powderfreak Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 In contrast I have close to 80% of my seasonal snowfall. And I've got <30% to contrast that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 Congratulations on the novel. I hope you try pitching it to some publishers and find success there. Thanks Don'! Yeah, I have no idea how to do that -- I am completely green to the industry of literary arts. I am looking into that, now. The work is in the Sci-Fi genre. My next may be social in nature/drama, but I have new idea re the former and nanotechnology. Suppose I'll just start writing and see what happens. Anyway, I do not maintain any illusions about "successes" -- I did not set upon this journey for that reason. It was more to say, I did it. Now ... should it get picked up, okay. Scott, the novel's title is "50 Shades Of Gray Skies" j/k Jerry, yeah, I'm liking the appeal of this Euro run just for the pure cross-guidance agreement for western heights to build. It helps determinism ...somewhat, when we see that. The PNA is impressive at CPC and CDC, so seeing the Euro with this PNA look (certainly PNAP in the least...), lends to the collective thinking for winter return. This is/was always a kind of relaxation in my mind -- we'll just have see what the new circulation paradigm will be. Some see products with -EPO return. Okay, but the PNA appears to be more factor-able for the next 10 days, anyway. By the way, the AO apparently slated for another (new) nadir that takes it some SD less than 0 over the next two weeks, as well. Who knows what sensible and or dynamical impacts THAT will have over N/A. We all know that not all -AOs are evenly distributing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 I wonder if the same people who were worried about the Euro OP run showing some warmth around D10 are now really excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 He's a writer for Hallmark now specializing in Valentines Day cards. Ah hahahaha --- you jerks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 I wonder if the same people who were worried about the Euro OP run showing some warmth around D10 are now really excited. you know it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 you know it. There's like 4 chances for measurable snow on the Euro OP run today...granted a couple of them are little dinky events, but still. That was a wintry run...the D10 event looked to have a bit more punch...andthat 1/15-16 event I'm still eying. That one could be sneaky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 He's a writer for Hallmark now specializing in Valentines Day cards. Not enough writing space.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 well I'm almost halfway to my "normal " total of 58".and it's Jan 11. If that's not way above then I guess I'm drunk Right...and we almost halfway done with the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 Actually, I think I did originally give it a B+ when speaking with Jerry, so that's fine. B+, but that is about to fall if we don't recover quickly. On another note, I'm glad we're purging the area of these crusty, diarrhea colored snow piles. 55.5/55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 First arod suspended for the year and now the gfs turns. Good day ahead I'd rather Arod have been allowed to play....this is great news for the NYY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 I'd rather Arod have been allowed to play....this is great news for the NYY. We save 25 mill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 Another Epic run of the 12z Euro Ens.....looks like feet upon feet of snow incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 Another Epic run of the 12z Euro Ens.....looks like feet upon feet of snow incoming. Did Kevin hack your account? It was a nice run, and should provide us with several chances if that pattern verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 Did Kevin hack your account? It was a nice run, and should provide us with several chances if that pattern verifies. I try to fill in for the Reverend whenever I can Seriously hope that they are correct and if so it will be fun times for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 Its getting way out there...so obviously things can change...but the Euro ensembles def have an arctic outbreak look at the very end...I could def see another intrusion near the end of the month. The EPO ridge is starting to go insane at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 Its getting way out there...so obviously things can change...but the Euro ensembles def have an arctic outbreak look at the very end...I could def see another intrusion near the end of the month. The EPO ridge is starting to go insane at the end.Ha, I heard someone go "I think we are done with the arctic air" my response to them was "highly doubtful." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 Ha, I heard someone go "I think we are done with the arctic air" my response to them was "highly doubtful."Its always Sunny? