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January 2014 pattern discussion


CapturedNature

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Well there is only 1 or 2 claiming it's epic and one for the ages. No offense to them, but it's too early for that so don't read into that too much. I think you will catch up at some point. Just my gut.

that's living life on the edge right there, bold call. Certainly not epic for snow in my hood, probably a hair over average, cold though, pretty epic in Maine so far.
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Mansfield is only 12 inches below normal depth, a Forky fart and he makes that up. Have you seen his pics?

My heart bleeds heavily

:lol: I hope Forky doesn't fart anything up here.

It'll be interesting to see where that's at in another 1-2 weeks, and if Center Harbor can best the 4kft picnic tables ;)

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Well there is only 1 or 2 claiming it's epic and one for the ages. No offense to them, but it's too early for that so don't read into that too much. I think you will catch up at some point. Just my gut.

What I'm really trying to do is complain my way to a huge second half :lol:

Anyway I'm out for the night...carry on boys.

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that's living life on the edge right there, bold call. Certainly not epic for snow in my hood, probably a hair over average, cold though, pretty epic in Maine so far.

 

Huh? What's bold?  My point is that I would wait before calling this winter one for the ages...I'm not at that echelon quite yet.

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It's all relative. If you live in an area like pf that gets a ton of snow, what is above average to us is average to him.

A pattern that is great for him, is usually a toaster bath for 75% of the board too lol

 

He was doing "ok"  while I was watching roses still bloom during December 2011.

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I know you don't know for sure Scott, I was just interested in what you had to say.  Also the Tug Hill Plateau could see over 6' of snow this week.

 

I don't like how models are still sort of disorganized looking which makes me pause. It's a weird setup with an inverted trough off the East Coast.

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Lol, very true.

That stretch you outlined was just heinous. October 2011 pretty much too the blizzard last year. Pretty amazing stretch of futility

 

It became comical, but even you guys did better than me. I got the middle finger with almost all events. The best was the 12/29/12 event I believe, in which even the Cape flipped to snow. while mother nature decided to pivot her middle finger over Boston. I pretty much just had to laugh. Even in January when it looked like things would change...I was too numb to even care. Luckily the blizzard happened.

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It became comical, but even you guys did better than me. I got the middle finger with almost all events. The best was the 12/29/12 event I believe, in which even the Cape flipped to snow. while mother nature decided to pivot her middle finger over Boston. I pretty much just had to laugh. Even in January when it looked like things would change...I was too numb to even care. Luckily the blizzard happened.

 

It was quite fun watching the Blizzard of 2013 unfold, that day it snowed a lot like the Jan 2005 blizzard had.  We had turned to rain for a time or dry slotted during that storm in 2013, but the pressure fall was amazing with that storm.  THis past storm fails in comparison to both of those storms.

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It became comical, but even you guys did better than me. I got the middle finger with almost all events. The best was the 12/29/12 event I believe, in which even the Cape flipped to snow. while mother nature decided to pivot her middle finger over Boston. I pretty much just had to laugh. Even in January when it looked like things would change...I was too numb to even care. Luckily the blizzard happened.

Yup the 12/29 event we got like 5 or 6 around here, and it seemed like two feet as it was such a sight for sore eyes. I remember the boston screw zone in that event as well, as you said it was an even more comically bad stretch up that way.

So many potential events that never panned out or ended up as rain.

I hope that nobody had to go through a stretch like that again.

It pretty much got too a point where I was happy with the inch of snow we got a few times during the cold outbreak last January, pretty sad, but in the past hopefully for good

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Yup the 12/29 event we got like 5 or 6 around here, and it seemed like two feet as it was such a sight for sore eyes. I remember the boston screw zone in that event as well, as you said it was an even more comically bad stretch up that way.

So many potential events that never panned out or ended up as rain.

I hope that nobody had to go through a stretch like that again.

It pretty much got too a point where I was happy with the inch of snow we got a few times during the cold outbreak last January, pretty sad, but in the past hopefully for good

 

 

It was even more interesting that it was the anti 2010-2011. In that winter, I didn't deserve the snow I got. In 2011-2012..I didn't deserve to get screwed that much..lol. Climo always wins. I joked about somehow paying for that winter...I just didn't know I would pay the piper and then some during  the following year.

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It was even more interesting that it was the anti 2010-2011. In that winter, I didn't deserve the snow I got. In 2011-2012..I didn't deserve to get screwed that much..lol. Climo always wins. I joked about somehow paying for that winter...I just didn't know I would pay the piper and then some during the following year.

Your right lol. Everything it seemed went right for this general area in 10-11. And climo is king, great years will always be balanced by bad years with some average in between

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I could definitely see a situation in which the pacific disturbances bring in warmer air aloft with them from the Pacific Ocean and bring in modified cold air, indicating a change to rain for south of the Pike areas.  It looks marginal at this point.  I could be wrong given that we have some ridging over Western US, but the disturbances ruin the ridge and therefore break down any cold air sources.

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Driving up 93 this morning there was a dust cloud of salt residue over the highway. Could see it for a mile or 2 ahead around kcon under the inversion. Theres always some after a storm but it was as noticible as I've ever seen it. Pretty nasty.

Yeah it was so odd, looked like fog almost it was so thick on my way south on 93...felt like I could taste it

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The NAM has been showing potential for some snow showers too tomorrow night. We get some decent lapse rates in the LLS and PVA to try and sustain them, but there's no true instability like in typical WINDEX events since the inversion is pretty low around 800mb, so it would likely remain scattered. Kind of like the November snow showers we had that gave a some people coatings and an isolated inch in a lucky spot or two.

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