Allsnow Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Gfs ens say close the blinds until April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 That is a total all-out 2011-2012 blowtorch on the GEFS with a Bering Vortex and PAC firehose ofmild air...it will be very interesting to see what the EC ensembles say at 12z. The 06z GEFS were definitely caving toward the EC ensembles but they did a reversal...and then a lot more...at 12z today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Gfs ens say close the blinds until April April? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 With relative persistence on the GEFS they're either dead wrong or the euro will begin caving this run. Warm anomalies get stronger the further north you go. Hope they're wrong but if not, oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 April? Lol jk. But that look scares me and I pray it is not correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 That is a total all-out 2011-2012 blowtorch on the GEFS with a Bering Vortex and PAC firehose ofmild air...it will be very interesting to see what the EC ensembles say at 12z. The 06z GEFS were definitely caving toward the EC ensembles but they did a reversal...and then a lot more...at 12z today. Seems as if the GEFS are struggling with the MJO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 What am I missing. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=namk&MODELL=gefs&MODELLTYP=2&BASE=-&VAR=t850&HH=372&LOOP=1&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=72503 A lot. That is an ugly H5 pattern. I also notice the GEFS are more in the torch camp regarding WPAC tropical activity too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Seems as if the GEFS are struggling with the MJO. Well too early to say that, although they have been horrible with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 If we are going to furnace might as well do it 11-12 style...that was one heck of a torch from Feb-April. 80's in March too. Getting way ahead and it's the GFS of course....if Euro goes this way then time to panic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 When do we start to really worry ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 When do we start to really worry ? I wouldn't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 When do we start to really worry ? If the EC ensembles look like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 I wouldn'tYou never do. I think there's a definite feeling if uneasiness settling in amongst the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 You never do. I think there's a definite feeling if uneasiness settling in amongst the board Hopefully it's not an 89-90 type turnaround but just a little bit later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 We're losing February as a winter month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 You never do. I think there's a definite feeling if uneasiness settling in amongst the board Really, another one that misses my 6 week forecasts, but I never worry about a 10-15 day forecast that changed in 6 hours , true. Just ignore the 5-10 day, if thats how you live thats cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 We're losing February as a winter month. Bridge jumpers unite, all snow cancelled winter yet again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Lot of panic over one run of the GEFS which has been all over the place as of late..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 When do we start to really worry ? When you start your lawn thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Early spring ... ? Come on, it's January 9, not half through Meteorological winter. But then again ... I have always hated that sort of perspective on matters. Dates don't mean crap! Nope, they don't. I have seen it be 70F in every month. The only thing I haven't seen is snow in June, July or August, but rumor has it, Tambora gave New Englanders a treat back in 1816. All dates really mean is 'you are most likely' Where the hell was I going ... Oh yeah, I almost hope that GEFs appeal holds, even though I don't see how it could with both the CPC and CDC showing a strong +PNA. Something got a hold of the crack pipe, and since the +PNA has been in the tele cards for few deals longer I would argue that the 12z mean is suspect. But, I like mild comfortable air, just as much as storminess. I'd take either one. It can't be exciting all the time, so you have to learn to find other aspects of the weather as entertaining ... life for that matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 lol, 12z Op Euro back to a phase bomb cutter on the 15th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 We're losing February as a winter month. I only had like 45" last February...you mean I can't expect that again this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Keep the shades down next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Keep the shades down next week The 18th. Only peek out on the 15th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 lol, 12z Op Euro back to a phase bomb cutter on the 15th Well you said it, once it show a cutter its right, guess your theory gets tested this week. ( I don't agree with your theory but its test time) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 spot 1-3/ 2-4 on the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Ginx vs the board . Good luck to all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Hoping I get home early enough today to get the ac in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 Ginx vs the board . Good luck to all WTh are you talking about, all I said is the flip flop of the GEFS means little. So your call is torch for the next 15 days, ok will keep that in mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2014 Share Posted January 9, 2014 spot 1-3/ 2-4 on the Euro? For when? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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