ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 same timeframe? Post Jan 15th give or take? Yes. The EPO is setting up around the 14-15th...and then it probably takes another couple days for us to feel it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Yes. The EPO is setting up around the 14-15th...and then it probably takes another couple days for us to feel it. Most likely another cutter will develop to deliver us the snows if that reload happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 I'll be happy with a 6-12" OES event one of these cold outbreaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 wish the atlantic looked better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 The cutter killed morale and there is nothing to look forward to on the horizon. I think it may be time for a board break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 The cutter killed morale and there is nothing to look forward to on the horizon. I think it may be time for a board break. All I have looked at is the 12z GFS and the future looks like garbage. Oh well, I summon Will and Scott to find some kind of model happiness lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 If there is indeed light at the end of the tunnel, I can close the shades for 10-14 days lol. It is what it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Hey guys, never post here but I like reading the disco. Curious to your thoughts about the lr in the ma. Looks miller b'ish to me but maybe a bit more of a southern storm track than the last couple -epo periods. I'm not sure about split flow possibilities but I suppose the bagginess in mx and under the pna ridge would at least leave the door open. We usually suck it down here in the ma with a miller b pattern and hostile atlantic but the weenie glasses I've been wearing sees some potential with the pna ridge. Am I out to lunch? If so, I'll take my ball and go home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 All I have looked at is the 12z GFS and the future looks like garbage. Oh well, I summon Will and Scott to find some kind of model happiness lol read above, looks like we reload, so next 7-10 days stink and then hopefully we get into a better pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 If there is indeed light at the end of the tunnel, I can close the shades for 10-14 days lol. It is what it is Nothing better than closing the shades for 10-14 days of prime time winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 All I have looked at is the 12z GFS and the future looks like garbage. Oh well, I summon Will and Scott to find some kind of model happiness lol Well if you are looking at OP runs fo the GFS...all you have to do is wait until 18z or 00z and I'm sure you'll find happiness. Stick to ensembles in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Me? I'm going to catch up on sleep and non wx activities. This year things seem to happen in clumps so when it snows like last week it may be a lot of weenie time. Gotta store some energy and enjoy the open walkways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Nothing better than closing the shades for 10-14 days of prime time winter I know lol. It sucks..... But I can't control it so in trying not to be overly worked up about it. The attitude on here is going to go south quick even if this isn't long term. Your right, this is the heart of winter, and it's a real crap shoot for the foreseeable future Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 I know lol. It sucks..... But I can't control it so in trying not to be overly worked up about it. The attitude on here is going to go south quick even if this isn't long term. Your right, this is the heart of winter, and it's a real crap shoot for the foreseeable future This is your first winter here...things will be fine on here. We all survived 2011-2012. There were some mild meltdowns in January of last year when we told people to be patient...then it stopped once February happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Hey guys, never post here but I like reading the disco. Curious to your thoughts about the lr in the ma. Looks miller b'ish to me but maybe a bit more of a southern storm track than the last couple -epo periods. I'm not sure about split flow possibilities but I suppose the bagginess in mx and under the pna ridge would at least leave the door open. We usually suck it down here in the ma with a miller b pattern and hostile atlantic but the weenie glasses I've been wearing sees some potential with the pna ridge. Am I out to lunch? If so, I'll take my ball and go home. I think you nailed it. The upcoming pattern has that spread the wealth look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 This is your first winter here...things will be fine on here. We all survived 2011-2012. There were some mild meltdowns in January of last year when we told people to be patient...then it stopped once February happened. guess it's time for a pep talk again at Funky, hopefully Pickles goes, this time the bet will involve alcohol or maybe a ski ticket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 guess it's time for a pep talk again at Funky, hopefully Pickles goes, this time the bet will involve alcohol or maybe a ski ticket We had a good mini-GTG on 12/23...a good talk about the great upcoming pattern in early January. It certainly delievered. We couldn't see the mild pattern yet for mid-January at that point. Now we can see the return to -EPO conditions which should give us good cold to work with. The +PNA will be nice too...maybe we can sneak a Miller B in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Can a met(s) kind of give a brief synopsis of 1) how warm can/will it get over the next 10 days starting Saturday 2) Is it cool down on the 15th..then torch again..then setup cold/snow chances again after the 18-20th..or sooner? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Can a met(s) kind of give a brief synopsis of 1) how warm can/will it get over the next 10 days starting Saturday 2) Is it cool down on the 15th..then torch again..then setup cold/snow chances again after the 18-20th..or sooner? 1. It could get well into the 50s if things break right on the weekend. It might not be that warm either...all depends on if we get a good mixing SW flow in the boundary layer. Guidance is beginning to lean this direction for Saturday. 2. Cooldown starts around the 15th-16th, but it could be a cutter that ushers in the cold stuff for the 1/18 and beyond. Although the Euro was trying for an anafrontal deal around the 15th...we actually saw that last January almost to the day. (think it was 1/16 last year) Way too early to tell how the cold finally comes in though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Weeklies definitely gave me a +PNA in a certain area. If only week 3 or 4 can be reliable. The basically have a big +PNA week 2 and week 3 and then retro it to a more -EPO ridge week 4, but still cool here. I'll post more in a bit Will, Ryan etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 This is your first winter here...things will be fine on here. We all survived 2011-2012. There were some mild meltdowns in January of last year when we told people to be patient...then it stopped once February happened. True, February cured all lol. If we go back to the strong - epo, I would think we would at least go back to the pattern we have had, hopefully even a bit better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 1. It could get well into the 50s if things break right on the weekend. It might not be that warm either...all depends on if we get a good mixing SW flow in the boundary layer. Guidance is beginning to lean this direction for Saturday. 2. Cooldown starts around the 15th-16th, but it could be a cutter that ushers in the cold stuff for the 1/18 and beyond. Although the Euro was trying for an anafrontal deal around the 15th...we actually saw that last January almost to the day. (think it was 1/16 last year) Way too early to tell how the cold finally comes in though. Ok thanks for the breakdown. I've got my wits back about me, and will be ready for winters return in about 12 days. Seems like an eternity, but we'll get there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Can a met(s) kind of give a brief synopsis of 1) how warm can/will it get over the next 10 days starting Saturday 2) Is it cool down on the 15th..then torch again..then setup cold/snow chances again after the 1st 8-20th..or sooner? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Ok thanks for the breakdown. I've got my wits back about me, and will be ready for winters return in about 12 days. Seems like an eternity, but we'll get there15-6 =12? throw away 3 days of below freezing maybe some squalls and WAA snow and there ya go, 5-6 days of 40's, meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 Ok thanks for the breakdown. I've got my wits back about me, and will be ready for winters return in about 12 days. Seems like an eternity, but we'll get there15-6 =12? throw away 3 days of below freezing maybe some squalls and WAA snow and there ya go, 5-6 days of 40's, meh I get where he's going though. We're getting cold and dry it seems followed by the January thaw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 15-6 =12? throw away 3 days of below freezing maybe some squalls and WAA snow and there ya go, 5-6 days of 40's, mehWaa snow? Lol . Ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 I definitely think true winter isn't until after the 18th, but a little cold will tickle after the 15th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 I think we'll see 1-2 days in the 50's and 1 day near or over 60 by the 18th at many of the low spots and torch areas of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 I think we'll see 1-2 days in the 50's and 1 day near or over 60 by the 18th at many of the low spots and torch areas of SNE. I think it's a very mild stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2014 Share Posted January 6, 2014 I think it's a very mild stretch.And not just in SNE. This extends into NNE today. I expect a lot of meltdowns similar to mine today from our friends to the north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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