting while it's -15F out is always an interesting range of emotions. Well I need cold a bit more than you do, but you do not want the PV overhead. Speaking of wish..fish storm next week on the euro...although close to somehting better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 12z euro crushes everything se for early next week….typical of euro being to amped up in the mid range this year 06z GFS had it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Well I need cold a bit more than you do, but you do not want the PV overhead. Speaking of wish..fish storm next week on the euro...although close to somehting better. Funny how much trolling I got a few days ago for saying it could be a boring 10 days......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Well I need cold a bit more than you do, but you do not want the PV overhead. Speaking of wish..fish storm next week on the euro...although close to somehting better. Euro has been overamping everything in the med range only to end up with nothing within 4 days--frustrating to say the least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Funny how much trolling I got a few days ago for saying it could be a boring 10 days......... might go snowless rest of Jan at this rate....(outside of these little coating to 1 inch deals) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 I think we need to wait further as energy in question is over the central North Pacific Ocean moving NNEward towards Gulf of Alaska, near 157w and about 46n. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Well I need cold a bit more than you do, but you do not want the PV overhead. Speaking of wish..fish storm next week on the euro...although close to somehting better. Yeah I think it's fun if it's like record cold for a couple days, but watching blue sky and roads coated white only from salt can get frustrating after like 5 days straight of starting your car 20 minutes before you actually have to go anywhere, lol. God I hate the GGEM so much. Shoveled 4 feet of GGEM and ECM snow this year. Maybe it's the progressive pattern and works better with the GFS scheme, but I've been trusting the GFS more and more lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Yeah I think it's fun if it's like record cold for a couple days, but watching blue sky and roads coated white only from salt can get frustrating after like 5 days straight of starting your car 20 minutes before you actually have to go anywhere, lol. God I hate the GGEM so much. Shoveled 4 feet of GGEM and ECM snow this year. Maybe it's the progressive pattern and works better with the GFS scheme, but I've been trusting the GFS more and more lately. Agree...the king has been dethroned for sure. Can't trust it beyond 3-4 days with storm threats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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