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 Ha, I heard someone go "I think we are done with the arctic air" my response to them was "highly doubtful." So far this winter since 12/10... We've had some major snow events, one officially 15.1, deep deep cold, lightning and thunder. Who can complain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 So far this winter since 12/10... We've had some major snow events, one officially 15.1, deep deep cold, lightning and thunder. Who can complain? No one should be complaining in your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 So far this winter since 12/10... We've had some major snow events, one officially 15.1, deep deep cold, lightning and thunder. Who can complain? I'm still waiting for a warning criteria snow so for now I will complain NWS BTV isn't showing much hope: .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... AS OF 243 PM EST SATURDAY...MAIN FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATER PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND PERIODIC CHANCES OF LIGHT RAIN AND/OR SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY. MERIDIONAL UPPER TROUGH WILL IN GENERAL SETTLE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST DURING THIS PERIOD WITH PERIODIC WEAK ENERGY IMPULSES BRINGING SLIGHT TO LOW CHC POPS TO OUR REGION...NOTHING SIGNIFICANT. BEST SHOT OF ADDL PCPN SHOULD OCCUR ON TUESDAY AS LEAD ENERGY BUNDLE ON THE FRONT NOSE OF THE TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH. TEMPERATURES SUPPORT A MIX OF RAIN AND/OR HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS WITH THIS FEATURE. IT IS WORTH NOTING THAT MOST RECENT GLOBAL RUNS...INCLUDING THIS MORNING`S EURO SOLN HAVE TRENDED TOWARD THE CONSISTENTLY WEAKER GFS OPEN WAVE IDEA SO AT THIS POINT NOT LOOKING AT ANYTHING HEAVY IN REGARD TO PCPN. THEREAFTER...TEMPERATURES REMAIN SEASONABLY MILD BUT IN GENERAL WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN ON TUESDAY AS HIGHS TOP OUT IN THE 25 TO 35 DEG RANGE WED-FRI AND OVERNIGHT LOWS FALL TO 15 TO 25 UNDER VRB CLOUD COVER. SOME BROAD CONSENSUS THAT A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL MAKE A RUN AT US BY LATER FRIDAY AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES...BUT AT FIRST GLANCE IT DOESN`T LOOK NEARLY AS POTENT AS THE DEEP COLD SNAP WE RECENTLY EXPERIENCED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2014 Share Posted January 11, 2014 Ha, I heard someone go "I think we are done with the arctic air" my response to them was "highly doubtful." Its getting way out there...so obviously things can change...but the Euro ensembles def have an arctic outbreak look at the very end...I could def see another intrusion near the end of the month. The EPO ridge is starting to go insane at the end. knock knock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 Scott and Will definitely nailed it with the EPO returning in late Jan it seems. GEFs not only bending to that outcome but also gradually losing the blow torch all of canada nino look, seemingly coming around to the colder nino-ish look of the euro ens at the end (where there is still plenty of arctic air available in eastern canada, not abandoning NA)..Not sure what we can gather out of this for Feb yet, but things are more promising it would seem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 So far this winter since 12/10... We've had some major snow events, one officially 15.1, deep deep cold, lightning and thunder. Who can complain? quite a few of us didnt get the 12"+ ..... and deep deep cold is overrated if you get no snow and your balls live in your stomach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 3 days... 3 days left in the period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 quite a few of us didnt get the 12"+ ..... and deep deep cold is overrated if you get no snow and your balls live in your stomach. very vivid imagery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 It is amazing how badly the GEFS have caved to the Euro ensembles...it is almost 100%....not the 70/30 compromise you often see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 It is amazing how badly the GEFS have caved to the Euro ensembles...it is almost 100%....not the 70/30 compromise you often see. just goes to show that models aren't everything. need to look at other data too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ono Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 It is amazing how badly the GEFS have caved to the Euro ensembles...it is almost 100%....not the 70/30 compromise you often see. sorry... but is that a good thing or what? I'm not privy to the (decent) Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 sorry... but is that a good thing or what? I'm not privy to the (decent) Euro. It was good for winter lovers...the EC ensembles were showing the much more wintry pattern while the GEFS were showing an all out furnace for Jan 20-25 a couple days ago, but they have trended toward the EC the past couple days and now are basically in agreement...in fact, they might be even colder than the EC ensmebles now near the very end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 12, 2014 Share Posted January 12, 2014 sorry... but is that a good thing or what? I'm not privy to the (decent) Euro. gefs had showed an inferno.... it folding like a weak passive hold em poker player is great news for the cold and snow hounds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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