Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 I can't wait for TWC to start naming every polar vortex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Could be a boring week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Could be a boring week.what's another lost week in the heart of winter. Throw in some rain showers to boot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 what's another lost week in the heart of winter. Throw in some rain showers to boot. Nah, Maine could get something Wednesday night...was speaking more for here. We'll see what today brings, but the pattern going forward looks the best it has ever looked this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 0z model boredom, what else is new. But we knew for over a week the thaw was coming, thaws start with snow and end with snow. One of the more interesting 36 hours of weather changes, heavy burst of snow, ice, t storm, tropical Storm for 5 minutes, now strong winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Yeah if we're going to do a cutter out of deep cold lets do it like this one. Now for a great second half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Op euro seems to want to start splitting the flow a little bit after this week with some disturbances in the STJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Lol....op gfs brings 474 thickness to James Bay at the end of the run. Leon,,,,is that you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Man the GEFS look pretty darn sweet now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Lots of optimism by pros and amateurs alike on what's coming in the pipeline. Good sign for the. 2nd half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 That's a weenie op euro run today. Things are really looking promising once we get past these next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Another Epic run of the 12z Euro Ens.....looks like feet upon feet of snow incoming. 12z Euro OP starting to catch on to the details of the promising pattern. No guarantees, but it looks like the next 10 days could be really really fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Still in no shape to get that pesky NAO to shift negative, but man I'd take my chances and run with this pattern look any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Am I missing something or does it just look chilly and dry? I'm trying to be optimistic but the trough axis on these progs seem pretty far east without blocking and weak STJ. What are you guys seeing that looks like it promotes storminess or at least stuff that doesn't just weakly slip out to sea? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Still in no shape to get that pesky NAO to shift negative, but man I'd take my chances and run with this pattern look any day. Nice to see you with those thoughts. I think it's the best look we've seen this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Am I missing something or does it just look chilly and dry? I'm trying to be optimistic but the trough axis on these progs seem pretty far east without blocking and weak STJ. What are you guys seeing that looks like it promotes storminess or at least stuff that doesn't just weakly slip out to sea? Take a peak at the ensemble members and you'll see the types of storms possible. It may not be a wet pattern, but I don't see it as cold and dry. Of course sometimes patterns to turn out as we hoped, but I think it's a good look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Take a peak at the ensemble members and you'll see the types of storms possible. It may. It be a wet pattern, but I don't see it as cold and dry. I course sometimes patterns to turn out as we hoped, but I think it's a good look.MPM of the great white north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Am I missing something or does it just look chilly and dry? I'm trying to be optimistic but the trough axis on these progs seem pretty far east without blocking and weak STJ. What are you guys seeing that looks like it promotes storminess or at least stuff that doesn't just weakly slip out to sea? I think we're going to see a mix of storms more favorable mainly for CNE and NNE and progressive systems that slip offshore hitting coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 I think it's pretty much all systems go after these next few days. The pattern isn't perfect...we could always use a bit of a -NAO, but the PNA/EPO ridge will be keeping us mainly cold and the storm chances will be there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 If we can keep things moving along, we may be able to avoid wound up cutters and stay cold with frequent moderate snows. I like patterns like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Feels like mid March. Rotting snow everywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfastx Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Going to be headed back to Boston tomorrow after leaving town for a few weeks. Is there anything on the ground or has the snow from the storm a week or so back been completely obliterated? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 The overall feel and look today felt like a late march early April spring day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 If we can keep things moving along, we may be able to avoid wound up cutters and stay cold with frequent moderate snows. I like patterns like that. The big +PNA ridge should help. Jan '05 had that pattern for about a week leading up to the blizzard. Same with Jan 2003 and Jan 2009. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 That is a real cold signal on the euro ensembles. Such a strong signal so far out. The EC is still keeping at least a portion of the PV here on our side of the pole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 That is a real cold signal on the euro ensembles. Such a strong signal so far out. The EC is still keeping at least a portion of the PV here on our side of the pole. The lowest heights on the globe look like they stay in some part of Canada the entire run of the ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 MPM of the great white north. I have to balance out the pathological optimism But in reality, I have yet to see something overly favorable for this area, and its not like I say this stuff and its still dumping loads of snow, lol. The concern has been warranted this season up here. Trust me, if I think it looks good, I'm all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 It is pretty clear we get very very cold again. That has been signaled for a while. So has the stominess of the 16th -24th I think, right? Now it is just all about the details and a few breaks that go our way. I am halfway to my seasonal average and expect to have exceeded it by the middle of February. Maybe sooner. Seems like an epic stretch is coming and we will get some Atlantic help at some point, perhaps right at the point where the Pacific gets a little hostile.. Right now the -NAO is missing but we don't need that, at least up here. Arctic air and a +PNA will do it. I wouldn't mind one of those long storms with 12 hours of overrunning at the start. Those are fun! It also seems like some subtle changes to the reigning pattern give us some additional chances and perhaps we are done with the big cutters for a while. Will be interesting to see what happens after the arctic dam breaks later this month. I am rambling euphorically right now, almost in Jeb territory - I'll stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 It is pretty clear we get very very cold again. That has been signaled for a while. So has the stominess of the 16th -24th I think, right? Now it is just all about the details and a few breaks that go our way. I am halfway to my seasonal average and expect to have exceeded it by the middle of February. Maybe sooner. Seems like an epic stretch is coming and we will get some Atlantic help at some point, perhaps right at the point where the Pacific gets a little hostile.. Right now the -NAO is missing but we don't need that, at least up here. Arctic air and a +PNA will do it. I wouldn't mind one of those long storms with 12 hours of overrunning at the start. Those are fun! It also seems like some subtle changes to the reigning pattern give us some additional chances and perhaps we are done with the big cutters for a while. Will be interesting to see what happens after the arctic dam breaks later this month. I am rambling euphorically right now, almost in Jeb territory - I'll stop. I still do not see any sign of this. Maybe somewhere down the road in February we ca get the NAO to cooperate, but that is a total crapshoot at this point. Usually a -NAO in March is very good, so hopefully we do get it form sometime later in February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Maybe trying to be one of the coldest Jan's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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