Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 The weenies on the bus go round and round, round and round, round and round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Regardless of what happens afterward, that Monday depiction on the Euro is a balmy breezy day. Has low RH at 850 and 700mb, with deep layer, well-mixed WSW flow and 850mb temperature soaring to +7 by the end of the afternoon. 60 easily achieved in that make-up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 For when? overnight, tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Regardless of what happens afterward, that Monday depiction on the Euro is a balmy breezy day. Has low RH at 850 and 700mb, with deep layer, well-mixed WSW flow and 850mb temperature soaring to +7 by the end of the afternoon. 60 easily achieved in that make-up. Hacky sack on the common, golf on the cape, coeds in daisy dukes, awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 overnight, tomorrow? Oh...eh that's a bit optimistic...I'd say about an inch. Better than nothing though. Maybe some spot 2" amounts if we saturate well enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 I've been seeing low - mid 40's forecast for Monday. Tip talking 60's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Differences between the GEFS and EC arise after day 8 too...it's not like it's in the day 14-15 timeframe. Interesting stuff. Nat gas plummeted after the 12z GFS op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Oh...eh that's a bit optimistic...I'd say about an inch. Better than nothing though. Maybe some spot 2" amounts if we saturate well enough. yea thats why I said spot, maybe squeeze out more in NNE? about .15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Differences between the GEFS and EC arise after day 8 too...it's not like it's in the day 14-15 timeframe. Interesting stuff. Nat gas plummeted after the 12z GFS op. To bad the oil prices would not follow...........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Leon's winter has turned into an epic fail. Torch and cutters as far as the eye can see with a small chance at a miller b Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Leon's winter has turned into an epic fail. Torch and cutters as far as the eye can see with a small chance at a miller b Nah, somewhere in the museum scrolls...the winter of 1642 had a pattern just like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Leon's winter has turned into an epic fail. Torch and cutters as far as the eye can see with a small chance at a miller b No Atlantic blocking has hurt us in that regard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 In fact, Steve texted me a COOP summary. "In the year of thy Lord 1642, thou hast snow up to thy weenie in early January. A cutter costeth many lives of cattle along the Pawcatuck river, followed by snow up to they knickers in early February.." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Leon's winter has turned into an epic fail. Torch and cutters as far as the eye can see with a small chance at a miller b Rip and read? Have a great trip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Nah, somewhere in the museum scrolls...the winter of 1642 had a pattern just like this. The epic torch of 1642 is archived in the pilgrim journals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 In fact, Steve texted me a COOP summary. "In the year of thy Lord 1642, thou hast snow up to thy weenie in early January. A cutter costeth many lives of cattle along the Pawcatuck river, followed by snow up to they knickers in early February.." Meh, you sent me one back. " It might be cold next week then again it might be warm, we could get a Miller B but it could miss. I am concerned about the EPO but the typhoon recurve has me thinking not to be. I will be sure 6 hours before" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Maybe the GEFS is picking up better on the increasing sun angle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 museum scrolls nailed, in Oct , cold in Nov, mid Dec snow, colder than normal Nov , then at the end of Nov, Dec Grinch storm , major snowstorm first week of Jan while Scooter worried about MJO , tropical forcing and Forky farts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 So, the Euro is not in agreement with the 12z GFS? Still shows a deep trough over the lakes by the 19th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Euro is still keeping the PV on our side of the globe. That will make it hard to have a sustained torch with a +PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 museum scrolls nailed, in Oct , cold in Nov, mid Dec snow, colder than normal Nov , then at the end of Nov, Dec Grinch storm , major snowstorm first week of Jan while Scooter worried about MJO , tropical forcing and Forky farts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Objectively, I'd rather the GEFS warm and EC ens cold vs vise versa. Hopefully that holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Well, after 10 minutes of reading through today's posts I think I'll join Ginxy's Team Optimistic. We'll be shirts and Team Pessimistic can be skins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 museum scrolls nailed, in Oct , cold in Nov, mid Dec snow, colder than normal Nov , then at the end of Nov, Dec Grinch storm , major snowstorm first week of Jan while Scooter worried about MJO , tropical forcing and Forky farts. Don Beebe is the 12z GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Euro is still keeping the PV on our side of the globe. That will make it hard to have a sustained torch with a +PNA. Good to hear. JB is reminding people how December/early January were originally predicted to be warm by some models and then look what happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Lol x both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Good to hear. JB is reminding people how December/early January were originally predicted to be warm by some models and then look what happened. True. And there's other things to consider besides model runs. Warm pool of water south of Alaska typically bodes well for us. Would be nice to get out of the positive NAO but looks like that is not to be this winter at least through January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 The ECMWF OP run doesn't indicate anything that would support the GEFs...however, we'll have to wait until the ensembles come out to really get a feel for how the Euro suite is going for beyond MLK weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Objectively, I'd rather the GEFS warm and EC ens cold vs vise versa. Hopefully that holds.Good point. The thaw this weekend was well advertised by the EC ensembles about 10 days ago while the GEFS were still cold. We know who will win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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